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1704 Valley Forge Way Fourplex
B- Composite 66.88
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$337,500

1704 Valley Forge Way · Louisville, KY 40215
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,430 sqft · MultiFamily · 60 Days on market
Built 1965

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! 4-unit apartment building. Dedicated parking, well managed. Opportunity for higher rent revenue. Building is located close to Downtown and easy convenient access I 264. Contact listing agent with any questions.

Key facts

  • 5 parking spots
  • Built 1965
  • Listed 60 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building area reported as 3,430 (source: other)
  • Financial info: Designed as income-producing multifamily with separate meters (tenant pays electric and gas; owner pays water)
  • HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Five parking spaces; No covered parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Tenant pays electric and gas; Owner pays water
  • Home design: Multifamily property with multiple units; Built in 1965; Other architectural style; Shingle roof; Brick construction; Entry level information not specified; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Year built: 1965; Foundation details not specified
  • Exterior features: No additional exterior features listed; Sidewalk along the lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Each unit has a kitchen; Ranges present in each unit; Refrigerators present in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Eight total bedrooms (four on the first level, four on the second level)
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (two on the first level, two on the second level)
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Two residential units per floor (total of 4 units); Each unit includes a living room and kitchen; Separate meters for utilities
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry facilities on both first and second levels (two laundry areas per level); Four furnaces

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $338k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $307/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $338k).
  • Recommended offer: $327k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,360/mo this rent would consume 120% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $94k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($327k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 5% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $293k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $327,375 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.57%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$33,085
Equity at exit
$50,322
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$170,874
Equity at exit
$29,181

Cash invested: $94,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40215

Home prices YoY
-34.4%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
25.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,360 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,770
Tax from tax record
$308 /mo · $3,692/yr
Insurance
$141
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$916
Net cashflow
$1,226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,808
Max offer price $337,500
Occupancy floor 67%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,360

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$84,375
Closing costs
$10,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $337,500 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $337,500 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $337,500 Active 58 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $337,500 Active 57 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $337,500 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $337,500 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $337,500 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $337,500 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $337,500 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $337,500 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $337,500 Active Under Contract 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $337,500 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $337,500 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
  14. 2026-04-26
    historical Active Under Contract
  15. 2026-04-26
    price $337,500
  16. 2026-04-19
    listed $320,000 Active
  17. 2024-05-16
    soldstatus $293,000
  18. 2024-05-13
    soldstatus $293,000 Closed 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! 4-unit apartment building. Dedicated parking, well managed. Opportunity for higher rent revenue. Building is located close to Downtown and easy convenient access I 264. Contact listing agent with any questions.

  19. 2024-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! 4-unit apartment building. Dedicated parking, well managed. Opportunity for higher rent revenue. Building is located close to Downtown and easy convenient access I 264. Contact listing agent with any questions.

  20. 2024-03-29
    status Pending 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! 4-unit apartment building. Dedicated parking, well managed. Opportunity for higher rent revenue. Building is located close to Downtown and easy convenient access I 264. Contact listing agent with any questions.

  21. 2024-03-27
    listed $300,000 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!! 4-unit apartment building. Dedicated parking, well managed. Opportunity for higher rent revenue. Building is located close to Downtown and easy convenient access I 264. Contact listing agent with any questions.

  22. 2024-03-14
    historical $895
  23. 2024-01-07
    listed $895
  24. 2022-03-18
    soldstatus $300,000 Closed 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Turn-key Fourplex off taylor blvd. The building was remodeled in 2018. Including new plumbing, Hvac units, Electrical panels, Cabinets, Flooring and roofing. $3,000 in monthly rent. All units are 2 bedroom 1 bath. Owner/agent

  25. 2022-03-14
    soldstatus $300,000
  26. 2022-02-05
    status Pending 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Turn-key Fourplex off taylor blvd. The building was remodeled in 2018. Including new plumbing, Hvac units, Electrical panels, Cabinets, Flooring and roofing. $3,000 in monthly rent. All units are 2 bedroom 1 bath. Owner/agent

  27. 2022-02-04
    listed $300,000 Active 225-char remark
    Show marketing remark (225 chars)

    Turn-key Fourplex off taylor blvd. The building was remodeled in 2018. Including new plumbing, Hvac units, Electrical panels, Cabinets, Flooring and roofing. $3,000 in monthly rent. All units are 2 bedroom 1 bath. Owner/agent

  28. 2022-02-03
    historical
  29. 2022-02-03
    listed $300,000 Active
  30. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $22,000
  31. 2018-03-09
    soldstatus $42,000
  32. 2006-12-29
    soldstatus $147,500
  33. 2004-11-18
    soldstatus $128,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,692 · $308/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,692 · $308/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$52,320
− Mortgage interest
−$18,905
− Property taxes
−$3,692
− Insurance
−$1,688
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,186
− Management
−$4,186
− Depreciation
−$9,818
Taxable income
$9,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,363
After-tax cash flow
$12,352/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
2102990
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$47,885
Composite
23.45/100
National rank
#7884
State rank
#121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

Score
63/100
State rank
#333
US rank
#15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisville, KY
County
Jefferson County · 790,184 people
City population
769,292
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
20,532
Household income
$43,725
Rent vs Own
56.4% rent · 43.6% own
Severe rent burden
997.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
823,112 people
By 2030
849,343 · +3.2%
By 2040
895,696 · +8.8%
By 2050
933,630 · +13.4%
By 2075
1,028,262 · +24.9%
By 2100
1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 33% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -119.35%
Current HPI
227.8248
Rent YoY
▲ 5.16%
Metro
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+163.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-26 Price Changed $337,500 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Listed $320,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $293,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-13 Sold (MLS) $293,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-04-30 Contingent Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-03-29 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-03-27 Listed $300,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2024-03-14 Rental Removed $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-01-07 Listed for Rent $895 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-03-18 Sold (MLS) $300,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2022-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2022-02-05 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2022-02-04 Listed $300,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2022-02-03 Listed $300,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2022-02-03 Listing Removed Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-09 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
  • 2004-11-18 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,692 · -4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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