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11768 Dumaine Valley Rd
D Composite 41.38
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$269,990

11768 Dumaine Valley Rd · Riverview, FL 33579
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,670 sqft · Townhouse public records · 180 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 1,797 sqft lot $162/sqft · 9% below area Est $298k · 9% under $345/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Riverview townhome conveniently located just minutes from the hospital and a local shopping easy access to I-75. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, home boast crown molding and serene water views. The first level offers tile flooring throughout, creating a clean cohesive living space. Home offers 1600 heated square feet, the open concept layout includes kitchen overlooking the living and dining areas. Enjoy, Florida living year round on the covered lanai, over looking with water view.

Key facts

  • Riverview townhome
  • Serene water views
  • Covered lanai

Tags

RIVERVIEW TOWNHOMESERENE WATER VIEWSTILE FLOORINGOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTCOVERED LANAI

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $270k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-508 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (33.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#134 in FL, #2,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Summerfield Elementary School (math 39% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 807 students, 60% FRL); East Bay High School (math 24% / reading 35%, grade F, #447 of 667 statewide, top 68%, 1,995 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 55% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 535 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 30d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,297 (33.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.33%
Cash-on-cash
-7.00%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$298,327
List price
$269,990
Delta
-9.50%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12015 Butler Woods Cir 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,544 (-8%) 1mo $295,000 $191 60
11833 Frost Aster Dr 0.30mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,040 (+22%) 0mo $415,000 $203 56
11925 Cross Vine Dr 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,046 (+22%) 0mo $390,000 $191 50
11304 Plumtree Ct 1.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,734 (+4%) 0mo $350,000 $202 49
13464 Fladgate Mark Dr 1.00mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,789 (+7%) 0mo $330,000 $184 48
13216 Waterleaf Garden Cir 0.41mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,046 (+22%) 0mo $455,000 $222 46
12646 Belcroft Dr 0.80mi 3/2.0 1,484 (-11%) 0mo $299,000 $201 42
12373 Marshland St 1.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,805 (+8%) 1mo $391,000 $217 41
12018 Cardinal Flower Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,971 (+18%) 0mo $373,000 $189 37
13410 Graham Yarden Dr 0.73mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,927 (+15%) 2mo $360,000 $187 34
11767 Winterset Cove Dr 1.26mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,056 (+23%) 3mo $379,900 $185 32
12606 Adventure Dr 1.49mi 3/2.0 1,317 (-21%) 6mo $290,000 $220 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.42% appreciation · 1.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-61,547
Equity at exit
$59,758
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
-0.23×
Total profit
$-93,355
Equity at exit
$58,246

Cash invested: $75,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
3 active · 1 under contract
Median asking
$275,000 ($165/sqft)
Median days on market
39 d
This list price
33% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+8.5% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33579

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Rents YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
535
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,278 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax from tax record
$367 /mo · $4,406/yr
Insurance
$112
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$345
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$-508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,920
Max offer price $180,297
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-355 -5% $-431 +0% $-508 +5% $-584 +10% $-661
Rent -10% $-688 -5% $-598 +0% $-508 +5% $-418 +10% $-328
Rate -1.0pp $-372 -0.5pp $-439 base $-508 +0.5pp $-578 +1.0pp $-649

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,498
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11736 Dumaine Valley Rd Riverview, FL 3.0 2.5 1670 $1,900 $1.14 34d 1 0.01mi
11830 Dumaine Valley Rd Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,900 $1.16 13d 1 0.06mi
11830 Dumaine Valley Rd Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1634 $1,900 $1.16 16d 1 0.06mi
11859 Dumaine Valley Rd Riverview, FL 2.0 2.5 1513 $1,950 $1.29 69d 1 0.09mi
11634 Addison Chase Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1715 $2,281 $1.33 15d 1 0.15mi
13228 Pike Lake Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,839 $1.63 42d 1 0.25mi
13020 Avalon Crest Ct Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1759 $2,480 $1.41 7d 1 0.28mi
12115 Feldwood Creek Ln Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1234 $1,850 $1.50 54d 1 0.29mi
12101 Feldwood Creek Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1511 $1,926 $1.27 7d 1 0.30mi
12201 Matchfield Way Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1522 $1,595 $1.05 67d 1 0.30mi
12116 Feldwood Creek Ln Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1289 $1,825 $1.42 69d 1 0.32mi
12118 Feldwood Creek Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1462 $1,910 $1.31 7d 1 0.32mi
13230 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1270 $1,830 $1.44 67d 1 0.33mi
13232 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1521 $2,049 $1.35 22d 1 0.34mi
13239 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1086 $2,049 $1.89 9d 1 0.35mi
13263 Evening Sunset Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1959 $2,200 $1.12 54d 1 0.35mi
12026 Bridge Point Ln Riverview, FL 3.0 2.5 1780 $2,180 $1.22 73d 1 0.38mi
13244 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1234 $1,895 $1.54 7d 1 0.39mi
13516 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.5 2146 $2,495 $1.16 7d 1 0.40mi
12010 Hampshire Field Ct Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1544 $1,989 $1.29 22d 1 0.41mi
13346 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1086 $1,829 $1.68 30d 1 0.42mi
13204 Waterleaf Garden Cir Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 2046 $3,600 $1.76 54d 1 0.43mi
13331 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1546 $2,100 $1.36 9d 1 0.45mi
11427 Misty Isle Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1916 $2,185 $1.14 25d 1 0.45mi
12019 Butler Woods Cir Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1693 $2,230 $1.32 51d 1 0.46mi
13314 Prestwick Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1465 $1,895 $1.29 64d 1 0.46mi
11424 Misty Isle Ln Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1839 $2,165 $1.18 61d 1 0.48mi
12008 Butler Woods Cir Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1544 $2,040 $1.32 18d 1 0.49mi
11903 Butler Woods Cir Riverview, FL 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,999 $1.12 22d 1 0.55mi
11701 Brenford Crest Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1507 $1,999 $1.33 25d 1 0.60mi
11810 Tetrafin Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 2184 $2,600 $1.19 29d 1 0.61mi
12329 Cedarfield Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1685 $2,169 $1.29 17d 1 0.61mi
11931 Lark Song Loop Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1302 $2,050 $1.57 73d 1 0.62mi
11519 Misty Isle Ln Riverview, FL 4.0 2.0 1936 $2,600 $1.34 73d 1 0.67mi
11737 Summer Springs Dr Riverview, FL 4.0 3.0 2162 $2,581 $1.19 15d 1 0.69mi
12932 Fieldmoor Ct Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1355 $1,795 $1.32 23d 1 0.70mi
12932 Fieldmoor Ct Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1355 $1,795 $1.32 42d 1 0.70mi
11802 Lynmoor Dr Riverview, FL 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,895 $1.42 42d 1 0.76mi
11618 Ashton Field Ave Riverview, FL 4.0 3.0 2114 $2,400 $1.14 48d 1 0.76mi
11618 Ashton Field Ave Riverview, FL 4.0 3.0 2114 $2,400 $1.14 32d 1 0.76mi

