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130 Grand View Ave Triplex
D Composite 43.0
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0

$3,800,000

130 Grand View Ave · San Francisco, CA 94114
15 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,861 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1961 2,495 sqft lot $1328/sqft · 109% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Description Field Luxury Multi-Family Investment or TIC Opportunity in Eureka Valley. Discover a rare opportunity to own a 3-unit building in one of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods. This building is perfectly suited for a savvy investor looking for the whole building or buyers interested in independent Tenancy in Common (TIC) units. Ownership & Recent $1M+ Investment Owned by a dedicated partnership for the last 3 years, this property has undergone an extensive $1,000,000+ transformation focused on the spectacular top unit (Unit 3) and building-wide infrastructure. The Penthouse (Unit 3) Highlights: Expansion & Design: A full tri-level remodel featuring a modern open-plan layout and major structural enhancements. Outdoor Living: Direct access to an expansive, brand-new backyard and multiple extended decks designed to maximize the sweeping city views. Building-Wide Upgrades & Features: Modern Conveniences: Every unit features a new dishwasher and an in-unit

Key facts

  • Tic opportunity
  • 3 unit building
  • Top unit

Tags

3 UNIT BUILDINGEUREKA VALLEYTIC OPPORTUNITYEXTENSIVE TRANSFORMATIONTOP UNITTRI-LEVEL REMODEL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 5-bed/4.5-bath units multifamily listed at $3.80M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5k ($-66k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-2k/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.84M (25.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.32M (39.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $2.32M (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lilienthal (Claire) Elementary (669 students, 19% FRL); Giannini (A.P.) Middle (1,192 students, 34% FRL); Lowell High (2,632 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 30% FRL vs 49% district-wide (19 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.4%/yr); 121 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $23,182/mo this rent would consume 136% of the median local household income ($204k/yr) (locally 1336% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $388k of equity ($26k loan paydown + $361k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$622k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($3.57M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $1.88M; list at $3.80M implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $2,318,200 (39.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  11. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  12. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  13. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.16%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,130,236
List price
$3,800,000
Delta
78.38%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

9.51% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$1,715,596
Equity at exit
$3,287,587
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
6.26×
Total profit
$5,596,059
Equity at exit
$6,950,146

Cash invested: $1,064,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City San Francisco
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
SF Rent Ordinance + Eviction Protections; relocation $10k+; one of strictest in US.

ZIP-level market 94114

Home prices YoY
4.4%
Rents YoY
14.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
41.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$23,182 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$19,928
Tax from tax record
$2,262 /mo · $27,146/yr
Insurance
$1,583
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,868
Net cashflow
$-5,459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $30,093
Max offer price $2,835,587
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-3,308 -5% $-4,384 +0% $-5,459 +5% $-6,535 +10% $-7,610
Rent -10% $-7,291 -5% $-6,375 +0% $-5,459 +5% $-4,544 +10% $-3,628
Rate -1.0pp $-3,546 -0.5pp $-4,493 base $-5,459 +0.5pp $-6,444 +1.0pp $-7,446

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $23,182

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$950,000
Closing costs
$114,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $3,800,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-04-02
    listed $3,800,000 Active 995-char remark
    Show marketing remark (995 chars)

    Description Field Luxury Multi-Family Investment or TIC Opportunity in Eureka Valley. Discover a rare opportunity to own a 3-unit building in one of San Francisco's most desirable neighborhoods. This building is perfectly suited for a savvy investor looking for the whole building or buyers interested in independent Tenancy in Common (TIC) units. Ownership & Recent $1M+ Investment Owned by a dedicated partnership for the last 3 years, this property has undergone an extensive $1,000,000+ transformation focused on the spectacular top unit (Unit 3) and building-wide infrastructure. The Penthouse (Unit 3) Highlights: Expansion & Design: A full tri-level remodel featuring a modern open-plan layout and major structural enhancements. Outdoor Living: Direct access to an expansive, brand-new backyard and multiple extended decks designed to maximize the sweeping city views. Building-Wide Upgrades & Features: Modern Conveniences: Every unit features a new dishwasher and an in-unit

