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518 E Spruce St
B- Composite 68.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,900

518 E Spruce St · Rawlins, WY 82301
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Other · 59 Days on market
Built 1973 6,534 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Storage building
  • Side deck entry

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEOWN LOTEATING BARSIDE DECK ENTRYBACK YARD AREASTORAGE BUILDING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (manufactured, detached)
  • Construction: Metal siding
  • Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $86k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
  • Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.1% in Rawlins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#31 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carbon County School District #1 (town): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #35 of 41 in WY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carbon County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $83,323 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
11.42%
Cash-on-cash
18.32%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.0%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$9,482
Equity at exit
$12,808
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$38,440
Equity at exit
$7,427

Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82301

Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$450
Tax est. 1.5%
$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $751
Max offer price $85,900
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,475
Closing costs
$2,577
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-20
    listed $85,900 Active
  5. 2024-05-06
    soldstatus
  6. 2024-05-03
    soldstatus Closed 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.

  7. 2024-04-20
    status Pending 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.

  8. 2024-04-19
    historical Active Under Contract 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.

  9. 2024-04-09
    listed $69,900 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.

  10. 2016-09-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,594
− Mortgage interest
−$4,812
− Property taxes
−$1,288
− Insurance
−$430
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$2,499
Taxable income
$3,230
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$775
After-tax cash flow
$3,630/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carbon County School District #1
NCES district ID
5601030
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$59,074
Composite
38.23/100
National rank
#4248
State rank
#35 of 41 in WY

Livability — Rawlins

Score
70/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#7516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rawlins, WY
County
Carbon County · 8,180 people
City population
8,180
Metro
Rock Springs, WY
Population (ZIP)
8,180
Household income
$62,841
Rent vs Own
28.6% rent · 71.4% own
Severe rent burden
163.0

Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,217 people
By 2030
14,977 · -1.6%
By 2040
14,430 · -5.2%
By 2050
14,381 · -5.5%
By 2075
14,566 · -4.3%
By 2100
13,729 · -9.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Scottish 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Carbon

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.1% · R 78.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.0pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -58.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+29.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.83%
Current HPI
139.787
Rent YoY
Metro
Rock Springs, WY
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+22.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending WMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted WMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending WMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $85,900 WMLS
  • 2024-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2024-04-20 Pending WMLS
  • 2024-04-19 Contingent WMLS
  • 2024-04-09 Listed $69,900 WMLS
  • 2016-09-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $78 · -23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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