19127 Pioneer #73 · Artesia, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.07%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$221,988
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity to own a spacious manufactured home in a prime Artesia location bordering the Cerritos neighborhood. This well-designed home features an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Enjoy a large living room with vaulted ceilings that flows seamlessly into the dining area, along with a full kitchen offering ample cabinet space. The generously sized primary bedroom includes an oversized en-suite bathroom with both a bathtub and separate shower. Additional highlights include indoor laundry with washer and dryer hookups, central air conditioning and heating. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, exercise room, and guest parking. Located within the desirable ABC Unified School District and conveniently close to Cerritos Mall, shopping centers, restaurants, public transportation, and the 91 and 605 freeways. A home waiting for you.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Full kitchen
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $222k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $222k).
- Recommended offer: $195k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 2.5% in Artesia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#311 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A, employment B+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Abc Unified (suburban): math 77% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #24 of 517 in CA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Bragg Elementary (math 64% / reading 74%, grade A-, #147 of 1,571 statewide, top 10%, 631 students, 48% FRL); Haskell (Pliny Fisk) Middle (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A, #25 of 498 statewide, top 6%, 461 students, 68% FRL); Gahr (Richard) High (1,682 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 41% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $222k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.86%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,047
- List price
- $221,988
- Delta
- 19.32%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19127 Pioneer Blvd #30 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,368 (+2%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $135 | 96 |
| 19127 Pioneer Blvd #27 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $141 | 94 |
| 19127 Pioneer #38 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 17mo | $215,000 | $160 | 86 |
| 19127 Pioneer Blvd #57 | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (0%) | 14mo | $162,400 | $121 | 84 |
| 19127 Pioneer Blvd #40 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 20mo | $220,000 | $151 | 69 |
| 19127 Pioneer Blvd #16 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 20mo | $187,000 | $124 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $72,370
- Equity at exit
- $33,099
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $202,314
- Equity at exit
- $19,193
Cash invested: $62,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90701
- Active inventory
- 20
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,820 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,164
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $709/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$802
- Net cashflow
- $1,702
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,828 | -5% $1,765 | +0% $1,702 | +5% $1,639 | +10% $1,577 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,400 | -5% $1,551 | +0% $1,702 | +5% $1,853 | +10% $2,004 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,814 | -0.5pp $1,759 | base $1,702 | +0.5pp $1,645 | +1.0pp $1,586 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,497
- Closing costs
- $6,660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18811 S Prado Ct Cerritos, CA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1849 | $4,300 | $2.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 11821 E Solana Pl Cerritos, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1849 | $4,350 | $2.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 11450 186th St Artesia, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1617 | $4,000 | $2.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11884 Bertha St Cerritos, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $4,500 | $2.86 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 11421 186th St Artesia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 776 | $2,865 | $3.69 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18011 Jersey Ave Unit 18011 Artesia, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 8d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11839 205th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $4,500 | $4.25 | 9d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11839 205th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $4,500 | $4.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 18113 Elaine Ave Artesia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $4,200 | $2.75 | 0d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 17888 Alburtis Ave Artesia, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 805 | $2,800 | $3.48 | 15d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 11733 207th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $3,350 | $2.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 17923 Horst Ave Artesia, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1615 | $4,450 | $2.76 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11624 208th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $3,195 | $3.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 20726 Seine Ave Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1354 | $3,400 | $2.51 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 20810 Arline Ave Apt 14 Lakewood, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 896 | $2,495 | $2.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 17508 Jersey Ave Artesia, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $3,600 | $2.50 | 9d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 11754 Walcroft St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $3,200 | $3.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 12022 207th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $3,950 | $3.63 | 9d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 12022 207th St Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $3,950 | $3.63 | 26d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11901 176th St Artesia, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,848 | $3.56 | 0d | 9 | 1.11mi |
| 11424 Curry Ln Artesia, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $3,500 | $1.88 | 45d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 18427 Studebaker Rd Cerritos, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,790 | $2.79 | 5d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 17721 Norwalk Blvd #3 Artesia, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1478 | $3,900 | $2.64 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12350 Del Amo Blvd Lakewood, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $3,173 | $3.66 | 0d | 27 | 1.22mi |
