203 Mccool Ave · East Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 203 McCool Ave, a (mostly) redone ranch offering a versatile layout that works for a wide range of buyers. This well-designed, single-level home features a functional floor plan and recent updates that make it move-in ready! Located on its own lot and sharing a driveway with the neighboring property, this home offers both comfort and convenience. Seller strongly prefers to sell with 205 McCool Ave (S1657036), creating a rare opportunity to own two detached homes side-by-side. Ideal for owner-occupants looking to live in one and rent the other, or investors seeking a unique two-property portfolio in a desirable East Syracuse location.
Key facts
- 2,614 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 6.9% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.60%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,400
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Mccool Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (0%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $103 | 100 |
| 205 Mccool Ave | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (+5%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $122 | 91 |
| 258 Watertree Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 834 (+7%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 106 West Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 886 (+14%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $192 | 42 |
| 105 Watertree Dr | 0.61mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 696 (-11%) | 13mo | $135,000 | $194 | 38 |
| 107 Tucker Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+11%) | 10mo | $101,000 | $117 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,172
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $32,300
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13057
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,750 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,201/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 Alpine Dr Unit 107-2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending
-
2026-01-12$120,000 Active
-
2023-06-09soldstatus $75,000
-
2022-09-22soldstatus $97,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,201 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,201 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,995
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$4,201
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,680
- − Management
- −$1,680
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,622
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$629
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,604/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,801
- Composite
- 42.9/100
- National rank
- #3122
- State rank
- #379 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Syracuse
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #81
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 14,253
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,253
- Household income
- $80,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 316.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+23.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $120,000 CNYIS
- 2023-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,201 · +14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…