2615 Sweetgum Ln · Beaumont, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This spacious three bedroom two bath home is a great investment opportunity. It sits on . 56 acre and priced to sell. The property extends beyond the cyclone fence in backyard.
Key facts
- 0.56 acre lot
- Parking
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 33.1% vs local median 5.3% in Beaumont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#739 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Beaumont ISD (urban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #789 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,792/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 657% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.80%
- DSCR
- 5.26
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $202,566
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2630 Evalon St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,553 (+15%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $74 | 50 |
| 1510 Crawford St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 2,012 (-10%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $122 | 45 |
| 1520 Crawford St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,970 (-12%) | 6mo | $179,000 | $91 | 42 |
| 3185 Delaware St | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,920 (-14%) | 7mo | $166,500 | $87 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.43% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.00×
- Total profit
- $83,960
- Equity at exit
- $29,665
- IRR
- 99.7%
- Equity multiple
- 14.69×
- Total profit
- $191,716
- Equity at exit
- $52,334
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77703
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,792 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $176/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $1,118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2525 Louisiana St Beaumont, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1516 | $1,485 | $0.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2565 Harrison Ave Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1789 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2260 Ashley St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1471 | $1,595 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3435 Kenwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,500 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 3085 S Willowood Ln Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1533 | $1,400 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3450 Durwood Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1952 | $2,195 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1420 Liveoak St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,695 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2532 South St Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2344 | $2,200 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2350 Pecos St Unit A Beaumont, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $1,805 | $0.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2995 Wier Dr Beaumont, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 177-char remark
-
2026-06-18$50,000 Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $176 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- +$739/yr (+$62/mo · 420.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$176
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,720
- − Management
- −$1,720
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $13,378
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,211
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Beaumont ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4809670
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,683
- Composite
- 15.43/100
- National rank
- #9316
- State rank
- #789 of 826 in TX
Livability — Beaumont
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #739
- US rank
- #13710
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Beaumont, TX
- County
- Jefferson County · 203,592 people
- City population
- 125,901
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,004
- Household income
- $31,803
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 657.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 259,015 people
- By 2030
- 260,685 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 263,309 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 265,237 · +2.4%
- By 2075
- 270,193 · +4.3%
- By 2100
- 255,628 · -1.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 7% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.43%
- Current HPI
- 151.9888
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-54.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Delisted — BBOR
- 2026-06-12 Listed $50,000 BBOR
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $50,000 BBOR
- 2024-06-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-23 Price Changed $99,900 BBOR
- 2023-07-20 Price Changed $110,000 BBOR
- 2023-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-06-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-08-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $176 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…