3770 Lonzalo Way · New Port Richey, FL 34655

$267,590

2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,463 sqft · Townhouse · 52 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition Garage $183/sqft · 21% below area Est $339k · 21% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +12.6/30.0
• Schools +6.7/10.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +4.1/5.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +1.3/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

On the first floor of this new two-story townhome is a modern, open-concept layout to promote ease of living and convenience. It features a welcoming family room, a lovely dining room and a peninsula-style kitchen with direct lanai access. Upstairs is a large loft to add extra entertainment space and to conveniently separate the two bedrooms in the home. In a quiet corner is the owner's suite with an attached bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Large loft
• Attached bathroom
• Owner's suite

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• PENINSULA-STYLE KITCHEN
• DIRECT LANAI ACCESS
• LARGE LOFT
• OWNER'S SUITE
• ATTACHED BATHROOM

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $268k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-436/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $262k (2.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (14.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $229k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.2% in New Port Richey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in FL, #1,139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D, employment F.
• Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Longleaf Elementary School (math 69% / reading 73%, grade A-, #320 of 2,144 statewide, top 15%, 639 students, 40% FRL); Seven Springs Middle School (math 73% / reading 65%, grade A, #68 of 571 statewide, top 12%, 1,628 students, 36% FRL); James W. Mitchell High School (math 60% / reading 63%, grade B-, #100 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 2,155 students, 32% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 51% district-wide (+16 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Pasco average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 805 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $229,487 (14.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.58%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $339,170
• List price: $267,590
• Delta: -21.10%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3738 Lonzalo	0.03mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,510 (+3%)	2mo	$350,740	$232	86
10815 Ichetucknee Way	0.08mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,510 (+3%)	6mo	$331,540	$220	81
10837 Ichetucknee	0.09mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,510 (+3%)	6mo	$343,900	$228	80
3436 Lonzalo Way	0.34mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,530 (+5%)	1mo	$345,000	$225	71
10629 Marsha Dr	0.28mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,530 (+5%)	9mo	$355,000	$232	67
3448 Lonzalo Way	0.32mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,530 (+5%)	19mo	$347,000	$227	57
10647 Marsha Dr	0.28mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,530 (+5%)	21mo	$343,000	$224	57
3429 Durrance St	0.38mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,530 (+5%)	18mo	$335,000	$219	54
3806 Herlong St	0.58mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,280 (-12%)	22mo	$305,000	$238	29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -20.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.30×
• Total profit: $-52,364
• Equity at exit: $39,899

10-year hold

• IRR: -22.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.01×
• Total profit: $-74,426
• Equity at exit: $23,136

Cash invested: $74,925 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 38 active · 3 under contract
• Months of supply: 45.6 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $281,990 ($197/sqft)
• Median days on market: 15 d
• This list price: 21% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +17.9% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 34655

• Home prices YoY: -22.9%
• Rents YoY: -4.7%
• Active inventory: 805
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,295 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,403
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$334 /mo · $4,014/yr
• Insurance: −$111
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$482
• Net cashflow: $-36

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,341

Max offer price $262,336

Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $149	-5% $56	+0% $-36	+5% $-129	+10% $-221
Rent	-10% $-218	-5% $-127	+0% $-36	+5% $54	+10% $145
Rate	-1.0pp $98	-0.5pp $32	base $-36	+0.5pp $-106	+1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $66,898
• Closing costs: $8,028
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 26 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3774 Lonzalo Way New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.5	1463	$2,100	$1.44	3d	1	0.03mi
10764 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1510	$2,500	$1.66	73d	1	0.05mi
10812 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1510	$2,550	$1.69	94d	1	0.09mi
10812 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1510	$2,550	$1.69	10d	1	0.09mi
10822 Ichetucknee Way New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.5	1400	$2,500	$1.79	108d	1	0.10mi
10653 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1530	$2,600	$1.70	63d	1	0.28mi
10715 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1617	$2,800	$1.73	24d	1	0.30mi
10715 Marsha Dr New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.5	1617	$2,800	$1.73	27d	1	0.30mi
3104 Town Ave Trinity, FL	1.0	1.0	882	$1,100	$1.25	3d	1	0.68mi
3104 Town Ave Trinity, FL	1.0	1.0	882	$1,100	$1.25	120d	1	0.68mi
3944 Watson Dr New Port Richey, FL	3.0	2.0	1614	$2,600	$1.61	106d	1	0.78mi
11200 Callisia Dr Odessa, FL	2.0	2.0	1689	$2,900	$1.72	120d	1	0.80mi
3554 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1148	$1,750	$1.52	10d	1	0.95mi
3832 Teeside Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1034	$1,495	$1.45	100d	1	0.95mi
3832 Teeside Dr Unit 4 New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	956	$1,495	$1.56	106d	1	0.95mi
3819 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	956	$1,400	$1.46	7d	1	0.98mi
3516 Teeside Dr New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1288	$1,800	$1.40	43d	1	0.98mi
3712 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	923	$1,395	$1.51	10d	1	1.12mi
3668 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	923	$2,100	$2.28	32d	1	1.12mi
9635 Greenskeeper Dr New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1148	$1,900	$1.66	120d	1	1.13mi
3683 Trophy Blvd New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	923	$1,575	$1.71	44d	1	1.17mi
9400 Alta Sol Way New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1177	$1,749	$1.49	78d	1	1.39mi
4217 Prado Ln New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1161	$1,800	$1.55	10d	1	1.40mi
9303 Golf View Dr Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	1004	$2,500	$2.49	32d	1	1.41mi
4008 El Merita Ct New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	891	$1,495	$1.68	32d	1	1.49mi
4008 El Merita Ct Unit 1 New Port Richey, FL	2.0	2.0	891	$1,495	$1.68	44d	1	1.50mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 3770 Lonzalo Way, New Port Richey, FL 34655Listing provided by Zillow
• Financial info: List price $296,790

