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2 Scott Ave
D+ Composite 49.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,900

2 Scott Ave · New Hartford, NY 13413
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1953 9,450 sqft lot Est $261k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Better put your running shoes on and get in quick! This 2 Bedroom ranch sits on large corner lot. Gleaming Hardwood floors, wonderful eat in kitchen & formal dining room. 11x25 family room/utility room addition with gas stove creates a cozy place for the family to gather Central Air too!

Key facts

  • Hard wood floors
  • First floor laundry
  • Gas fireplace

Tags

MOVE IN READYHARD WOOD FLOORSGAS FIREPLACEFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRYDRY BASEMENTRELAXING DECK

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available; Cable available; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing/resale property; Road frontage on a main thoroughfare; Rectangular lot (approximately 135 x 70)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as an existing/resale property
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Deck (open); Porch; Partial fencing; Shed(s)/storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Varies
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Main level primary; Thermal windows; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $263k (2.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in New Hartford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#157 in NY, #2,420 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F.
  • New Hartford Central School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #128 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $134k; list at $270k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $263,167 (2.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.72%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Bonnie Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,359 (+3%) 7mo $285,000 $210 75
63 Higby Rd 0.43mi 2/1.5 1,328 (+1%) 9mo $201,000 $151 69
54 Hartford Ter 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,352 (+2%) 4mo $100,000 $74 68
12 Sherrill Ln 0.23mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,452 (+10%) 0mo $205,000 $141 65
2816 Ferndale Pl 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,209 (-8%) 5mo $128,750 $106 62
5 Park St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (+2%) 8mo $185,000 $138 58
8 Janet 0.60mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,245 (-6%) 0mo $274,000 $220 58
142 Farmington Rd 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,428 (+8%) 2mo $295,500 $207 56
58 Sunnyside Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+9%) 9mo $265,000 $184 56
9 Overbrook Cres 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,414 (+7%) 0mo $300,000 $212 50
23 Beechwood Rd 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,237 (-6%) 8mo $285,000 $230 50
4 Overbrook Cres 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,488 (+13%) 7mo $295,000 $198 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-28,771
Equity at exit
$40,243
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-5,710
Equity at exit
$23,336

Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13413

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,632 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,415
Tax from tax record
$317 /mo · $3,800/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$553
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,335
Max offer price $269,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,475
Closing costs
$8,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Sanger Ave New Hartford, NY 3.0 2.5 1852 $3,750 $2.02 43d 1 0.36mi
225 Thieme Pl Utica, NY 3.0 2.0 1872 $2,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.92mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-08
    listed $269,900 Active
  3. 2015-10-01
    soldstatus $133,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Better put your running shoes on and get in quick! This 2 Bedroom ranch sits on large corner lot. Gleaming Hardwood floors, wonderful eat in kitchen & formal dining room. 11x25 family room/utility room addition with gas stove creates a cozy place for the family to gather Central Air too!

  4. 2015-09-18
    soldstatus $130,000
  5. 2015-06-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Better put your running shoes on and get in quick! This 2 Bedroom ranch sits on large corner lot. Gleaming Hardwood floors, wonderful eat in kitchen & formal dining room. 11x25 family room/utility room addition with gas stove creates a cozy place for the family to gather Central Air too!

  6. 2015-06-15
    listed $139,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Better put your running shoes on and get in quick! This 2 Bedroom ranch sits on large corner lot. Gleaming Hardwood floors, wonderful eat in kitchen & formal dining room. 11x25 family room/utility room addition with gas stove creates a cozy place for the family to gather Central Air too!

  7. 2015-06-05
    listed $149,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,800 · $317/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,181 · $348/mo
Expected delta
+$381/yr (+$32/mo · 10.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,580
− Mortgage interest
−$15,119
− Property taxes
−$3,800
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,526
− Management
−$2,526
− Depreciation
−$7,852
Taxable loss
−$1,592
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$382
After-tax cash flow
$3,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Hartford Central School District
NCES district ID
3620370
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$67,028
Composite
61.37/100
National rank
#769
State rank
#128 of 590 in NY

Livability — New Hartford

Score
78/100
State rank
#157
US rank
#2420

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Hartford, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
16,742
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
16,742
Household income
$95,261
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
395.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Asian 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Vietnam, China, Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.17%
Current HPI
295.4235
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $269,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-10-01 Sold (MLS) $133,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2015-06-15 Listed $139,900 CNYIS
  • 2015-06-15 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2015-06-05 Listed $149,000 CNYIS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,800 · -6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…