7235 W Cactus Flower Pass · Marana, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +1.1/10.0
$539,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller is offering a $15,000 credit that can be used toward modifications or closing costs, giving you the flexibility to make this home your own. Spacious single story, 2,550 sq. ft. home featuring 4 bedrooms + den and 2.5 baths. The open great room floorplan with split bedrooms offers both comfort and privacy, perfect for everyday living and ideal for entertaining. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a double oven, a gas cooktop, and a large island. The primary suite includes a bay window and a generous walk in closet. Ample storage is found throughout the home, including a spacious three-car garage. Step outside to your professionally landscaped, low care backyard, complete with a large, covered patio and a built in BBQ. Discover this gated Dove Mountain community with quick access to premier hiking, biking, and outdoor recreation.
Key facts
- Custom backsplash
- Great room floorplan
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath single-family listed at $539k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-492 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $452k (16.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $397k (26.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $397k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Marana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#67 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Marana Unified District (4404) (suburban): math 31% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #83 of 249 in AZ (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ironwood Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #271 of 1,109 statewide, top 26%, 385 students, 40% FRL); Tortolita Middle School (math 19% / reading 27%, grade F, #116 of 218 statewide, top 54%, 539 students, 45% FRL); Mountain View High School (math 24% / reading 30%, grade F, #141 of 381 statewide, top 38%, 1,831 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 468 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($490k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.92%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $679,404
- List price
- $539,000
- Delta
- -20.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7104 W Foothills Acacia Pl | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,537 (-0%) | 3mo | $869,000 | $343 | 76 |
| 7015 W Cliff Spring Trl | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,514 (-1%) | 2mo | $710,000 | $282 | 71 |
| 14239 N Hidden Arroyo Ps | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,904 (+14%) | 3mo | $715,000 | $246 | 62 |
| 14162 N Hidden Arroyo Pass | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 2,904 (+14%) | 4mo | $725,000 | $250 | 56 |
| 14495 N Quail Brush Pass | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 | 2,730 (+7%) | 3mo | $695,000 | $255 | 56 |
| 14793 N Chicalote Dr | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 | 2,491 (-2%) | 3mo | $585,295 | $235 | 56 |
| 14626 N Blue Juniper Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,594 (+2%) | 4mo | $619,580 | $239 | 52 |
| 14733 N Blue Juniper Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,594 (+2%) | 4mo | $605,000 | $233 | 48 |
| 7753 W Sage Palm Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,762 (+8%) | 2mo | $843,000 | $305 | 44 |
| 6954 W Foothills Acacia Pl | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,180 (-14%) | 1mo | $640,000 | $294 | 42 |
| 14744 N Blue Juniper Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,205 (-14%) | 1mo | $526,000 | $239 | 32 |
| 14736 N Blue Juniper Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,205 (-14%) | 3mo | $539,667 | $245 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-118,707
- Equity at exit
- $80,367
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-143,756
- Equity at exit
- $46,603
Cash invested: $150,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85658
- Home prices YoY
- -2.8%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,968 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,827
- Tax from tax record
- −$507 /mo · $6,087/yr
- Insurance
- −$225
- HOA
- −$69
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$833
- Net cashflow
- $-492
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-187 | -5% $-340 | +0% $-492 | +5% $-645 | +10% $-798 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-806 | -5% $-649 | +0% $-492 | +5% $-336 | +10% $-179 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-221 | -0.5pp $-355 | base $-492 | +0.5pp $-632 | +1.0pp $-774 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $134,750
- Closing costs
- $16,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7062 W Patina Dr Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 3.5 | 3081 | $5,250 | $1.70 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 14653 N Saguaro Nest Trl Marana, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $2,795 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 6535 W Whispering Windmill Ln Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2775 | $3,850 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6503 W Whispering Windmill Ln Marana, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3047 | $4,750 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $69 · $828/yr
- Likely covers
- gassecurity
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $539,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $539,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $539,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $539,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $539,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $539,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $539,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $539,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $539,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $539,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $539,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $539,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $539,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $539,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $539,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $539,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $539,000 911-char remark
Show marketing remark (911 chars)
Seller is offering a $15,000 credit that can be used toward modifications or closing costs, giving you the flexibility to make this home your own. Spacious single story, 2,550 sq. ft. home featuring 4 bedrooms + den and 2.5 baths. The open great room floorplan with split bedrooms offers both comfort and privacy, perfect for everyday living and ideal for entertaining. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a double oven, a gas cooktop, and a large island. The primary suite includes a bay window and a generous walk in closet. Ample storage is found throughout the home, including a spacious three-car garage. Step outside to your professionally landscaped, low care backyard, complete with a large, covered patio and a built in BBQ. Discover this gated Dove Mountain community with quick access to premier hiking, biking, and outdoor recreation.
