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601 North Ln
D Composite 42.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$219,900

601 North Ln · Avondale, CO 81022
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,418 sqft · Manufactured public records · 177 Days on market
Built 1998 6,098 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1998

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: One residential unit

Exterior

  • Parking: Two total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Community sewer
  • Home design: Single-family manufactured home; One story; Unattached property
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (approx. 13x12)
  • Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms (approx. 13x12, 10x9, 13x10, 13x9)
  • Bathrooms: Two full main-level bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Living room; Family room; Front porch

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-833/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $208k (5.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (24.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#255 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Vineland Elementary School (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #534 of 966 statewide, top 56%, 308 students, 56% FRL); Vineland Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #207 of 270 statewide, top 79%, 313 students, 63% FRL); Pueblo County High School (math 29% / reading 52%, grade F, #164 of 381 statewide, top 43%, 1,219 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 55% FRL vs 33% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $220k implies a 730% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $165,213 (24.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.35%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$129,038
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
326 Katherine St 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,498 (+6%) 8mo $136,000 $91 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.58% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$17,117
Equity at exit
$93,675
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$73,259
Equity at exit
$140,444

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 81022

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,557/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$-69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,740
Max offer price $207,641
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $55 -5% $-7 +0% $-69 +5% $-132 +10% $-194
Rent -10% $-200 -5% $-135 +0% $-69 +5% $-4 +10% $61
Rate -1.0pp $41 -0.5pp $-13 base $-69 +0.5pp $-126 +1.0pp $-184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $219,900 Pending 177 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $219,900 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,900 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,900 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,900 Active 174 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $219,900 Active 171 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $219,900 Active 170 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,900 Active 169 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,900 Active 168 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,900 Active 167 DOM
  11. 2026-05-30
    days on market $219,900 Active 166 DOM
  12. 2026-05-18
    price $204,900 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  13. 2026-04-03
    price $209,900 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  14. 2026-03-29
    price $215,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  15. 2026-01-14
    listed $219,900 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  16. 2025-12-15
    listed $219,900 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  17. 2025-12-15
    listed $219,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  18. 2025-12-15
    listed $219,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Tranquility with convenient access to Pueblo — just a short 15-minute drive away. This home sits in the heart of a quiet, close-knit community known for its open skies, local farms, and peaceful lifestyle. 4 Bedrooms, 2 Bathrooms and a one car garage with wood burning stove.

  19. 2025-01-25
    listed $219,900 Active
  20. 2014-12-22
    soldstatus $26,500
  21. 2014-10-24
    listed $34,900
  22. 2009-01-05
    listed $59,900
  23. 2004-07-29
    soldstatus $40,000
  24. 2004-06-10
    listed $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,557 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,557 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,826
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$1,557
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$4,718
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,132
After-tax cash flow
$300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pueblo County School District 70
NCES district ID
0806150
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,438
Composite
29.93/100
National rank
#6381
State rank
#40 of 86 in CO

Livability — Avondale

Score
60/100
State rank
#255
US rank
#19405

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Avondale, CO
Population (ZIP)
1,351

Population outlook (Pueblo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
173,240 people
By 2030
177,716 · +2.6%
By 2040
185,125 · +6.9%
By 2050
190,642 · +10.0%
By 2075
201,611 · +16.4%
By 2100
196,443 · +13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (53%)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 29%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 24% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pueblo

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.2% · R 51.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+1.7 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+13.1 2008: D+15.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.58%
Current HPI
303.037
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+256.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $204,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $209,900 PARMLS
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $215,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $219,900 elevateMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $219,900 PARMLS
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $219,900 IRES
  • 2025-12-15 Listed $219,900 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-25 Listed $219,900 PARMLS
  • 2014-12-22 Sold (MLS) $26,500 PARMLS
  • 2014-10-24 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
  • 2009-01-05 Listed $59,900 PARMLS
  • 2004-07-29 Sold (MLS) $40,000 PARMLS
  • 2004-06-10 Listed $57,500 PARMLS

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,557 · +39.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…