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306 Merwinsburg Rd 15-Plex
C+ Composite 62.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,200,000

306 Merwinsburg Rd · Effort, PA 18330
None bd · None ba · 10,546 sqft · MultiFamily · 139 Days on market
Built 1902 Fair condition 21 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 15 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

15-Unit Income Property | Expansion Potential | Former Motel Conversion Opportunity Rare opportunity to acquire a 15-unit income-producing property formerly known as Harvest Moon, offering exceptional upside and flexible future use. Originally built and operated as a motel, this unique property presents the ability to continue long-term rentals, convert to short-term rentals, or reposition as a boutique motel or mixed-use hospitality asset, subject to zoning and approvals. Currently operating with long-term tenants in place, providing immediate income with room for rent growth. Approximately 75% of the units have been recently remodeled, while the largest building remains ready for renovation, offering substantial potential to increase unit count and overall cash flow. The property features beautifully manicured grounds surrounding a serene, beautiful pond, creating a peaceful setting that enhances guest and tenant appeal. Plenty of parking for all units. Centrally located in the heart of the Poconos, with convenient access to Lake Harmony, Big Boulder, Jack Frost, Camelback, Kalahari, Great Wolf Lodge, Aquatopia, Pocono Raceway, Pocono Premium Outlets, Mount Airy Casino, and Beltzville Lake, making it ideal for both long-term and short-term demand. Zoning General Commercial (GC) uses. Zoning use table is available in the Documents section or contact the listing agent for the full PDF and permitted use details. First time offered for sale. A rare asset with multiple paths to value creation, perfect for investors, developers, or hospitality operators seeking a flexible, scalable opportunity in a high-demand Pocono location. Showings by appointment only. Proof of Funds or Mortgage Pre-Approval required prior to scheduling showing. Initial showing will include four representative units showcasing the variety of layouts: cabin, traditional apartment, studio, and a vacant home ready for conversion. Review or Call today to discuss details and schedule a private showing!

Key facts

  • Short term rentals
  • Long term rentals
  • Expansion potential

Tags

15 UNIT INCOME PROPERTYEXPANSION POTENTIALLONG TERM RENTALSSHORT TERM RENTALSBOUTIQUE MOTELMIXED USE HOSPITALITY ASSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 15 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $2.20M. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($69k/yr) — positive. Per door: $382/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($27k rent vs $2.20M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.94M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.7% in Effort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#292 in PA, #2,576 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pleasant Valley SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #297 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $15k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $66k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $616k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.94M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,936,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.42%
Cash-on-cash
11.17%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$9,086
Equity at exit
$328,027
10-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$479,764
Equity at exit
$190,216

Cash invested: $616,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18330

Home prices YoY
-7.4%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
103.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$26,503 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$11,537
Tax est. 1.5%
$2,750 /mo · $33,000/yr
Insurance
$917
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,566
Net cashflow
$5,734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $19,245
Max offer price $2,200,000
Occupancy floor 73%

15-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (15 units) $26,503

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$550,000
Closing costs
$66,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 139 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 138 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 137 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 136 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 135 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 133 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $2,200,000 Active 119 DOM
  18. 2026-01-31
    listed $2,200,000 Active 1998-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1998 chars)

    15-Unit Income Property | Expansion Potential | Former Motel Conversion Opportunity Rare opportunity to acquire a 15-unit income-producing property formerly known as Harvest Moon, offering exceptional upside and flexible future use. Originally built and operated as a motel, this unique property presents the ability to continue long-term rentals, convert to short-term rentals, or reposition as a boutique motel or mixed-use hospitality asset, subject to zoning and approvals. Currently operating with long-term tenants in place, providing immediate income with room for rent growth. Approximately 75% of the units have been recently remodeled, while the largest building remains ready for renovation, offering substantial potential to increase unit count and overall cash flow. The property features beautifully manicured grounds surrounding a serene, beautiful pond, creating a peaceful setting that enhances guest and tenant appeal. Plenty of parking for all units. Centrally located in the heart of the Poconos, with convenient access to Lake Harmony, Big Boulder, Jack Frost, Camelback, Kalahari, Great Wolf Lodge, Aquatopia, Pocono Raceway, Pocono Premium Outlets, Mount Airy Casino, and Beltzville Lake, making it ideal for both long-term and short-term demand. Zoning General Commercial (GC) uses. Zoning use table is available in the Documents section or contact the listing agent for the full PDF and permitted use details. First time offered for sale. A rare asset with multiple paths to value creation, perfect for investors, developers, or hospitality operators seeking a flexible, scalable opportunity in a high-demand Pocono location. Showings by appointment only. Proof of Funds or Mortgage Pre-Approval required prior to scheduling showing. Initial showing will include four representative units showcasing the variety of layouts: cabin, traditional apartment, studio, and a vacant home ready for conversion. Review or Call today to discuss details and schedule a private showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$318,036
− Mortgage interest
−$123,234
− Property taxes
−$33,000
− Insurance
−$11,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$25,443
− Management
−$25,443
− Depreciation
−$64,000
Taxable income
$35,916
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$8,620
After-tax cash flow
$60,184/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

The property is in fair condition with some wear and tear. It has good roof and exterior, but needs interior updates and HVAC system replacement to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor interior walls — Some wear
  • Unknown HVAC/mechanicals — No photos

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update interior walls and paint — Improves aesthetics and value
  • Both update HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
interior walls · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No photos Unknown $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update interior walls and paint — Improves aesthetics and value
  • Both update HVAC system — Enhances comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley SD
NCES district ID
4219290
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$61,593
Composite
37.18/100
National rank
#4476
State rank
#297 of 539 in PA

Livability — Effort

Score
78/100
State rank
#292
US rank
#2576

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,586

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 14% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.25%
Current HPI
165.6142
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $2,200,000 PMAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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