-
2026-03-22$574,000 Active 911-char remark
Show marketing remark (911 chars)
Seller is offering a $15,000 credit that can be used toward modifications or closing costs, giving you the flexibility to make this home your own. Spacious single story, 2,550 sq. ft. home featuring 4 bedrooms + den and 2.5 baths. The open great room floorplan with split bedrooms offers both comfort and privacy, perfect for everyday living and ideal for entertaining. The gourmet kitchen includes granite countertops, custom backsplash, stainless steel appliances, a double oven, a gas cooktop, and a large island. The primary suite includes a bay window and a generous walk in closet. Ample storage is found throughout the home, including a spacious three-car garage. Step outside to your professionally landscaped, low care backyard, complete with a large, covered patio and a built in BBQ. Discover this gated Dove Mountain community with quick access to premier hiking, biking, and outdoor recreation.
-
2024-05-15status Pending 1581-char remark
Show marketing remark (1581 chars)
TAR HOME TOUR WINNER!! Welcome to the Ridgeview floor plan, a stunning home that offers both elegance and functionality. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a spacious and open layout, perfect for entertaining guests or spending quality time with family. he heart of the home is the Eat in gourmet kitchen, featuring cherry Java cabinets, granite counters, and a stylish backsplash. Equipped with stainless steel gas appliances, a breakfast bar, and ample storage space, this kitchen is a chef's dream come true. The master suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a bay window, a large walk-in closet, and a luxurious granite vanity. The walk-in shower adds a touch of luxury to your daily routine. gas barbecue is perfect for hosting outdoor gatherings and enjoying delicious meals al fresco. Inside the home, you'll find 18 x 18 staggered ceramic tile, adding a touch of elegance to every room. The two-tone paint and recessed lighting create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Additional features of this home include a water softener, bronze lighting and hardware, and 8-foot doors throughout. Security is a top priority, with a side door leading from the garage to the backyard. Speaking of the backyard, you'll find a variety of fruit trees and lush shrubs, creating a serene and picturesque outdoor space. In summary, this Ridgeview floor plan offers a beautiful blend of style, functionality, and comfort. Whether you're hosting a dinner party in the formal dining area, relaxing in the master suite, or enjoying the outdoors in the backyard oasis, this home has it all.
-
2024-05-15soldstatus $615,000 Closed 1581-char remark
Show marketing remark (1581 chars)
TAR HOME TOUR WINNER!! Welcome to the Ridgeview floor plan, a stunning home that offers both elegance and functionality. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a spacious and open layout, perfect for entertaining guests or spending quality time with family. he heart of the home is the Eat in gourmet kitchen, featuring cherry Java cabinets, granite counters, and a stylish backsplash. Equipped with stainless steel gas appliances, a breakfast bar, and ample storage space, this kitchen is a chef's dream come true. The master suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a bay window, a large walk-in closet, and a luxurious granite vanity. The walk-in shower adds a touch of luxury to your daily routine. gas barbecue is perfect for hosting outdoor gatherings and enjoying delicious meals al fresco. Inside the home, you'll find 18 x 18 staggered ceramic tile, adding a touch of elegance to every room. The two-tone paint and recessed lighting create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Additional features of this home include a water softener, bronze lighting and hardware, and 8-foot doors throughout. Security is a top priority, with a side door leading from the garage to the backyard. Speaking of the backyard, you'll find a variety of fruit trees and lush shrubs, creating a serene and picturesque outdoor space. In summary, this Ridgeview floor plan offers a beautiful blend of style, functionality, and comfort. Whether you're hosting a dinner party in the formal dining area, relaxing in the master suite, or enjoying the outdoors in the backyard oasis, this home has it all.
-
2024-05-15soldstatus $615,000
Show marketing remark (1581 chars)
TAR HOME TOUR WINNER!! Welcome to the Ridgeview floor plan, a stunning home that offers both elegance and functionality. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a spacious and open layout, perfect for entertaining guests or spending quality time with family. he heart of the home is the Eat in gourmet kitchen, featuring cherry Java cabinets, granite counters, and a stylish backsplash. Equipped with stainless steel gas appliances, a breakfast bar, and ample storage space, this kitchen is a chef's dream come true. The master suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a bay window, a large walk-in closet, and a luxurious granite vanity. The walk-in shower adds a touch of luxury to your daily routine. gas barbecue is perfect for hosting outdoor gatherings and enjoying delicious meals al fresco. Inside the home, you'll find 18 x 18 staggered ceramic tile, adding a touch of elegance to every room. The two-tone paint and recessed lighting create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Additional features of this home include a water softener, bronze lighting and hardware, and 8-foot doors throughout. Security is a top priority, with a side door leading from the garage to the backyard. Speaking of the backyard, you'll find a variety of fruit trees and lush shrubs, creating a serene and picturesque outdoor space. In summary, this Ridgeview floor plan offers a beautiful blend of style, functionality, and comfort. Whether you're hosting a dinner party in the formal dining area, relaxing in the master suite, or enjoying the outdoors in the backyard oasis, this home has it all.
