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530 Main St Multi-family
B Composite 70.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,500,000

530 Main St · Middletown, CT 06457
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 11,033 sqft · MultiFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1860 Good condition 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Prime Mixed-Use Investment Opportunity - Downtown Middletown, CT. This asset currently produces 9.7 cap annually, features a total of 16 units, including 4 retail storefronts and 12 on1-bedroom residential apartments. The retail spaces are currently occupied by established neighborhood businesses, including a grocery store, Boost Mobile, a barber shop, and a convenience store-providing steady foot traffic and consistent rental income. The residential component consists of twelve 1-bedroom units, offering strong demand in this vibrant downtown location. The asset include: mostly of windows recently replaced, hardwired smoke detectors throughout, fire sprinkler system installed, tenants cover

Key facts

  • Street parking
  • High visibility
  • Retail storefronts

Tags

RETAIL STOREFRONTSRECENTLY REPLACED WINDOWSHARDWIRED SMOKE DETECTORSFIRE SPRINKLER SYSTEMSTREET PARKINGHIGH VISIBILITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total living area approximately 11,033 (public record); Total rooms: 4; Total number of units: 16
  • Financial info: Assessed value available

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Other type of hot water system
  • Home design: Multi-family property (5+ units)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Level lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Heated by electric and natural gas
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.50M. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($112k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $1.50M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.48M (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 3.7% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#17 in CT, #1,390 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Middletown School District (urban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #113 of 153 in CT (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Macdonough School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #318 of 553 statewide, top 60%, 227 students, 66% FRL); Middletown High School (math 25% / reading 52%, grade F, #111 of 194 statewide, top 57%, 1,214 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 38% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $24,961/mo this rent would consume 377% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2196% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $10k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $45k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,477,500 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.78%
Cash-on-cash
26.72%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$285,078
Equity at exit
$223,655
10-year hold
IRR
23.8%
Equity multiple
2.79×
Total profit
$753,151
Equity at exit
$129,693

Cash invested: $420,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06457

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
79.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$24,961 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,866
Tax est. 1.5%
$1,875 /mo · $22,500/yr
Insurance
$625
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,242
Net cashflow
$9,353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $13,122
Max offer price $1,500,000
Occupancy floor 58%

16-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (16 units) $24,961

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$375,000
Closing costs
$45,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
230 Main St Unit 2B Portland, CT 1.0 1.0 7748 $1,295 $0.17 23d 1 0.97mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-11
    listed $1,500,000 Active
  3. 2015-05-31
    historical
  4. 2014-12-03
    listed $950,000
  5. 2013-06-07
    historical
  6. 2011-08-14
    listed $599,000
  7. 2011-07-31
    historical
  8. 2011-04-15
    listed $1,000,000
  9. 2011-03-31
    historical
  10. 2010-12-08
    listed $999,990

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$299,532
− Mortgage interest
−$84,023
− Property taxes
−$22,500
− Insurance
−$7,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$23,963
− Management
−$23,963
− Depreciation
−$43,636
Taxable income
$93,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$22,547
After-tax cash flow
$89,689/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This multi-family property in downtown Middletown, CT is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with steady rental income from retail and residential units.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and attracts potential tenants
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Smoke detector replacement — Ensures safety and complies with regulations

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and attracts potential tenants
  • Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Smoke detector replacement — Ensures safety and complies with regulations

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Middletown School District
NCES district ID
0902490
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$60,733
Composite
30.47/100
National rank
#6224
State rank
#113 of 153 in CT

Livability — Middletown

Score
81/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#1390

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Middletown, CT
County
Middlesex County · 63,941 people
City population
46,720
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
46,720
Household income
$79,463
Rent vs Own
47.1% rent · 52.9% own
Severe rent burden
2196.0

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -470.20%
Current HPI
255.1597
Rent YoY
▲ 0.22%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $1,500,000 Smart MLS
  • 2015-05-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2014-12-03 Listed $950,000 Smart MLS
  • 2013-06-07 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2011-08-14 Listed $599,000 Smart MLS
  • 2011-07-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2011-04-15 Listed $1,000,000 Smart MLS
  • 2011-03-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2010-12-08 Listed $999,990 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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