1308 Vinewood Dr · Mansfield, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SELLER FINANCING AVAILIBLE! The property qualifies for a grant program to assist in closing costs, up to 3% of the loan value! Looking for an investment property? This is ideally situated in Mansfield just south of downtown and is close to HWY 287, HWY 157 and HWY 360! The split bedroom design with 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms make this property ideal for a family and plenty of work from home space! The oversized backyard is perfect for backyard cookouts and get togethers!
Key facts
- Investment property
- Oversized backyard
- 8,799 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Deed restrictions; Smart home features present
- Financial info: Listing accepts 1031 exchange, cash, conventional, owner will carry, VA loan
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking surfaces
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Municipal utility district not present
- Home design: Mobile home; One story; Preowned (built 1990); Facing information not provided
- Construction: Composition roof; Board & batten siding, wood siding; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Garbage disposal; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on one level)
- Flooring: Laminate; Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Decorative lighting; Eat-in kitchen; High-speed internet available; Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Bay window(s)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $490 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $186k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.8% in Mansfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#243 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Mansfield ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #125 of 826 in TX (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Annette Perry El (math 44% / reading 41%, grade F, #1,313 of 4,322 statewide, top 31%, 522 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 715 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,152 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (76 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.11%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,680
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1310 Honeysuckle Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+13%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $94 | 61 |
| 1353 Vinewood Dr | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+11%) | 10mo | $234,500 | $140 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-5,954
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $9,756
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76063
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 715
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,456/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $490
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 925 Remington Ranch Rd Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $2,350 | $1.54 | 11d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1824 Buckeye Ln Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2230 | $3,500 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 800 Fort Worth St Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $1,875 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 906 Fort Worth St Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1383 | $2,051 | $1.48 | 7d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 627 McKown Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1377 | $2,000 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 649 Blueberry Hill Ln Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $2,075 | $1.44 | 1d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 609 Kings Way Dr Unit A Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,800 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 608 Hillcrest St Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,800 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 625 Hollyberry Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $2,150 | $1.65 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 621 Hollyberry Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $2,180 | $1.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 609 Blueberry Hill Ln Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $2,195 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 628 Sandiford Ct Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2156 | $3,200 | $1.48 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 606 Plainview Dr Mansfield, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,881 | $1.51 | 12d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 307 Kings Way Dr Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,790 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 303 Kings Way Dr Unit B Mansfield, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $2,200 | $2.07 | 1d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 313 Hillcrest St Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 309 Hillcrest St Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 305 Live Oak Dr Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2309 Lannister St Mansfield, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2174 | $3,300 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 311 Stell Ave Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,190 | $1.48 | 12d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 500 E Kimball St Unit 1 Mansfield, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1527 | $2,295 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$189,000 Active
-
2025-07-23historical $1,475
-
2025-07-09$1,475
-
2017-08-14historical
-
2017-08-01$109,000 Active
-
1997-04-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,456 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,459 · $288/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,002/yr (+$84/mo · 40.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,456
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,144
- − Management
- −$2,144
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $3,028
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mansfield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828920
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,934
- Composite
- 45.82/100
- National rank
- #2558
- State rank
- #125 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mansfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #243
- US rank
- #5833
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mansfield, TX
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 82,625
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 82,625
- Household income
- $118,946
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2081.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,678 people
- By 2030
- 189,208 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 207,261 · +15.4%
- By 2050
- 223,064 · +24.1%
- By 2075
- 259,979 · +44.7%
- By 2100
- 275,395 · +53.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+58.3 2012: R+55.6 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 259.1952
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+73.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $189,000 NTREIS
- 2025-07-23 Rental Removed $1,475 NTREIS
- 2025-07-09 Listed for Rent $1,475 NTREIS
- 2017-08-14 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2017-08-01 Listed $109,000 NTREIS
- 1997-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,456 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…