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411 Creekmeadow Ln
B Composite 70.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

411 Creekmeadow Ln · Lewisville, TX 75067
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,654 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1983 7,492 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* * MULTIPLE OFFERS RECEIVED - DEADLINE TO SUBMIT ALL OFFERS IS SUNDAY JANUARY 10th BY NOON * * * * Investor Opportunity * * Come see this 3 Bed and 2 Full Bath's - home in the heart of Lewisville. Very close and easy access to all major highways. Kitchen has unique rustic ceiling and living features vaulted ceiling with a fireplace and wet bar. * * PLEASE ADD 60 DAY CLOSING PERIOD ON ALL OFFERS * *

Key facts

  • 7,492 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1983

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered spaces; Garage described in remarks
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity available; Sewer available; Other utilities: see remarks; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1983; Brick and siding exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch(es); Wood fencing; Easements for utilities; Patio/porch: see remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on main level); Primary bedroom with walk-in closet
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; One fireplace in family/living room
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); One-level layout; Six total rooms; One living area; Two dining areas
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other (details not specified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $812 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 3.2% in Lewisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#440 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A, crime B+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Lewisville ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #109 of 826 in TX (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Southridge El (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 619 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 26% district-wide (58 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lewisville ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 223 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.21%
Cap rate
16.13%
Cash-on-cash
35.13%
DSCR
2.56
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$372,150
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2404 Forestmeadow Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,681 (+2%) 2mo $285,000 $170 86
2431 Deer Run 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,716 (+4%) 2mo $345,000 $201 78
977 Valley View Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,696 (+2%) 2mo $385,000 $227 62
2108 Montclair Ln 0.59mi 3/2.5 1,604 (-3%) 1mo $363,000 $226 61
933 Highgate Dr 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,760 (+6%) 0mo $399,999 $227 60
960 Cassion Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,614 (-2%) 2mo $360,000 $223 59
944 Valley View Dr 0.49mi 3/2.5 1,775 (+7%) 2mo $399,000 $225 58
1808 Water Oak Dr 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,613 (-2%) 2mo $349,900 $217 56
569 Continental Dr 0.36mi 3/2.5 1,423 (-14%) 2mo $359,000 $252 52
1944 Hobart Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,490 (-10%) 2mo $385,000 $258 51
2094 Montclair Ln 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,886 (+14%) 2mo $369,900 $196 41
980 Downey Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,441 (-13%) 2mo $320,000 $222 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.86% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.0%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$31,207
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$76,315
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75067

Home prices YoY
-22.7%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
223
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$356 /mo · $4,272/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$459
Net cashflow
$812

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,160
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $868 -5% $840 +0% $812 +5% $783 +10% $755
Rent -10% $639 -5% $725 +0% $812 +5% $898 +10% $984
Rate -1.0pp $861 -0.5pp $837 base $812 +0.5pp $786 +1.0pp $760

