29 State Highway 52 · Erie, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Impeccably Maintained RV in Year-Round 55+ Community in Erie. Conveniently located at County Line Road and Hwy 52, sitting on the Weld County side. Discover affordable, comfortable living in this beautifully cared-for RV. This home-on-wheels has been meticulously maintained inside and out, offering a clean, welcoming space that's truly move-in ready. Home can be moved, but is currently set up for year round comfort and connected to all utilities. You will love the full-sized refrigerator, the full size washer and dryer, new flooring, new roof, central a/c, gutters, the custom covered patio, and lots of storage space. The community is dog-friendly, making it a perfect fit for pet lovers looking for a simple, low-maintenance lifestyle. Lot rent is $600/month and covers your drinking water, irrigation water, sewer, trash and snow removal. The community includes a large lake stocked with fish, and allows fishing, paddleboarding and canoeing. Trails and private nature walks are enjoyed around the lake. Beautiful mountain views! This home is a 2003 model and has a full bathroom, full bedroom, open kitchen and living room. Whether you're downsizing, seeking a seasonal getaway, or wanting to stay close to family in the Erie, Boulder County, Weld County area, this RV offers comfort, convenience, and affordability in a prime location. No seller financing, must be 55 or older.
Key facts
- Fully renovated home
- Gorgeous countertops
- Hardboard siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot J (lot in park), approximately 0.02 acres; Approximately 924 above-grade living area; Mobile dimensions: 14' x 70'; Number of pads in park: 50
- HOA & community: Located in B&B MH & RV Park; Land lease: $600 monthly (lease expires February 20, 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: 1 parking space; 1 carport space; Gravel parking surface
- Utilities: Public water; Community sewer; Electricity connected (220 volts); Natural gas available
- Home design: Manufactured in-park home; Mobile home; Faces west; Individual ownership
- Construction: Wood siding; Wood skirt; Other roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; Patio; Accessible approach with ramp; Gravel road frontage on a private, privately maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Primary suite
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 three-quarter bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate counters; Open floor plan; Smoke-free; Double pane windows; Window coverings
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $124k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 2.9% in Erie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#46 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J (suburban): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 86 in CO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Erie Elementary School (math 44% / reading 62%, grade C, #168 of 966 statewide, top 18%, 390 students, 19% FRL); Erie Middle School (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #52 of 270 statewide, top 19%, 731 students, 14% FRL); Erie High School (math 48% / reading 71%, grade C+, #53 of 381 statewide, top 17%, 1,754 students, 11% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($169k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.76%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,008
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 State Hwy 52 Hwy Unit J | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (+6%) | 21mo | $130,000 | $133 | 70 |
| 29 State Highway 52 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+6%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $92 | 68 |
| 29 State Highway 52 Unit O | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 980 (+6%) | 14mo | $90,000 | $92 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $17,037
- Equity at exit
- $18,489
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.36×
- Total profit
- $47,079
- Equity at exit
- $10,721
Cash invested: $34,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80516
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,101 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$650
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$155 /mo · $1,860/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$441
- Net cashflow
- $678
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,000
- Closing costs
- $3,720
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $124,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-01-20$124,000 Active
-
2026-01-05$30,000 Active 1388-char remark
Show marketing remark (1388 chars)
Impeccably Maintained RV in Year-Round 55+ Community in Erie. Conveniently located at County Line Road and Hwy 52, sitting on the Weld County side. Discover affordable, comfortable living in this beautifully cared-for RV. This home-on-wheels has been meticulously maintained inside and out, offering a clean, welcoming space that's truly move-in ready. Home can be moved, but is currently set up for year round comfort and connected to all utilities. You will love the full-sized refrigerator, the full size washer and dryer, new flooring, new roof, central a/c, gutters, the custom covered patio, and lots of storage space. The community is dog-friendly, making it a perfect fit for pet lovers looking for a simple, low-maintenance lifestyle. Lot rent is $600/month and covers your drinking water, irrigation water, sewer, trash and snow removal. The community includes a large lake stocked with fish, and allows fishing, paddleboarding and canoeing. Trails and private nature walks are enjoyed around the lake. Beautiful mountain views! This home is a 2003 model and has a full bathroom, full bedroom, open kitchen and living room. Whether you're downsizing, seeking a seasonal getaway, or wanting to stay close to family in the Erie, Boulder County, Weld County area, this RV offers comfort, convenience, and affordability in a prime location. No seller financing, must be 55 or older.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,217
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,946
- − Property taxes
- −$1,860
- − Insurance
- −$2,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,017
- − Management
- −$2,017
- − Depreciation
- −$3,607
- Taxable income
- $6,647
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,595
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J
- NCES district ID
- 0805370
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,571
- Composite
- 37.73/100
- National rank
- #4353
- State rank
- #23 of 86 in CO
Livability — Erie
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #5110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 39,048
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,048
- Household income
- $168,725
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 355.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -170.34%
- Current HPI
- 242.1832
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.48%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+313.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-20 Listed $124,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listed $30,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…