310 W Filmore St · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.5/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Centrally located investment property. Very Nice and Affordable. Located in a nice and cozy well established neighborhood needs some TLC. This home features 2 bedrooms 1 bath also includes a 1 car port. Home sits on a very large size lot with a shed and pergola. Alley access. Quick access to Interstate/Expressway 77/83
Key facts
- Alley access
- Shed
- Pergola
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-199/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $106k (2.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $99k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Bowie El (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 337 students, 94% FRL); Coakley Middle (math 22% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 660 students, 83% FRL); Harlingen H S - South (math 47% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,044 of 1,632 statewide, top 66%, 1,571 students, 75% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.65%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $114,802
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -5.05%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610 Polk Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 876 (-3%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $148 | 68 |
| 314 W Lincoln Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+11%) | 9mo | $172,500 | $173 | 55 |
| 710 5th St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+12%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $159 | 49 |
| 210 W Mckinley Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (+9%) | 20mo | $118,000 | $120 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-18,216
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-15,135
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,003 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$211
- Net cashflow
- $-17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $45 | -5% $14 | +0% $-17 | +5% $-47 | +10% $-78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-96 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-17 | +5% $23 | +10% $63 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $38 | -0.5pp $11 | base $-17 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 501 W Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 847 | $950 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 106 S A St Harlingen, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $850 | $0.97 | 16d | 3 | 0.38mi |
| 619 E Pierce Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 46d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 204 S 7th St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 713 | $725 | $1.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 409 E Madison Ave Unit 4 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $750 | $0.97 | 46d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1005 W Garfield St Apt C2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 709 E Jackson St Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1600 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 46d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1604 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 46d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $1,295 | $1.60 | 46d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1725 Clinton St Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 807 | $1,295 | $1.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1704 Clinton St Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,495 | $1.48 | 46d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1704 Clinton St Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 46d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 902 N D St Unit A Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 46d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 917 N 1st St Unit 917 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $770 | $1.10 | 46d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 717 E Jim Hogg Ave Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1039 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 504 Rock Cir Unit 1 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $925 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 801 W Arroyo Park Ln Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1722 Stone Dr Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 46d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Apt 6H Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1015 | $775 | $0.76 | 46d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $650 | $0.86 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1501 Sam Houston Dr Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $650 | $0.86 | 46d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3517 S Arroyo Park Ln Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $775 | $1.04 | 46d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1902 E Tyler Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $903 | $0.90 | 16d | 6 | 1.42mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 44 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 56 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $995 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 66 Harlingen, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $725 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 96 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $825 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 54 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $900 | $0.88 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 94 Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $825 | $0.78 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 45 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 858 | $875 | $1.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Unit 14 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $875 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1802 E Washington Ave Harlingen, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $888 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2002 E Van Buren Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,150 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $109,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $119,000 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Centrally located investment property. Very Nice and Affordable. Located in a nice and cozy well established neighborhood needs some TLC. This home features 2 bedrooms 1 bath also includes a 1 car port. Home sits on a very large size lot with a shed and pergola. Alley access. Quick access to Interstate/Expressway 77/83
-
2026-03-17$129,000 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Centrally located investment property. Very Nice and Affordable. Located in a nice and cozy well established neighborhood needs some TLC. This home features 2 bedrooms 1 bath also includes a 1 car port. Home sits on a very large size lot with a shed and pergola. Alley access. Quick access to Interstate/Expressway 77/83
-
2026-03-01$129,000 Active 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Centrally located investment property. Very Nice and Affordable. Located in a nice and cozy well established neighborhood needs some TLC. This home features 2 bedrooms 1 bath also includes a 1 car port. Home sits on a very large size lot with a shed and pergola. Alley access. Quick access to Interstate/Expressway 77/83
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,036
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$2,303
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$963
- − Management
- −$963
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$2,015
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$484
- After-tax cash flow
- $284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $119,000 RGVMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $129,000 SPIBOR
- 2026-03-01 Listed $129,000 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+9.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,303 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…