Multi-family
1531 Filbert St · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 79°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- Appreciation +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$2,098,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
1531 Filbert Street presents a rare opportunity to own a beautifully maintained four-unit property in one of San Francisco's most prestigious neighborhoods. Comprised of four spacious 1-bedroom, 1-bath residences, each unit includes dedicated parking and has been thoughtfully updated and remodeled, blending classic San Francisco charm with modern conveniences. The building has been exceptionally well managed and maintained, featuring a recently replaced roof and pride of ownership throughout. Strong in-place tenancy offers immediate income potential, while the property's excellent condition makes it ideal for both investors and owner-occupiers alike. Perfectly situated near world-class dini
Key facts
- Turnkey asset
- Premier location
- Four unit property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: All 4 units are leased and currently on month-to-month tenancies
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; Inside entrance from garage; Side-by-side parking layout; Total of 4 parking spaces
- Home design: Residential income property — quadruplex; Built in 1960
- Exterior features: Regular-shaped lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four 1-bedroom units (each described as updated)
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; Virtual tour available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath multifamily listed at $2.10M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($78k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($24k rent vs $2.10M).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+19.2%/yr); 59 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $23,765/mo this rent would consume 130% of the median local household income ($219k/yr) (locally 883% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $186k of equity ($15k loan paydown + $172k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $587k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$298k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.31%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $2,637,808
- List price
- $2,098,000
- Delta
- -20.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1531 Filbert St | 0.00mi | 4/4.0 | 3,680 (0%) | 1mo | $2,025,000 | $550 | 99 |
| 1358-1360 Union St | 0.17mi | 5/— (+1) | 3,333 (-9%) | 9mo | $3,550,000 | $1,065 | 64 |
| 1325-1327 Vallejo St | 0.35mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,660 (-0%) | 15mo | $2,699,000 | $737 | 61 |
| 1964-1966 Union St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 3,716 (+1%) | 3mo | $2,605,000 | $701 | 61 |
| 1073-1075 Filbert St | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 3,675 (-0%) | 23mo | $2,100,000 | $571 | 57 |
| 1073- 1075 Filbert St | 0.43mi | 4/3.0 | 3,675 (-0%) | 23mo | $2,100,000 | $571 | 57 |
| 2209 Gough St | 0.38mi | 5/— (+1) | 3,489 (-5%) | 18mo | $2,950,000 | $846 | 53 |
| 1917-1919 Larkin St | 0.35mi | 3/5.0 (-1) | 3,440 (-6%) | 15mo | $1,688,888 | $491 | 51 |
| 1341-1343 Green St | 0.23mi | 4/3.0 | 4,222 (+15%) | 13mo | $2,595,000 | $615 | 50 |
| 2124-2122 Green St | 0.54mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,556 (-3%) | 22mo | $2,510,000 | $706 | 42 |
| 1470-1472 Jackson St | 0.44mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,134 (-15%) | 22mo | $1,275,000 | $407 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.18% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $1,427,684
- Equity at exit
- $1,619,188
- IRR
- 31.1%
- Equity multiple
- 8.06×
- Total profit
- $4,149,535
- Equity at exit
- $3,238,488
Cash invested: $587,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94123
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Rents YoY
- 19.2%
- Active inventory
- 59
- Price-to-rent
- 29.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $23,765 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$11,002
- Tax from tax record
- −$381 /mo · $4,569/yr
- Insurance
- −$874
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,991
- Net cashflow
- $6,517
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $23,764 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $5,941 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $5,941 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $5,941 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $5,941 |
| Total (4 units) | $23,765 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $524,500
- Closing costs
- $62,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — San Francisco, CA | 5.0 | 4.5 | 3100 | $29,990 | $9.67 | 8d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2577 Post St San Francisco, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2754 | $15,000 | $5.45 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-11$2,098,000 Active 787-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,569 · $381/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $15,945 · $1,329/mo
- Expected delta
- +$11,376/yr (+$948/mo · 249.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥79°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $285,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$117,521
- − Property taxes
- −$4,569
- − Insurance
- −$10,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$22,814
- − Management
- −$22,814
- − Depreciation
- −$61,033
- Taxable income
- $45,939
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11,025
- After-tax cash flow
- $67,182/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,054
- Household income
- $218,603
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 883.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Asian 11% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.18%
- Current HPI
- 212.9289
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 19.17%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-3.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $2,025,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2026-05-21 Pending — San Francisco MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $2,098,000 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,569 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…