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126 Moonstone Ct
C- Composite 50.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

126 Moonstone Ct · Port Orange, FL 32129
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Townhouse public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1978 2,639 sqft lot $105/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Pond views, a remodeled kitchen, and plenty of upside. This two-story townhome offers a rare chance to purchase below the cost of a fully updated property while avoiding a full-scale renovation. The kitchen was completely remodeled last year, leaving the next owner with the opportunity to add value through cosmetic improvements and make the space their own. A smart buy for investors and buyers who know that sweat equity has the potential to pay off.

Key facts

  • $105 HOA
  • Built 1978
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $105 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Townhouse; Attached property
  • Exterior features: 0.06-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Washer; Dryer; Refrigerator; Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (23.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#131 in FL, #1,957 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D+, commute D+.
  • Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $160k implies a 321% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,891 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.39%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.8%
Equity multiple
-0.06×
Total profit
$-47,384
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-81.0%
Equity multiple
-0.81×
Total profit
$-81,066
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32129

Rents YoY
-2.7%
Active inventory
247
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,739 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$105
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$365
Net cashflow
$-263

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,072
Max offer price $121,891
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
190 Moonstone Ct Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 21d 1 0.05mi
104 Moonstone Ct Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 21d 1 0.08mi
86 Springwood Sq Unit 86 Port Orange, FL 2.0 1.5 1249 $1,450 $1.16 21d 1 0.16mi
1206 Deer Springs Rd Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1064 $1,625 $1.53 14d 1 0.20mi
21 Springwood Sq Unit 23 Port Orange, FL 2.0 1.5 1249 $1,500 $1.20 23d 1 0.23mi
3656 Jackson St Unit 1A Port Orange, FL 2.0 1.5 1164 $1,550 $1.33 23d 1 0.29mi
3554 Irish Ln Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1470 $2,000 $1.36 23d 1 0.42mi
980 Canal View Blvd Port Orange, FL 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,448 $1.41 23d 2 0.47mi
1032 W Samms Ave Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1176 $1,650 $1.40 14d 1 0.58mi
1111 Squirrel Nest Ln Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1169 $1,900 $1.63 14d 1 0.65mi
61 Brandy Hills Dr Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,895 $1.59 23d 1 0.70mi
982 Commons Way Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1521 $2,250 $1.48 23d 1 0.77mi
488 Autumn Trl Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,499 $1.08 23d 1 0.89mi
4211 New Haven Ct Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 902 $2,000 $2.22 23d 1 1.01mi
1270 Reed Canal Rd Port Orange, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1001 $1,746 $1.74 11d 29 1.04mi
1154 Ashland Ct Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,795 $1.61 14d 1 1.08mi
910 Carey Dr South Daytona, FL 3.0 2.0 1529 $2,500 $1.64 23d 1 1.22mi
1200 Floral Springs Blvd Port Orange, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1047 $1,780 $1.70 11d 81 1.24mi
3835 Clyde Morris Blvd Port Orange, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,012 $1.99 11d 17 1.28mi
1401 Reed Canal Rd Port Orange, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1045 $1,856 $1.78 14d 25 1.28mi
1010 N Swallow Tail Dr Port Orange, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 893 $1,574 $1.76 11d 16 1.32mi
3230 S Ridgewood Ave South Daytona, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $1,881 $1.80 11d 27 1.33mi
958 Village Trl Port Orange, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,455 $1.88 11d 12 1.37mi
17 Bella Oaks Dr Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $2,150 $1.32 23d 1 1.37mi
805 Louisville St Unit 2 Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1738 $1,500 $0.86 23d 1 1.38mi
805 Louisville St Unit 7 Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1738 $1,525 $0.88 23d 1 1.38mi
480 Reed Canal Rd #57 South Daytona, FL 2.0 1.5 1024 $1,550 $1.51 23d 1 1.38mi
4514 Alder Dr Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1365 $2,100 $1.54 11d 1 1.39mi
53 Bella Oaks Dr Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $2,200 $1.35 23d 1 1.39mi
940 Village Trl Unit 4-306 Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 1006 $2,000 $1.99 14d 1 1.42mi
80 Bella Lago Cir Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $2,050 $1.26 23d 1 1.44mi
66 Bella Lago Cir Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.5 1624 $2,050 $1.26 23d 1 1.46mi
3780 Clyde Morris Blvd Port Orange, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1050 $1,369 $1.30 11d 12 1.47mi
374 Windsor Dr Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,636 $1.17 14d 1 1.47mi
1063 Wexford Way Port Orange, FL 3.0 2.0 1773 $2,700 $1.52 11d 1 1.47mi
3131 S Ridgewood Ave #203 South Daytona, FL 2.0 2.0 1013 $1,795 $1.77 14d 1 1.47mi
12 Downing Dr Port Orange, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,599 $1.74 14d 1 1.50mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$105 · $1,260/yr

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 453-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $159,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,869
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$5,918
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,670
− Management
−$1,670
− HOA
−$1,260
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$5,655
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,357
After-tax cash flow
$-1,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Volusia
NCES district ID
1201920
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,946
Composite
39.2/100
National rank
#4019
State rank
#47 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port Orange

Score
80/100
State rank
#131
US rank
#1957

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute D+ Cost of living A Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Orange, FL
County
Volusia County · 556,871 people
City population
75,051
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,195
Household income
$67,924
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Volusia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
572,749 people
By 2030
598,695 · +4.5%
By 2040
644,880 · +12.6%
By 2050
681,451 · +19.0%
By 2075
759,957 · +32.7%
By 2100
778,902 · +36.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Volusia

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.8) · D 38.7% · R 60.5%
2008→2024 swing
-27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -21.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.8 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+13.1 2012: R+1.2 2008: D+5.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -234.13%
Current HPI
310.0285
Rent YoY
▼ -2.71%
Metro
Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+320.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $159,900 Daytona MLS
  • 1996-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $297 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…