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165 W Turner St
B- Composite 66.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • DSCR +9.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

165 W Turner St · Allentown, PA 18102
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,846 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1880 1,651 sqft lot $92/sqft · 8% below area Est $183k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

Key facts

  • Built 1880
  • Listed 108 days

Tags

CONVENIENT DOWNTOWN LOCATIONACCESS TO MAJOR ROUTESSHOPPING AND AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
  • Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,048/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 4313% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $61k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $169k implies a 465% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $153,790 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.80%
Cash-on-cash
12.52%
DSCR
1.56
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$182,900
List price
$169,000
Delta
-7.60%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
226 E Walnut St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (-1) 2,081 (+13%) 6mo $320,000 $154 38
334 E Walnut St E 0.75mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,621 (-12%) 1mo $232,500 $143 35
168 E E Union St 0.63mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,674 (-9%) 18mo $245,000 $146 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.9%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$9,293
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$71,200
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18102

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,048 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,013/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$494

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,423
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,600 $1.15 2d 1 0.02mi
208 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1396 $1,700 $1.22 23d 1 0.02mi
111 Ridge Ave Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1658 $1,650 $1.00 44d 1 0.11mi
213 Chew St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1725 $2,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.14mi
389 W Turner St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 2144 $2,400 $1.12 2d 1 0.33mi
630 N Front St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1912 $1,900 $0.99 23d 1 0.46mi
164 W Tilghman St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1801 $2,250 $1.25 23d 1 0.46mi
432 N Law St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 14d 1 0.63mi
450 Hanover Ave Allentown, PA 5.0 1.0 1692 $2,200 $1.30 23d 1 0.69mi
535 Tilghman St Unit 2ND Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 2d 1 0.77mi
631 W Allen St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1695 $2,100 $1.24 44d 1 0.81mi
622 Park St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1638 $2,300 $1.40 2d 1 0.81mi
1111 Fullerton Ave Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1670 $2,200 $1.32 44d 1 0.92mi
828 W Gordon St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.5 1628 $2,250 $1.38 2d 1 0.92mi
1304 N 4th St Allentown, PA 5.0 2.0 1891 $2,900 $1.53 44d 1 0.96mi
913 N 6th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1476 $1,698 $1.15 14d 1 0.96mi
738 W Cedar St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1900 $2,500 $1.32 44d 1 1.03mi
823 W Washington St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 14d 1 1.08mi
948 W Maple St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.0 1932 $2,300 $1.19 44d 1 1.09mi
856 N 8th St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 1499 $1,975 $1.32 19d 1 1.10mi
626 N 11th St Allentown, PA 4.0 1.5 1642 $2,200 $1.34 2d 1 1.28mi
144 S 12th St Allentown, PA 4.0 2.0 1242 $2,000 $1.61 2d 1 1.37mi
36 S Jefferson St Allentown, PA 5.0 1.5 2128 $2,500 $1.17 14d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  2. 2026-04-23
    price $169,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  3. 2026-04-15
    price $172,500 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  4. 2026-04-13
    status Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  5. 2026-04-13
    price $174,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  6. 2026-03-25
    status Pending 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  7. 2026-03-20
    price $179,000 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  8. 2026-03-13
    price $184,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  9. 2026-02-23
    price $189,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  10. 2026-01-29
    price $199,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  11. 2026-01-05
    listed $229,900 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    5 bedroom home with a solid opportunity for renovation and value-add. This property requires repairs and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or rehab buyers looking to restore and reposition. Convenient downtown location with access to major routes, shopping, and amenities. Come take a look at this property today, make it a great addition to a rental portfolio!

  12. 1987-03-31
    soldstatus $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,013 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,342 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$328/yr (+$27/mo · 16.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 26% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,578
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,013
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,966
− Management
−$1,966
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$3,404
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$817
After-tax cash flow
$5,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allentown City SD
NCES district ID
4202280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$36,337
Composite
12.43/100
National rank
#9630
State rank
#513 of 539 in PA

Livability — Allentown

Score
81/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#1440

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Allentown, PA
County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
172,996
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
51,001
Household income
$43,085
Rent vs Own
67.9% rent · 32.1% own
Severe rent burden
4313.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 28% White 18% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 38% Dominican 22%
Common ancestry
Polish 1% Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 52% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -227.01%
Current HPI
404.834
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+465.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $169,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $172,500 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $174,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $179,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $184,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $199,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $229,900 GLVRMLS
  • 1987-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $29,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,013 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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