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1262 Chestuee Rd
D- Composite 38.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0

$219,900

1262 Chestuee Rd · Benton, TN 37325
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,800 sqft · Manufactured public records
Built 2021 0.78 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

VIEWS, VIEWS, and more VIEWS. This beautiful home is situated in the middle of a peaceful serenity countryside. Just minutes from the River and Ocoee kayaking. This Home has 3ba/2ba. Large master bath w/ garden tub and shower. 2 Family Rooms walk in Laundry room with tons of storage. You'll love waking up to beautiful Mt Views and Fresh Air.

Key facts

  • 0.78 acre lot
  • Built 2021

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-265 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (21.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $131k (40.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (40.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.2% in Benton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#118 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Polk County (rural): math 32% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #44 of 139 in TN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Polk County High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 443 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 211 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Polk County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,708 (40.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
14.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$102,787
Equity at exit
$198,103
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
6.13×
Total profit
$315,717
Equity at exit
$427,217

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37325

Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
14.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,307 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $630/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$-265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,642
Max offer price $173,139
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    historical
  2. 2026-04-22
    listed $219,900
  3. 2025-11-02
    status Pending
  4. 2025-11-01
    historical
  5. 2025-09-16
    price $249,900
  6. 2025-08-06
    price $259,900
  7. 2025-07-01
    price $269,900
  8. 2025-06-04
    soldstatus $369,900
  9. 2025-05-13
    price $279,900
  10. 2025-04-12
    listed $289,900 Active
  11. 2025-04-12
    listed $249,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$630 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,561 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$931/yr (+$78/mo · 147.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,685
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$630
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,255
− Management
−$1,255
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$7,269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,745
After-tax cash flow
$-1,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Polk County
NCES district ID
4703450
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,990
Composite
26.72/100
National rank
#7149
State rank
#44 of 139 in TN

Livability — Benton

Score
66/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#11569

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,952

Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,734 people
By 2030
16,567 · -1.0%
By 2040
16,015 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,172 · -9.3%
By 2075
12,998 · -22.3%
By 2100
10,606 · -36.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Polish 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · German/W. Germanic 10% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Polk

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.1) · D 15.5% · R 83.7%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -33.0pp · 2024: -68.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.1 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+59.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+33.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 118.08%
Current HPI
433.79
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Delisted RCAOR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $219,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-11-02 Pending RCAOR
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $249,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-08-06 Price Changed $259,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-07-01 Price Changed $269,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $369,900 Public Records
  • 2025-05-13 Price Changed $279,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-04-12 Listed $289,900 RCAOR
  • 2025-04-12 Listed $249,900 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $630 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…