518 E Spruce St · Rawlins, WY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $564 – $1,046
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- Storage building
- Side deck entry
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential mobile home (manufactured, detached)
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Chain link fencing
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Oven
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Accessible entrance
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $86k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $86k).
- Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.1% in Rawlins — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#31 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Carbon County School District #1 (town): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #35 of 41 in WY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $594 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carbon County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.32%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $9,482
- Equity at exit
- $12,808
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $38,440
- Equity at exit
- $7,427
Cash invested: $24,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Wyoming
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 82301
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$450
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$107 /mo · $1,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $367
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,475
- Closing costs
- $2,577
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-20status Pending
-
2026-04-29status Active
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-03-20$85,900 Active
-
2024-05-06soldstatus
-
2024-05-03soldstatus Closed 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.
-
2024-04-20status Pending 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.
-
2024-04-19historical Active Under Contract 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.
-
2024-04-09$69,900 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Montrose 1973 Double wide on its own lot. This 3 bedroom, 2 bath home has metal siding and newer windows. Furnace was updated 5-6 years ago, and central air was added. There is a shed in the back area that has approximately 250 square feet for storage. Priced to sell "as is". No repairs will be done by the Seller. Call or TXT: Marie Sjolin 307-321-0039 for details.
-
2016-09-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,812
- − Property taxes
- −$1,288
- − Insurance
- −$430
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$2,499
- Taxable income
- $3,230
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$775
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,630/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carbon County School District #1
- NCES district ID
- 5601030
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,074
- Composite
- 38.23/100
- National rank
- #4248
- State rank
- #35 of 41 in WY
Livability — Rawlins
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #7516
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rawlins, WY
- County
- Carbon County · 8,180 people
- City population
- 8,180
- Metro
- Rock Springs, WY
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,180
- Household income
- $62,841
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 163.0
Population outlook (Carbon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,217 people
- By 2030
- 14,977 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 14,430 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 14,381 · -5.5%
- By 2075
- 14,566 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 13,729 · -9.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Slovak 2% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carbon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.1) · D 20.1% · R 78.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.0pp toward R · 2008: -29.1pp · 2024: -58.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.1 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+50.5 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+29.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -202.83%
- Current HPI
- 139.787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rock Springs, WY
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+22.9% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — WMLS
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — WMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — WMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $85,900 WMLS
- 2024-05-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-05-03 Sold (MLS) — WMLS
- 2024-04-20 Pending — WMLS
- 2024-04-19 Contingent — WMLS
- 2024-04-09 Listed $69,900 WMLS
- 2016-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $78 · -23.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…