| 17320 Mapes Ave Cerritos, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $4,100 | $2.65 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 21003 Longworth Ave Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $3,900 | $3.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 21003 Longworth Ave Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $3,725 | $3.23 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 10751 Andy St Cerritos, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $4,195 | $3.20 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 10751 Andy St Cerritos, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $4,195 | $3.20 | 9d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 20817 Ely Ave Lakewood, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1102 | $3,550 | $3.22 | 3d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 18316 Santana Ave Cerritos, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $4,500 | $2.97 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $221,988 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $221,988 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $221,988 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $221,988 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $221,988 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $221,988 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $221,988 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $221,988 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $221,988 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $221,988 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $221,988 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $221,988 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $221,988 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $221,988 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $221,988 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-03-13price $221,988 874-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Great opportunity to own a spacious manufactured home in a prime Artesia location bordering the Cerritos neighborhood. This well-designed home features an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Enjoy a large living room with vaulted ceilings that flows seamlessly into the dining area, along with a full kitchen offering ample cabinet space. The generously sized primary bedroom includes an oversized en-suite bathroom with both a bathtub and separate shower. Additional highlights include indoor laundry with washer and dryer hookups, central air conditioning and heating. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, exercise room, and guest parking. Located within the desirable ABC Unified School District and conveniently close to Cerritos Mall, shopping centers, restaurants, public transportation, and the 91 and 605 freeways. A home waiting for you.
-
2026-01-11$239,999 Active 874-char remark
Show marketing remark (874 chars)
Great opportunity to own a spacious manufactured home in a prime Artesia location bordering the Cerritos neighborhood. This well-designed home features an open floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Enjoy a large living room with vaulted ceilings that flows seamlessly into the dining area, along with a full kitchen offering ample cabinet space. The generously sized primary bedroom includes an oversized en-suite bathroom with both a bathtub and separate shower. Additional highlights include indoor laundry with washer and dryer hookups, central air conditioning and heating. Community amenities include a clubhouse, pool, exercise room, and guest parking. Located within the desirable ABC Unified School District and conveniently close to Cerritos Mall, shopping centers, restaurants, public transportation, and the 91 and 605 freeways. A home waiting for you.
-
2009-06-01historical
-
2008-06-12$130,000
-
2008-04-30historical
-
2008-02-10$130,000
-
2008-01-30historical
-
2007-11-03$130,000
-
2005-08-05soldstatus $120,000
-
2005-03-28$125,000
-
2004-06-03historical
-
2004-04-24$113,000
-
2004-04-03historical
-
2004-03-18$107,000
-
2004-03-15historical
-
2003-11-21$107,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $709 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,687 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$978/yr (+$82/mo · 137.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 7% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,843
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,435
- − Property taxes
- −$709
- − Insurance
- −$1,110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,667
- − Management
- −$3,667
- − Depreciation
- −$6,458
- Taxable income
- $17,796
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,271
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Abc Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601620
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▲ 22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 90% ▲ 24.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,852
- Composite
- 72.51/100
- National rank
- #199
- State rank
- #24 of 517 in CA
Livability — Artesia
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #311
- US rank
- #10525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Artesia, CA
- City population
- 16,044
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,044
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Asian 43% Hispanic / Latino 34% White 14% Two or more races 11% Black 5% Pacific Islander 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 7% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 49% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 33% English-only · Spanish 25% Other Indo-European 19% Tagalog/Filipino 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -636.45%
- Current HPI
- 447.9791
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+107.5% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $221,988 CRMLS
- 2026-01-11 Listed $239,999 CRMLS
- 2009-06-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-06-12 Listed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2008-04-30 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-02-10 Listed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2008-01-30 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2007-11-03 Listed $130,000 CRMLS
- 2005-08-05 Sold (MLS) $120,000 CRMLS
- 2005-03-28 Listed $125,000 CRMLS
- 2004-06-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2004-04-24 Listed $113,000 CRMLS
- 2004-04-03 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2004-03-18 Listed $107,000 CRMLS
- 2004-03-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2003-11-21 Listed $107,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $709 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…