2191 Harbor Blvd #27 · Costa Mesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -6.4
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Newport Beach! The property features a recently replaced roof and has been exceptionally well maintained. Enjoy a large primary bedroom and bathroom complete with a relaxing jacuzzi tub. Conveniently located near the freeway, schools, shopping centers, hospitals, and of course, the BEACH!
Key facts
- Relaxing jacuzzi tub
- 3 parking spots
- Built 2001
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, commute F.
- Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wilson Elementary (math 27%, 361 students, 95% FRL); Charles W. Tewinkle Middle (math 26% / reading 24%, grade F, #271 of 498 statewide, top 54%, 506 students, 83% FRL); Estancia High (math 18% / reading 56%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 1,040 students, 82% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 40% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Newport-Mesa Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 88d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 25% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.26%
- DSCR
- 3.33
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $260,000
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -42.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 603 N San Michel Dr Unit C | 0.21mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,465 (+9%) | 0mo | $970,000 | $662 | 68 |
| 944 W Wilson | 1.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+3%) | 1mo | $1,065,000 | $772 | 55 |
| 195 Broadway | 1.03mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,293 (-4%) | 1mo | $1,750,000 | $1,353 | 51 |
| 2113 Federal Ave | 0.84mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,249 (-7%) | 1mo | $1,395,000 | $1,117 | 48 |
| 184 E Bay | 0.84mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,452 (+8%) | 1mo | $2,260,000 | $1,556 | 46 |
| 2425 Bowdoin | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,480 (+10%) | 0mo | $1,855,000 | $1,253 | 46 |
| 2123 Wallace | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 1,618 (+20%) | 0mo | $1,100,000 | $680 | 46 |
| 2239 Catherine | 1.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,517 (+13%) | 1mo | $2,125,000 | $1,401 | 38 |
| 453 Princeton Dr | 0.88mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (+13%) | 0mo | $1,360,000 | $894 | 38 |
| 12 Latitude Ct | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,129 (-16%) | 1mo | $779,000 | $690 | 32 |
| 2687 Orange Unit b | 0.80mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,551 (+15%) | 1mo | $1,133,000 | $730 | 32 |
| 284 E 18th | 1.28mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,576 (+17%) | 1mo | $1,900,000 | $1,206 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $87,605
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 53.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.95×
- Total profit
- $207,939
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active
- Median asking
- $265,900 ($217/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 23 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -10.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 92627
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,628 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$762
- Net cashflow
- $1,829
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,933 | -5% $1,881 | +0% $1,829 | +5% $1,777 | +10% $1,726 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,543 | -5% $1,686 | +0% $1,829 | +5% $1,973 | +10% $2,116 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,905 | -0.5pp $1,867 | base $1,829 | +0.5pp $1,790 | +1.0pp $1,751 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 543 Victoria St Unit H Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1281 | $3,995 | $3.12 | 81d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 543 Victoria St Unit H Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1281 | $3,995 | $3.12 | 105d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 2157 San Michel Dr E Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $4,200 | $3.11 | 184d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 419 Hamilton St Apt A101 Costa Mesa, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1360 | $4,995 | $3.67 | 89d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 365 Victoria St Unit B Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1305 | $3,900 | $2.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 380 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $5,000 | $3.03 | 29d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 380 W Wilson St Unit E105 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1544 | $5,000 | $3.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 380 W Wilson St Unit F103 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $4,400 | $2.67 | 95d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 376 Hamilton St Unit A103 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1441 | $4,950 | $3.44 | 65d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 376 Hamilton St Unit A101 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1441 | $5,350 | $3.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 579 Knowell Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1479 | $5,995 | $4.05 | 10d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 374 Hamilton St Unit A101 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1441 | $5,250 | $3.64 | 51d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2039 Charle St Unit B Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $3,900 | $2.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 641 Joann St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1711 | $5,850 | $3.42 | 165d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 641 Joann St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1711 | $5,850 | $3.42 | 158d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 321 Avocado St Unit T Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,650 | $2.97 | 10d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 321 Avocado St Unit K Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,650 | $2.97 | 88d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 321 Avocado St Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,650 | $2.97 | 140d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 321 Avocado St Unit T Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1229 | $3,650 | $2.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2111 Harper Way Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1871 | $6,000 | $3.21 | 161d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 260 Victoria St #5 Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1257 | $4,200 | $3.34 | 155d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 292 Joann St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $6,300 | $4.06 | 184d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 292 Joann St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $6,300 | $4.06 | 148d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2187 Raleigh Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $4,995 | $3.49 | 130d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 248 Wake Forest Rd Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $4,800 | $3.02 | 31d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2258 Pamela Ln Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,800 | $2.71 | 184d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2258 Pamela Ln Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,695 | $3.89 | 144d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2264 Pamela Ln Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,750 | $3.00 | 37d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 221 Avocado St Apt A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,950 | $3.29 | 109d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2212 Placentia Ave Unit A Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,400 | $3.40 | 184d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1985 Pomona Ave Unit O Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,895 | $3.00 | 115d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2157 Rural Ln Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $5,200 | $3.50 | 184d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 660 Beach St Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1190 | $4,600 | $3.87 | 40d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2171 Rural Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $7,600 | $4.34 | 138d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2110 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $5,200 | $4.32 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 783 Wonder Ln Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1738 | $5,850 | $3.37 | 9d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2528 Bowdoin Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 41d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2528 Bowdoin Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $5,500 | $3.51 | 56d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2528 Bowdoin Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $5,500 | $3.51 | 33d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2528 Bowdoin Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 38d | 1 | 0.82mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-07-26days on market $150,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $150,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $150,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $150,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $150,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $150,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $150,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $150,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $150,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $150,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $150,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $150,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $150,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $150,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $150,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $150,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $150,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $150,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $150,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $150,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $150,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $150,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $150,000 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Newport Beach! The property features a recently replaced roof and has been exceptionally well maintained. Enjoy a large primary bedroom and bathroom complete with a relaxing jacuzzi tub. Conveniently located near the freeway, schools, shopping centers, hospitals, and of course, the BEACH!
-
2026-03-04$119,900 Active 347-char remark
Show marketing remark (347 chars)
Spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Newport Beach! The property features a recently replaced roof and has been exceptionally well maintained. Enjoy a large primary bedroom and bathroom complete with a relaxing jacuzzi tub. Conveniently located near the freeway, schools, shopping centers, hospitals, and of course, the BEACH!
-
2026-02-23historical
-
2025-11-25$150,000 Active
-
2021-12-02historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,532
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,483
- − Management
- −$3,483
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $20,801
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,992
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This home is in good condition with a good roof and well-maintained exterior. It has a good layout and is located in a desirable area. The home is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some interior updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Deep clean interior spaces — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add modern decor — Modern decor can make the home more attractive and increase its value. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Outdoor lighting can enhance curb appeal and make the home more inviting at night. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport-Mesa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627240
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,922
- Composite
- 47.64/100
- National rank
- #2248
- State rank
- #106 of 517 in CA
Livability — Costa Mesa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #18441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Costa Mesa, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,477,456 people
- City population
- 111,101
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,393
- Household income
- $108,994
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1520.53%
- Current HPI
- 455.1299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+7.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $119,900 CRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2021-12-02 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2021-06-07 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
- 2020-11-25 Sold (MLS) $85,000 CRMLS
- 2020-10-29 Pending — CRMLS
- 2020-10-10 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2020-09-15 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $272 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…