-
2024-04-16historical Active Contingent 1581-char remark
Show marketing remark (1581 chars)
TAR HOME TOUR WINNER!! Welcome to the Ridgeview floor plan, a stunning home that offers both elegance and functionality. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a spacious and open layout, perfect for entertaining guests or spending quality time with family. he heart of the home is the Eat in gourmet kitchen, featuring cherry Java cabinets, granite counters, and a stylish backsplash. Equipped with stainless steel gas appliances, a breakfast bar, and ample storage space, this kitchen is a chef's dream come true. The master suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a bay window, a large walk-in closet, and a luxurious granite vanity. The walk-in shower adds a touch of luxury to your daily routine. gas barbecue is perfect for hosting outdoor gatherings and enjoying delicious meals al fresco. Inside the home, you'll find 18 x 18 staggered ceramic tile, adding a touch of elegance to every room. The two-tone paint and recessed lighting create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Additional features of this home include a water softener, bronze lighting and hardware, and 8-foot doors throughout. Security is a top priority, with a side door leading from the garage to the backyard. Speaking of the backyard, you'll find a variety of fruit trees and lush shrubs, creating a serene and picturesque outdoor space. In summary, this Ridgeview floor plan offers a beautiful blend of style, functionality, and comfort. Whether you're hosting a dinner party in the formal dining area, relaxing in the master suite, or enjoying the outdoors in the backyard oasis, this home has it all.
-
2024-01-17$630,000 Active 1581-char remark
Show marketing remark (1581 chars)
TAR HOME TOUR WINNER!! Welcome to the Ridgeview floor plan, a stunning home that offers both elegance and functionality. As you step inside, you'll be greeted by a spacious and open layout, perfect for entertaining guests or spending quality time with family. he heart of the home is the Eat in gourmet kitchen, featuring cherry Java cabinets, granite counters, and a stylish backsplash. Equipped with stainless steel gas appliances, a breakfast bar, and ample storage space, this kitchen is a chef's dream come true. The master suite is a true sanctuary, complete with a bay window, a large walk-in closet, and a luxurious granite vanity. The walk-in shower adds a touch of luxury to your daily routine. gas barbecue is perfect for hosting outdoor gatherings and enjoying delicious meals al fresco. Inside the home, you'll find 18 x 18 staggered ceramic tile, adding a touch of elegance to every room. The two-tone paint and recessed lighting create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Additional features of this home include a water softener, bronze lighting and hardware, and 8-foot doors throughout. Security is a top priority, with a side door leading from the garage to the backyard. Speaking of the backyard, you'll find a variety of fruit trees and lush shrubs, creating a serene and picturesque outdoor space. In summary, this Ridgeview floor plan offers a beautiful blend of style, functionality, and comfort. Whether you're hosting a dinner party in the formal dining area, relaxing in the master suite, or enjoying the outdoors in the backyard oasis, this home has it all.
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2016-05-06soldstatus $361,023 Closed
-
2016-03-14historical Active Contingent
-
2016-02-26$381,307 Active
-
2016-02-19historical
-
2015-11-02$385,958 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,087 · $507/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,087 · $507/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥107°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,619
- − Mortgage interest
- −$30,192
- − Property taxes
- −$6,087
- − Insurance
- −$2,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,810
- − Management
- −$3,810
- − HOA
- −$828
- − Depreciation
- −$15,680
- Taxable loss
- −$15,482
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,716
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marana Unified District (4404)
- NCES district ID
- 0404630
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,282
- Composite
- 30.96/100
- National rank
- #6103
- State rank
- #83 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Marana
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #11113
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marana, AZ
- County
- Pima County · 1,012,107 people
- City population
- 39,625
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,051
- Household income
- $123,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 147.0
Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,066,056 people
- By 2030
- 1,086,684 · +1.9%
- By 2040
- 1,117,160 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 1,149,778 · +7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,271,480 · +19.3%
- By 2100
- 1,321,160 · +23.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 17% Asian 3% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pima
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.72%
- Current HPI
- 272.3729
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tucson, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+39.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $539,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-03-22 Listed $574,000 MLSSAZ
- 2024-05-15 Pending — MLSSAZ
- 2024-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $615,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-15 Sold (MLS) $615,000 MLSSAZ
- 2024-04-16 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2024-01-17 Listed $630,000 MLSSAZ
- 2016-05-06 Sold (MLS) $361,023 MLSSAZ
- 2016-03-14 Contingent — MLSSAZ
- 2016-02-26 Listed $381,307 MLSSAZ
- 2016-02-19 Listing Removed — MLSSAZ
- 2015-11-02 Listed $385,958 MLSSAZ
Property tax history
+18.6%/yrLatest (2025): $6,087 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…