  17. 2021-01-20
    soldstatus $1,875,000 Closed 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    130 Grand View Avenue is an opportunity to own a 3-Unit building in San Francisco's desirable Eureka Valley neighborhood. The property has stunning, sweeping views of the city from all units. The building is comprised of a tri-level Two Bedroom Penthouse Unit with bonus room, 2-One Bedroom Units, and a 3+ Car Carport with additional storage space. The Penthouse Unit features a large front deck with city views and direct access to a back deck and lovely backyard area.

  18. 2021-01-19
    soldstatus $1,875,000
  19. 2020-12-29
    status Pending 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    130 Grand View Avenue is an opportunity to own a 3-Unit building in San Francisco's desirable Eureka Valley neighborhood. The property has stunning, sweeping views of the city from all units. The building is comprised of a tri-level Two Bedroom Penthouse Unit with bonus room, 2-One Bedroom Units, and a 3+ Car Carport with additional storage space. The Penthouse Unit features a large front deck with city views and direct access to a back deck and lovely backyard area.

  20. 2020-10-26
    price $1,995,000 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    130 Grand View Avenue is an opportunity to own a 3-Unit building in San Francisco's desirable Eureka Valley neighborhood. The property has stunning, sweeping views of the city from all units. The building is comprised of a tri-level Two Bedroom Penthouse Unit with bonus room, 2-One Bedroom Units, and a 3+ Car Carport with additional storage space. The Penthouse Unit features a large front deck with city views and direct access to a back deck and lovely backyard area.

  21. 2020-10-09
    price $2,145,000 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    130 Grand View Avenue is an opportunity to own a 3-Unit building in San Francisco's desirable Eureka Valley neighborhood. The property has stunning, sweeping views of the city from all units. The building is comprised of a tri-level Two Bedroom Penthouse Unit with bonus room, 2-One Bedroom Units, and a 3+ Car Carport with additional storage space. The Penthouse Unit features a large front deck with city views and direct access to a back deck and lovely backyard area.

  22. 2020-09-21
    listed $2,295,000 Active 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    130 Grand View Avenue is an opportunity to own a 3-Unit building in San Francisco's desirable Eureka Valley neighborhood. The property has stunning, sweeping views of the city from all units. The building is comprised of a tri-level Two Bedroom Penthouse Unit with bonus room, 2-One Bedroom Units, and a 3+ Car Carport with additional storage space. The Penthouse Unit features a large front deck with city views and direct access to a back deck and lovely backyard area.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$27,146 · $2,262/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$28,880 · $2,407/mo
Expected delta
+$1,734/yr (+$145/mo · 6.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥76°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$278,184
− Mortgage interest
−$212,859
− Property taxes
−$27,146
− Insurance
−$19,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$22,255
− Management
−$22,255
− Depreciation
−$110,545
Taxable loss
−$135,876
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$32,610
After-tax cash flow
$-32,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Francisco Unified
NCES district ID
0634410
Math proficiency
50% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$81,249
Composite
50.14/100
National rank
#4088
State rank
#322 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Francisco

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3143

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Francisco, CA
County
San Francisco County · 827,552 people
City population
827,552
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
33,020
Household income
$204,134
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1336.0

Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,030,936 people
By 2030
1,110,409 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,270,010 · +23.2%
By 2050
1,435,001 · +39.2%
By 2075
1,779,074 · +72.6%
By 2100
1,966,767 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Asian 14% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.51%
Current HPI
223.6988
Rent YoY
▲ 14.40%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+65.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $3,800,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2021-01-20 Sold (MLS) $1,875,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2021-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $1,875,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-29 Pending San Francisco MLS
  • 2020-10-26 Price Changed $1,995,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2020-10-09 Price Changed $2,145,000 San Francisco MLS
  • 2020-09-21 Listed $2,295,000 San Francisco MLS

Property tax history

+16.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $27,146 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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