HOA detail $345/mo · $4,140/yr

Likely covers
water

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-07-07
    days on market $269,990 Active 180 DOM
  2. 2026-07-06
    days on market $269,990 Active 179 DOM
  3. 2026-07-06
    days on market $269,990 Active 178 DOM
  4. 2026-07-05
    days on market $269,990 Active 177 DOM
  5. 2026-07-03
    days on market $269,990 Active 176 DOM
  6. 2026-07-02
    days on market $269,990 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-07-01
    days on market $269,990 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-30
    days on market $269,990 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-29
    days on market $269,990 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-28
    days on market $269,990 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-27
    days on market $269,990 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-26
    days on market $269,990 Active 169 DOM
  13. 2026-06-24
    days on market $269,990 Active 167 DOM
  14. 2026-06-22
    days on market $269,990 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-06-21
    days on market $269,990 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,990 Active 161 DOM
  17. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,990 Active 160 DOM
  18. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,990 Active 159 DOM
  19. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,990 Active 158 DOM
  20. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,990 Active 156 DOM
  21. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,990 Active 155 DOM
  22. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,990 Active 152 DOM
  23. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,990 Active 151 DOM
  24. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,990 Active 150 DOM
  25. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,990 Active 147 DOM
  26. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,990 Active 146 DOM
  27. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,990 Active 145 DOM
  28. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,990 Active 144 DOM
  29. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,990 Active 143 DOM
  30. 2026-02-18
    price $269,990 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Riverview townhome conveniently located just minutes from the hospital and a local shopping easy access to I-75. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, home boast crown molding and serene water views. The first level offers tile flooring throughout, creating a clean cohesive living space. Home offers 1600 heated square feet, the open concept layout includes kitchen overlooking the living and dining areas. Enjoy, Florida living year round on the covered lanai, over looking with water view.

  31. 2026-01-08
    listed $279,990 Active 498-char remark
    Show marketing remark (498 chars)

    Riverview townhome conveniently located just minutes from the hospital and a local shopping easy access to I-75. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms, home boast crown molding and serene water views. The first level offers tile flooring throughout, creating a clean cohesive living space. Home offers 1600 heated square feet, the open concept layout includes kitchen overlooking the living and dining areas. Enjoy, Florida living year round on the covered lanai, over looking with water view.

  32. 2022-12-20
    soldstatus $289,990
  33. 2022-12-16
    soldstatus $289,900 Closed 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the main-floor kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner’s suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.

  34. 2022-11-21
    status Pending 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the main-floor kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner’s suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.

  35. 2022-11-14
    price $289,900 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the main-floor kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner’s suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.

  36. 2022-11-01
    price $299,800 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the main-floor kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner’s suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.

  37. 2022-09-26
    listed $309,900 Active 273-char remark
    Show marketing remark (273 chars)

    Two-story townhome enjoys a free-flowing layout among the main-floor kitchen, Great Room and covered patio. The top floor features the spacious owner’s suite, two secondary bedrooms and a versatile loft space perfect as a home office or additional shared living area.

  38. 2022-03-01
    soldstatus $269,790 Closed
  39. 2021-08-19
    status Pending
  40. 2021-08-12
    listed $269,790 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,406 · $367/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,406 · $367/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,331
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,406
− Insurance
−$2,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,186
− Management
−$2,186
− HOA
−$4,140
− Depreciation
−$7,854
Taxable loss
−$10,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,571
After-tax cash flow
$-3,521/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,350–$25,050 screening

This Riverview townhome is in good condition with a good layout and features. It has a good curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making it a good investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Updating light fixtures — Modern light fixtures can improve the home's curb appeal and interior ambiance
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's resale value
  • Resale Upgrading the bathroom fixtures — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient fixtures can increase the home's resale value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 36/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Summerfield Elementary School F FL #1,366/2,144 Nat'l #17,525/41,679 High East Bay High School F FL #447/667 Nat'l #11,215/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
B Composite livability gradescore 79/100

Livability — Riverview

Score
79/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#2000

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverview, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
137,988
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
49,470
Household income
$116,134
Rent vs Own
16.5% rent · 83.5% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 24% Two or more races 19% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% British 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $269,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $279,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $289,990 Public Records
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-21 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-14 Price Changed $289,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-01 Price Changed $299,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-26 Listed $309,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-01 Sold (MLS) $269,790 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-12 Listed $269,790 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+65.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,406 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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