617 32nd St W · Bradenton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$241,200
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Auction Property. This fixer upper will require your renovation ideas. Home is in poor condition and may be a possible tear down. Home features 3 beds, 2 baths, living room, dining room, and the home sits on a large lot. Imagine all the possibilities here. Repairs are needed inside and out but well worth the effort. Home will need windows, doors, floors and multiple other updates. CAUTION - some floors may be damages and MOLD may be present. Property is sold AS-IS with NO repairs.
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1948
- Listed 21 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $241k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $510 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $241k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Jessie P. Miller Elementary School (math 61% / reading 53%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 614 students, 66% FRL); Manatee High School (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,983 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,783/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1736% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $47k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $241k implies a 589% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.07%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $463,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 35th St W | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,891 (-2%) | 4mo | $400,000 | $212 | 81 |
| 316 30th St W | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 | 2,062 (+7%) | 3mo | $700,000 | $339 | 71 |
| 218 32nd St W | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,696 (-12%) | 0mo | $446,000 | $263 | 67 |
| 202 22nd St W | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,872 (-3%) | 1mo | $450,000 | $240 | 64 |
| 2906 9th Ave W | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,663 (-14%) | 4mo | $355,000 | $213 | 63 |
| 401 27th St W | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,723 (-11%) | 1mo | $439,900 | $255 | 63 |
| 3223 1st Ave W | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,693 (-12%) | 1mo | $430,000 | $254 | 62 |
| 320 25th St W | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 2,069 (+7%) | 4mo | $480,000 | $232 | 61 |
| 719 22nd St W | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,014 (+4%) | 2mo | $349,000 | $173 | 55 |
| 3704 17th Ave W | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,755 (-9%) | 0mo | $358,000 | $204 | 52 |
| 216 24th St W | 0.55mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,698 (-12%) | 4mo | $227,500 | $134 | 42 |
| 1933 3rd Ave W | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,202 (+14%) | 5mo | $717,000 | $326 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-14,674
- Equity at exit
- $35,964
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,213
- Equity at exit
- $20,855
Cash invested: $67,536 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,783 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,265
- Tax from tax record
- −$323 /mo · $3,876/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$585
- Net cashflow
- $510
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,300
- Closing costs
- $7,236
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520 22nd St W Unit 1071597P Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1582 | $4,235 | $2.68 | 2d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3807 16th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1491 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1214 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1841 | $4,300 | $2.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3301 19th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $7,200 | $4.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4607 7th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,950 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1623 8th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,500 | $2.12 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 3109 22nd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,541 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4215 18th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2031 | $2,995 | $1.47 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1650 1st Ave W Unit 507B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $2,300 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2004 20th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,395 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1400 1st Ave W #504 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,295 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4815 3rd Ave NW Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1510 | $3,600 | $2.38 | 19d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5111 13th Avenue Dr W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $3,700 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5132 1st Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $2,500 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4904 19th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1762 | $4,000 | $2.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 109 53rd St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $2,700 | $1.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2001 25th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $3,000 | $2.19 | 19d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3603 Oxford Dr W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3806 Southern Pkwy W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $2,176 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 808 3rd Ave W #509 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1575 | $2,900 | $1.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2916 24th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1764 | $1,800 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5004 22nd Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $2,500 | $1.59 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 5513 3rd Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $2,019 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-01price $241,200
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-02-18$288,400 Active
-
2025-10-22$5,000 Active
-
1978-08-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,876 · $323/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,876 · $323/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,401
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,511
- − Property taxes
- −$3,876
- − Insurance
- −$1,206
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,672
- − Management
- −$2,672
- − Depreciation
- −$7,017
- Taxable income
- $2,447
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,538/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradenton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #101
- US rank
- #1528
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 227,091
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+589.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $241,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $288,400 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Listed $5,000 NFMLS
- 1978-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.5%/yrLatest (2024): $3,876 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…