165 W Turner St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.26%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
Key facts
- Built 1880
- Listed 108 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,048/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $61k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $169k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.52%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $182,900
- List price
- $169,000
- Delta
- -7.60%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 E Walnut St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,081 (+13%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $154 | 38 |
| 334 E Walnut St E | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,621 (-12%) | 1mo | $232,500 | $143 | 35 |
| 168 E E Union St | 0.63mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,674 (-9%) | 18mo | $245,000 | $146 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $9,293
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $71,200
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18102
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,048 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,013/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,600 | $1.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1658 | $1,650 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 213 Chew St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1725 | $2,100 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 389 W Turner St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 2144 | $2,400 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 630 N Front St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1912 | $1,900 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1801 | $2,250 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 432 N Law St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 450 Hanover Ave Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1692 | $2,200 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 631 W Allen St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1695 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 622 Park St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1638 | $2,300 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1670 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $2,250 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1304 N 4th St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $2,900 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 913 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1476 | $1,698 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 738 W Cedar St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1900 | $2,500 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 823 W Washington St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 948 W Maple St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1932 | $2,300 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 856 N 8th St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1499 | $1,975 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 626 N 11th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 2d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 144 S 12th St Allentown, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 36 S Jefferson St Allentown, PA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 2128 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-04-23price $169,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-04-15price $172,500 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-04-13status Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-04-13price $174,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-03-25status Pending 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-03-20price $179,000 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-03-13price $184,900 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-02-23price $189,900 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-01-29price $199,900 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
2026-01-05$229,900 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!
-
1987-03-31soldstatus $29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,013 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,342 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$328/yr (+$27/mo · 16.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,578
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$2,013
- − Insurance
- −$845
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,966
- − Management
- −$1,966
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable income
- $3,404
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$817
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 172,996
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,001
- Household income
- $43,085
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4313.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.01%
- Current HPI
- 404.834
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.48%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+465.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Price Changed $169,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $172,500 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $174,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-25 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $179,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $184,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $199,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $229,900 GLVRMLS
- 1987-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $2,013 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…