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10670 Seven Hills Rd
D- Composite 37.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0

$205,000

10670 Seven Hills Rd · Tyler, TX 75708
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 2021 1.00 ac lot ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Are you looking for an affordable home and wanting to get away from the hussle and bussle of the city life. This is the one!! Welcome to 10670 Seven Hills Rd in Tyler, Texas — a charming one-owner home nestled on a full acre of peaceful East Texas countryside. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath residence offers a comfortable and functional layout designed for everyday living. Step inside to an inviting open-concept living room and kitchen, creating the perfect space for gathering with family and friends. The kitchen is equipped with a well maintained stove, microwave, and dishwasher. The on trend white cabinet and ceramic flooring compliements well with each other. You will not fi

Key facts

  • Ceramic flooring
  • Natural light
  • Full acre

Tags

FULL ACREOPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOMCERAMIC FLOORINGNATURAL LIGHTOUTDOOR LIVINGMOVE IN READY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession: 30–60 days or at closing/funding; Listing terms: Exclusive Right To Sell; Special listing conditions: Standard; Refrigerator excluded from sale
  • Financial info: Financing available: Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA Loan, VA Loan
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking (1 space); Carport (1 space); Additional parking available
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Well water; Septic system; All-weather road access; Municipal utility district: no
  • Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One story; Property attached: yes; Built in 2021; Subdivision: Las Palmas Add
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Year built 2021
  • Exterior features: Large backyard with grass; Few trees; Level lot; Acreage; Patio/porch: none noted; Easements for utilities and water lines

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level with walk-in closet; Two additional bedrooms on main level with custom closet systems
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Window coverings; One living area; One dining area; Total of 6 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-233 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (20.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $143k (30.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (30.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Chapel Hill ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #650 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,640 (30.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.93%
Cash-on-cash
-4.86%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$32,001
Equity at exit
$115,728
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$109,764
Equity at exit
$199,365

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75708

Home prices YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,426 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,389/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$300
Net cashflow
$-233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,721
Max offer price $163,900
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $205,000 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $205,000 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 94 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $205,000 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 91 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $205,000 Active 86 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $210,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 79 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $210,000 Active 78 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    price $210,000
  17. 2026-03-27
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-24
    historical Active Option Contract
  19. 2026-03-13
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,389 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,752 · $313/mo
Expected delta
+$1,363/yr (+$114/mo · 57.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,117
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$2,389
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,369
− Management
−$1,369
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$6,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,556
After-tax cash flow
$-1,236/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chapel Hill ISD
NCES district ID
4813650
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,891
Composite
24.76/100
National rank
#7603
State rank
#650 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
127,842
Population (ZIP)
10,001

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% White 39% Two or more races 9% Black 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49%
Common ancestry
Danish 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.96%
Current HPI
216.4494
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $210,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-27 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $215,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+14.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,389 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…