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 W Corporate Dr Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1118 $1,950 $1.74 11d 1 0.07mi
328 Teakwood Ln Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1396 $2,135 $1.53 4d 1 0.14mi
322 Antler Ct Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 2024 $2,395 $1.18 0d 1 0.15mi
2016 Piedmont Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1733 $4,500 $2.60 19d 1 0.18mi
252 Heritage Hill Dr Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1404 $2,100 $1.50 45d 1 0.21mi
2409 Sendero Trl Lewisville, TX 2.0 1.0 1143 $1,575 $1.38 25d 1 0.23mi
2241 S State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1097 $2,144 $1.95 0d 26 0.32mi
554 Valley View Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1998 $2,500 $1.25 45d 1 0.35mi
2247 S State Highway 121 Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,740 $1.23 45d 1 0.40mi
350 Continental Dr Lewisville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $1,888 $1.88 0d 19 0.41mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Unit 3121 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1362 $2,174 $1.60 0d 1 0.50mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Unit 228 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1362 $2,225 $1.63 13d 1 0.50mi
165 Forestbrook Dr Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,528 $1.46 4d 1 0.55mi
165 Forestbrook Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1231 $2,185 $1.77 18d 1 0.55mi
165 Forestbrook Dr Unit 202 Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,457 $1.39 0d 1 0.55mi
165 Forestbrook Dr Unit 198 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1231 $2,064 $1.68 0d 1 0.55mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1079 $1,995 $1.85 25d 1 0.57mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1234 $1,817 $1.47 18d 1 0.57mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1079 $2,237 $2.07 5d 1 0.57mi
195 E Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1362 $2,098 $1.54 45d 1 0.57mi
256 E Corporate Dr Lewisville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $1,595 $2.02 0d 26 0.61mi
2078 Belvedere Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.5 2017 $2,600 $1.29 25d 1 0.61mi
201 E Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $2,289 $2.32 0d 42 0.69mi
265 E Corporate Dr Unit 3121 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,954 $1.62 13d 1 0.72mi
265 E Corporate Dr Unit 298 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,903 $1.58 0d 1 0.72mi
265 E Corporate Dr Unit 3121 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,949 $1.61 0d 1 0.72mi
265 E Corporate Dr Unit 288 Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1108 $1,643 $1.48 0d 1 0.72mi
979 Mauve Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1570 $2,300 $1.46 0d 1 0.75mi
2200 Uecker Dr Lewisville, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 932 $1,555 $1.67 0d 31 0.81mi
2190 Uecker Ln Unit 2223 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1279 $1,863 $1.46 0d 1 0.82mi
807 Burr Oak Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.5 1720 $2,490 $1.45 25d 1 0.82mi
940 W Round Grove Rd Lewisville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1020 $2,230 $2.19 0d 50 0.91mi
177 McCartt Dr Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.5 2188 $3,000 $1.37 20d 1 0.93mi
2201 Rockbrook Dr Lewisville, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $2,117 $2.06 0d 35 0.95mi
2329 Caroline Ct Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 1580 $2,782 $1.76 3d 8 0.97mi
2500 Rockbrook Dr Unit C103 Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.5 1802 $2,350 $1.30 0d 1 1.01mi
105 Hanover Trl Lewisville, TX 3.0 2.0 2201 $2,800 $1.27 25d 1 1.03mi
2250 S Valley Pkwy Unit 2287 Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1199 $1,791 $1.49 45d 1 1.07mi
2250 S Valley Pkwy Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1199 $2,307 $1.92 22d 1 1.07mi
2250 S Valley Pkwy Unit 2118 Lewisville, TX 2.0 2.0 1066 $1,738 $1.63 0d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $99,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    remarks 454-char remark
  8. 2026-06-07
    listed $99,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,272 · $356/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,272 · $356/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,247
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$4,272
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,100
− Management
−$2,100
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$8,855
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,125
After-tax cash flow
$7,613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lewisville ISD
NCES district ID
4827300
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$82,351
Composite
47.1/100
National rank
#2333
State rank
#109 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lewisville

Score
69/100
State rank
#440
US rank
#8991

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lewisville, TX
County
Denton County · 901,654 people
City population
84,871
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
66,913
Household income
$78,752
Rent vs Own
60.2% rent · 39.8% own
Severe rent burden
3630.0

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,053,010 people
By 2030
1,192,269 · +13.2%
By 2040
1,472,920 · +39.9%
By 2050
1,746,506 · +65.9%
By 2075
2,358,497 · +124.0%
By 2100
2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 35% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 16% Two or more races 16% Asian 11% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Philippines, South Korea
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 27% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

2024 margin
R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.21%
Current HPI
279.3299
Rent YoY
▲ 0.86%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.5% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $99,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-09-16 Rental Removed $2,370 RENT.
  • 2024-09-16 Price Changed $2,370 RENT.
  • 2024-09-14 Price Changed $2,375 RENT.
  • 2024-09-13 Price Changed $2,365 RENT.
  • 2024-09-13 Price Changed $2,450 RENT.
  • 2024-09-11 Price Changed $2,365 RENT.
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $2,375 RENT.
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $2,425 RENT.
  • 2024-09-07 Price Changed $2,430 RENT.
  • 2024-09-04 Price Changed $2,435 RENT.
  • 2024-09-03 Price Changed $2,440 RENT.
  • 2024-08-31 Price Changed $2,390 RENT.
  • 2024-08-30 Price Changed $2,395 RENT.
  • 2024-08-26 Price Changed $2,400 RENT.
  • 2024-08-24 Price Changed $2,445 RENT.
  • 2024-08-23 Price Changed $2,450 RENT.
  • 2024-08-22 Price Changed $2,420 RENT.
  • 2024-08-19 Price Changed $2,455 RENT.
  • 2024-08-14 Price Changed $2,405 RENT.
  • 2024-08-12 Price Changed $2,410 RENT.
  • 2024-08-10 Price Changed $2,405 RENT.
  • 2024-08-08 Price Changed $2,410 RENT.
  • 2024-08-07 Price Changed $2,415 RENT.
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $2,410 RENT.
  • 2024-08-06 Price Changed $2,415 RENT.
  • 2024-08-03 Price Changed $2,420 RENT.
  • 2024-08-03 Listed for Rent $2,425 RENT.
  • 2022-08-28 Price Changed $2,180 RENT.
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-03-10 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-01-22 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-01-11 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-01-02 Listed $220,000 NTREIS
  • 2001-07-12 Sold (Public Records) $99,500 Public Records
  • 1997-08-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1983-03-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,272 · -23.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…