106 Preston Trl · San Marcos, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
Key facts
- Brand-new microwave
- Community pool
- Brand-new dishwasher
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-380 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $162k (29.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (19.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $162k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 3.2% in San Marcos — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#30 in TX, #1,601 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment F.
- Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Blanco Vista El (math 33% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 731 students, 58% FRL); Laura B Wallace Middle (math 31% / reading 34%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 789 students, 53% FRL); Lehman H S (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,120 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 1146 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.11%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $333,261
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -31.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 234 Rock Bluff Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (+4%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $192 | 77 |
| 344 Witchhazel Way | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,537 (+2%) | 3mo | $299,900 | $195 | 67 |
| 2924 Brand Iron Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,383 (-8%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $177 | 67 |
| 118 Alford St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,438 (-5%) | 2mo | $299,999 | $209 | 65 |
| 203 Mossycup Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,424 (-6%) | 2mo | $269,999 | $190 | 64 |
| 3308 Jacob Ln | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,669 (+10%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $195 | 64 |
| 106 Mossycup Dr | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,395 (-8%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $201 | 62 |
| 340 Witchhazel Way | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,623 (+8%) | 3mo | $305,900 | $188 | 58 |
| 150 Silo St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (-7%) | 2mo | $280,000 | $199 | 56 |
| 2752 Brand Iron Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,369 (-9%) | 3mo | $279,900 | $204 | 55 |
| 102 Silo St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,420 (-6%) | 7mo | $274,000 | $193 | 51 |
| 432 Lacey Oak Loop | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,598 (+6%) | 8mo | $308,000 | $193 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-63,001
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -36.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.45×
- Total profit
- $-92,809
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78666
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1146
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$485 /mo · $5,817/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$387
- Net cashflow
- $-380
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-250 | -5% $-315 | +0% $-380 | +5% $-445 | +10% $-510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-526 | -5% $-453 | +0% $-380 | +5% $-307 | +10% $-234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-265 | -0.5pp $-322 | base $-380 | +0.5pp $-439 | +1.0pp $-500 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 212 Durata San Marcos, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,250 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 207 Wainscot Oak Way San Marcos, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1262 | $1,665 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 207 Wainscot Oak Way San Marcos, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1262 | $1,665 | $1.32 | 19d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 718 Stampede Rd San Marcos, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1262 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 514 Silo St San Marcos, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,045 | $1.49 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 126 Split Rail Dr San Marcos, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 428 Ivory St San Marcos, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $1,849 | $1.97 | 11d | 2 | 1.03mi |
| 364 Kenai Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1157 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 6d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 121 Yellowstone Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1723 | $2,200 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 265 Garner Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,250 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 141 Everglades Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2179 | $2,000 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 141 Opal Ln Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,650 | $1.86 | 0d | 92 | 1.46mi |
| 157 Mammoth Dr Kyle, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1607 | $1,895 | $1.18 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $229,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $229,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $229,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-19historical Active Under Contract 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-04-16price $249,000 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-04-16price $249,000 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-02-16price $254,000 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-02-16price $254,000 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-02-01$259,000 Active 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2026-02-01$259,000 Active 1537-char remark
Show marketing remark (1537 chars)
Perfectly positioned in the Blanco Vista community, this well-maintained two-story home offers a functional layout, thoughtful updates, and a location that’s hard to beat. The main level features an open-concept living, dining, and kitchen space, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Wood-look vinyl flooring downstairs provides durability and warmth, while natural light fills the space. The kitchen is equipped with brand-new dishwasher and microwave installed January 2026, ample cabinetry, and a layout that flows seamlessly into the living area. A convenient half bath completes the first floor. Upstairs, you’ll find two generously sized bedrooms and two full bathrooms, offering privacy and separation from the main living space. New carpet replaced January 2026 adds a fresh, clean feel throughout the upper level. The primary suite features large windows, an en-suite bathroom, and comfortable proportions, while the secondary bedroom provides flexibility for guests, a home office, or roommate living. Additional highlights include a whole-house water softener and a full two-car garage for storage and convenience. Located within Blanco Vista, residents enjoy access to a community pool, neighborhood elementary school, and walking trails, all while being conveniently situated between Austin and San Antonio. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence, an investment opportunity, or a home base for students attending Texas State University, this property offers versatility, value, and location.
-
2024-06-21soldstatus
-
2024-06-20soldstatus Sold
-
2024-06-20soldstatus Closed
-
2024-06-12historical $1,799
-
2024-06-05price $1,799
-
2024-05-14historical Active Option
-
2024-05-14status Pending
-
2024-05-14status Pending
-
2024-05-08$1,850
-
2024-04-20price $252,900
-
2024-04-20price $252,900
-
2024-04-20$252,900 New
-
2024-04-04price $259,900
-
2024-04-04price $259,900
-
2024-03-13$269,900 Active
-
2024-03-13$269,900 Active
-
2022-10-19price
-
2022-09-16Active
-
2014-08-22soldstatus Sold
-
2014-06-03price $166,075
-
2014-06-03status Pending
-
2014-05-11price $153,250
-
2014-03-26$152,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,817 · $485/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,817 · $485/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$5,817
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,769
- − Management
- −$1,769
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$8,533
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,048
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,512/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hays CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4800010
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,570
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5118
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Marcos
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #1601
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Marcos, TX
- County
- Hays County · 280,138 people
- City population
- 88,583
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,583
- Household income
- $54,737
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6504.0
Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,948 people
- By 2030
- 336,923 · +17.4%
- By 2040
- 441,894 · +54.0%
- By 2050
- 553,462 · +92.9%
- By 2075
- 838,261 · +192.1%
- By 2100
- 1,063,658 · +270.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 37%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 24% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hays
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.27%
- Current HPI
- 187.6679
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+63.3% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Contingent — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $249,000 CTXMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $249,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $254,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $254,000 CTXMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $259,000 CTXMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $259,000 Unlock MLS
- 2024-06-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-06-20 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2024-06-20 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2024-06-12 Rental Removed $1,799 sunrentals
- 2024-06-05 Price Changed $1,799 sunrentals
- 2024-05-14 Contingent — LERA
- 2024-05-14 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2024-05-14 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2024-05-08 Listed for Rent $1,850 sunrentals
- 2024-04-20 Price Changed $252,900 CTXMLS
- 2024-04-20 Price Changed $252,900 Unlock MLS
- 2024-04-20 Listed $252,900 LERA
- 2024-04-04 Price Changed $259,900 CTXMLS
- 2024-04-04 Price Changed $259,900 Unlock MLS
- 2024-03-13 Listed $269,900 CTXMLS
- 2024-03-13 Listed $269,900 Unlock MLS
- 2022-10-19 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2022-09-16 Listed — Unlock MLS
- 2014-08-22 Sold (MLS) — Unlock MLS
- 2014-06-03 Price Changed $166,075 Unlock MLS
- 2014-06-03 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2014-05-11 Price Changed $153,250 Unlock MLS
- 2014-03-26 Listed $152,500 Unlock MLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $5,817 · -18.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…