134 Taroli St · Old Forge, PA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
Key facts
- Kitchen cabinetry
- Remodeled
- Centrally located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (8.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (16.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $204k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#287 in PA, #2,531 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Old Forge SD (suburban): math 22% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #409 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 323 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $158k; list at $245k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 323 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.48%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,251
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- 5.49%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164 Taroli St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 2,055 (+4%) | 6mo | $220,000 | $107 | 81 |
| 201 Alicia St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (-14%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $135 | 67 |
| 108 Mary St | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,705 (-14%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $90 | 63 |
| 127 Broadhead St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (-4%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 603 Milwaukee Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,867 (-6%) | 6mo | $345,000 | $185 | 58 |
| 411 Moosic Rd | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,800 (-9%) | 0mo | $329,900 | $183 | 56 |
| 420 Grace St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,215 (+12%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $107 | 56 |
| 503 George St | 0.36mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,230 (+13%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 557 Milwaukee Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 2,124 (+8%) | 2mo | $253,001 | $119 | 54 |
| 188 Drakes Ln | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,200 (+11%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $111 | 48 |
| 237 Main St | 0.57mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,825 (-8%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $63 | 48 |
| 232 232 Main St | 0.61mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,824 (-8%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $38 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $49,649
- Equity at exit
- $141,020
- IRR
- 12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $157,043
- Equity at exit
- $245,204
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18518
- Home prices YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,036 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $-140
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $29 | -5% $-56 | +0% $-140 | +5% $-225 | +10% $-310 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-301 | -5% $-221 | +0% $-140 | +5% $-60 | +10% $21 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-17 | -0.5pp $-78 | base $-140 | +0.5pp $-204 | +1.0pp $-268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Oak St Unit 2 Old Forge, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 75 Marimar Dr Old Forge, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1418 Grove St Moosic, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1820 | $1,850 | $1.02 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 322 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $245,000 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $245,000 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $245,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-01-19status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2025-07-21status Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2025-07-02status Pending 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2025-06-27price $245,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2025-06-10price $250,000 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2025-05-23$280,000 Active 549-char remark
Show marketing remark (549 chars)
An Awesome opportunity awaits the buyer of this remodeled 3 Bed, 2 Bath Raised Ranch in Old Forge School District. Perfect Starter House, and for those who are downsizing. Come One, Come all, for this House is bothBig and Small. Beautiful Kitchen cabinetry with granite countertops, updated baths, and an incredible finished basement with a wood-burning fireplace. Centrally located to all the Amenities of Old Forge, short commute to the Scranton Wilkes Barre International Airport and as well to routes 81 and Pa Turnpike. Don't delay, Call Today.
-
2024-04-13$239,900 Active
-
2021-06-11soldstatus $157,500
-
2021-05-25soldstatus $157,500
-
2013-12-03$139,900
-
2011-08-20$155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,431
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$3,675
- − Insurance
- −$1,892
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,955
- − Management
- −$1,955
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable loss
- −$5,895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,415
- After-tax cash flow
- $-269/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Old Forge SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218120
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,409
- Composite
- 30.6/100
- National rank
- #6196
- State rank
- #409 of 539 in PA
Livability — Old Forge
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #2531
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Old Forge, PA
- City population
- 8,533
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,533
Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,652 people
- By 2030
- 208,623 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 203,980 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 201,069 · -4.5%
- By 2075
- 205,026 · -2.7%
- By 2100
- 210,851 · +0.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Current HPI
- 242.2839
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+58.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-19 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-21 Relisted — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-07-02 Pending — GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $245,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-06-10 Price Changed $250,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-05-23 Listed $280,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2024-04-13 Listed $239,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-06-11 Sold (MLS) $157,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2021-05-25 Sold (Public Records) $157,500 Public Records
- 2013-12-03 Listed $139,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2011-08-20 Listed $155,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+29.9%/yrLatest (2026): $50,034 · +1407.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…