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131 College St
B+ Composite 77.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$39,900

131 College St · Courtland, AL 35618
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 400 sqft · Manufactured public records · 72 Days on market
Built 1936 $100/sqft · 15% above area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Centrally located property with lots of historic charm, situated on a nice flat lot. Property is 3 beds with 1 bathroom, dining room and den. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS.

Key facts

  • Flat lot
  • Historic charm
  • Built 1936

Tags

HISTORIC CHARMFLAT LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($788 rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#463 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Lawrence County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #85 of 129 in AL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1936 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,506 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1936 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
17.92%
Cash-on-cash
41.53%
DSCR
2.85
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$144,350
List price
$39,900
Delta
-72.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
17 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
5.15×
Total profit
$46,342
Equity at exit
$35,945
10-year hold
IRR
50.0%
Equity multiple
11.48×
Total profit
$117,080
Equity at exit
$77,517

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35618

Home prices YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$10 /mo · $121/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$165
Net cashflow
$387

Break-even live

Break-even rent $299
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 46%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $39,900 Active 72 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $39,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $39,900 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 62 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 61 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 60 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $39,900 Active 57 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    price $45,000 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Centrally located property with lots of historic charm, situated on a nice flat lot. Property is 3 beds with 1 bathroom, dining room and den. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS.

  18. 2026-04-08
    listed $50,000 Active 162-char remark
    Show marketing remark (162 chars)

    Centrally located property with lots of historic charm, situated on a nice flat lot. Property is 3 beds with 1 bathroom, dining room and den. SOLD AS IS WHERE IS.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$121 · $10/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$164 · $14/mo
Expected delta
+$43/yr (+$4/mo · 35.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,457
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$121
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$757
− Management
−$757
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$4,227
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,015
After-tax cash flow
$3,625/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lawrence County
NCES district ID
0102040
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,669
Composite
21.9/100
National rank
#8230
State rank
#85 of 129 in AL

Livability — Courtland

Score
54/100
State rank
#463
US rank
#23987

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Courtland, AL
Population (ZIP)
1,752

Population outlook (Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,827 people
By 2030
29,343 · -4.8%
By 2040
26,268 · -14.8%
By 2050
23,052 · -25.2%
By 2075
17,414 · -43.5%
By 2100
13,600 · -55.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 47% White 44% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lawrence

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.3) · D 18.5% · R 80.8%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -28.0pp · 2024: -62.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.3 2020: R+54.6 2016: R+48.7 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+28.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.33%
Current HPI
191.718
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $45,000 VMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $50,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $121 · +38.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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