18 Kencrest Cir · Gates, NY 14606

$199,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,394 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1975 0.57 ac lot $143/sqft · 16% below area Est $238k · 16% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +14.7/15.0
• Cash flow +7.1/30.0
• 1% rule +4.3/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 3 bedroom, 1 bathroom split level home offering 1,394 square feet of comfortable living space, tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac. Freshly painted walls and brand new carpet create a clean, modern feel throughout the home. The updated utilities in 2024 provide a peace of mind so all you have to do is move in. The kitchen features quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and open sight lines perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the privacy and low-traffic setting of cul-de-sac living, with plenty of outdoor space in the . 57 acre yard. Delayed negotiations will begin on Monday 5/18/26 at 5:00 pm

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• Updated utilities
• Cul-de-sac living

Tags

• CUL-DE-SAC LIVING
• UPDATED UTILITIES
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• OUTDOOR SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 2 spaces; Driveway parking; Garage door opener; Garage has electricity
• Security: Radon mitigation system
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Cable available
• Home design: 2-story home; Resale property
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing construction
• Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Patio; Shed(s) and storage; Cul-de-sac lot; Irregular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 51 x 177

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Quartz counters; Eat-in kitchen
• Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7 (includes laundry, living room, recreation, basement)
• Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Varied flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning; Programmable thermostat
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen/family room combo; Quartz counters; Sliding glass doors; Programmable thermostat; Thermal windows; Sliding doors
• Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater; Sump pump in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-287 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (25.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $149k (25.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 5.9% in Gates — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#582 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Gates-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #491 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.

Recommended offer $149,275 (25.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.93% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.57%
• Cash-on-cash: -6.14%
• DSCR: 0.73
• GRM: 9.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $238,035
• List price: $199,900
• Delta: -16.02%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
20 Fairchild Rd	0.14mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,346 (-3%)	4mo	$203,000	$151	79
87 Bru Mar Dr	0.68mi	3/2.0	1,364 (-2%)	1mo	$305,000	$224	60
178 Ardella St	0.37mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,246 (-11%)	4mo	$240,000	$193	57
34 Evelyn St	0.68mi	3/1.5	1,318 (-6%)	1mo	$220,000	$167	57
321 Crestwood Blvd	0.66mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,455 (+4%)	2mo	$236,000	$162	55
67 Colwick Rd	0.59mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,297 (-7%)	2mo	$200,000	$154	55
81 Spencerport Rd	0.54mi	3/1.0	1,231 (-12%)	5mo	$222,000	$180	51
68 Elder St	0.41mi	3/1.5	1,200 (-14%)	6mo	$215,000	$179	51
38 Debby Ln	0.60mi	3/1.0	1,528 (+10%)	6mo	$200,000	$131	50
36 Gatewood Ave	0.65mi	3/1.0	1,242 (-11%)	3mo	$260,000	$209	49
24 Varian Ln	0.61mi	3/1.0	1,224 (-12%)	5mo	$170,000	$139	47
151 Gatewood Ave	0.74mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,218 (-13%)	4mo	$179,540	$147	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-44,087
• Equity at exit: $29,806

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-33,189
• Equity at exit: $17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14606

• Home prices YoY: -17.9%
• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 124
• Price-to-rent: 9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,850 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,048
• Tax from tax record: −$616 /mo · $7,394/yr
• Insurance: −$83
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$388
• Net cashflow: $-287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,212

Max offer price $149,275

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-173	-5% $-230	+0% $-287	+5% $-343	+10% $-400
Rent	-10% $-433	-5% $-360	+0% $-287	+5% $-214	+10% $-140
Rate	-1.0pp $-186	-0.5pp $-236	base $-287	+0.5pp $-338	+1.0pp $-391

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $49,975
• Closing costs: $5,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,850	$1.68	4d	1	1.26mi
155 Canal Landing Blvd Rochester, NY	1.0–3.0	1.5–2.0	1174	$2,050	$1.75	4d	5	1.27mi
108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY	3.0	2.0	1278	$1,900	$1.49	11d	1	1.43mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-14
   listed $199,900 Active 647-char remark
2. 2013-12-09
   soldstatus $100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $7,394 · $616/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,394 · $616/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,195
• − Mortgage interest: −$11,198
• − Property taxes: −$7,394
• − Insurance: −$1,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,776
• − Management: −$1,776
• − Depreciation: −$5,815
• Taxable loss: −$6,762
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,623
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gates-Chili Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3611880
• Math proficiency: 41% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $55,045
• Composite: 36.23/100
• National rank: #4719
• State rank: #491 of 590 in NY

Livability — Gates

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #582
• US rank: #10531

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gates, NY
• County: Monroe County · 674,131 people
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 25,538
• Household income: $55,807
• Rent vs Own: 38.2% rent · 61.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 986.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.59%
• Current HPI: 287.6868
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.28%
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+99.9% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-14 Listed $199,900 UNYREIS
• 2013-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,394 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.