Exterior

• Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
• Home design: Single-story (Sycamore plan)
• Exterior features: Living area of 1463

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Interior features: Spec home (new construction, Sycamore plan)Active listing

Listing history 38 events

1. 2026-07-30
   days on market $267,590 Active 52 DOM
2. 2026-07-28
   pricedays on market $267,590 Active 51 DOM
3. 2026-07-26
   pricedays on market $267,490 Active 49 DOM
4. 2026-07-24
   days on market $267,190 Active 47 DOM
5. 2026-07-23
   days on market $267,190 Active 46 DOM
6. 2026-07-22
   days on market $267,190 Active 45 DOM
7. 2026-07-21
   pricedays on market $267,190 Active 44 DOM
8. 2026-07-20
   days on market $281,190 Active 43 DOM
9. 2026-07-18
   pricedays on market $281,190 Active 40 DOM
10. 2026-07-16
    days on market $281,090 Active 39 DOM
11. 2026-07-15
    days on market $281,090 Active 38 DOM
12. 2026-07-14
    price $281,090 Active 36 DOM
13. 2026-07-13
    days on market $280,990 Active 36 DOM
14. 2026-07-13
    days on market $280,990 Active 35 DOM
15. 2026-07-11
    days on market $280,990 Active 34 DOM
16. 2026-07-10
    days on market $280,990 Active 33 DOM
17. 2026-07-09
    pricedays on market $280,990 Active 32 DOM
18. 2026-07-07
    days on market $297,990 Active 30 DOM
19. 2026-07-06
    days on market $297,990 Active 29 DOM
20. 2026-07-06
    days on market $297,990 Active 28 DOM
21. 2026-07-05
    days on market $297,990 Active 27 DOM
22. 2026-07-03
    days on market $297,990 Active 26 DOM
23. 2026-07-03
    days on market $297,990 Active 25 DOM
24. 2026-07-01
    days on market $297,990 Active 24 DOM
25. 2026-06-30
    days on market $297,990 Active 23 DOM
26. 2026-06-29
    days on market $297,990 Active 22 DOM
27. 2026-06-28
    days on market $297,990 Active 21 DOM
28. 2026-06-27
    days on market $297,990 Active 20 DOM
29. 2026-06-26
    days on market $297,990 Active 19 DOM
30. 2026-06-24
    pricedays on market $297,990 Active 17 DOM
31. 2026-06-18
    days on market $296,790 Active 11 DOM
32. 2026-06-17
    days on market $296,790 Active 10 DOM
33. 2026-06-16
    days on market $296,790 Active 9 DOM
34. 2026-06-15
    days on market $296,790 Active 8 DOM
35. 2026-06-13
    days on market $296,790 Active 6 DOM
36. 2026-06-09
    days on market $296,790 Active 2 DOM
37. 2026-06-08
    remarks 441-char remark
38. 2026-06-08
    listed $296,790 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,538
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,989
• − Property taxes: −$4,014
• − Insurance: −$1,338
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,203
• − Management: −$2,203
• − Depreciation: −$7,784
• Taxable loss: −$4,993
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,198
• After-tax cash flow: $763/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This modern townhome is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a great balance of style and functionality, making it an attractive option for both buyers and renters.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds value for both buyers and renters. ↑

C Composite school gradezoned avg 67/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Longleaf Elementary School A- FL #320/2,144 Nat'l #3,228/41,679 Middle Seven Springs Middle School A FL #68/571 Nat'l #913/14,009 High James W. Mitchell High School B- FL #100/667 Nat'l #3,404/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pasco
• NCES district ID: 1201530
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $45,039
• Composite: 43.14/100
• National rank: #3074
• State rank: #32 of 73 in FL

A Composite livability gradescore 82/100

Livability — New Port Richey

• Score: 82/100
• State rank: #67
• US rank: #1139

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Pasco County · 570,045 people
• City population: 137,708
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 49,964
• Household income: $85,470
• Rent vs Own: 23.5% rent · 76.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 21% of renters

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Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 570,045 people
• By 2030: 605,844 · +6.3%
• By 2040: 674,806 · +18.4%
• By 2050: 736,022 · +29.1%
• By 2075: 862,900 · +51.4%
• By 2100: 906,364 · +59.0%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

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Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -82.58%
• Current HPI: 278.3649
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.70%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 3770 Lonzalo Way, New Port Richey, FL 34655Listing provided by Zillow
• Financial info: List price $296,790

Exterior

• Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
• Home design: Single-story (Sycamore plan)
• Exterior features: Living area of 1463

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
• Interior features: Spec home (new construction, Sycamore plan)Active listing