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616 Migeon Ave #9
D Composite 43.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

616 Migeon Ave #9 · Torrington, CT 06790
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 540 sqft · Condo public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1987 $222/sqft · 6% below area Est $128k · 6% under $426/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

First floor unit. Storage in basement

Key facts

  • Stack washer dryer
  • Refrigerator
  • Well maintained

Tags

FIRST FLOOR RANCH FLAT STYLEWELL MAINTAINEDOVEN RANGE W HOODREFRIGERATORSTACK WASHER DRYERBUILT IN AIR CONDITIONER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets not allowed
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee of $426; HOA covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, and property management

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water in street; Public sewer in street; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Condominium (Condo/Co-Op for sale); One-story unit; Part of Migeon Court complex
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Brick exterior; Outdoor lighting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven/Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (unit on first floor)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heat (electric); Wall cooling unit
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric hot water

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-789/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (9.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 4.0% in Torrington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#53 in CT, #3,449 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Torrington School District (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #125 of 153 in CT (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forbes School (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #354 of 553 statewide, top 64%, 310 students, 61% FRL); Torrington Middle School (math 18% / reading 39%, grade F, #146 of 175 statewide, top 84%, 975 students, 61% FRL); Torrington High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #121 of 194 statewide, top 64%, 1,010 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 40% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 154 units permitted in Northwest Hills Planning Region in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $120k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Recommended offer $108,280 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$128,127
List price
$119,900
Delta
-6.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.4%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-19,176
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,819
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06790

Rents YoY
5.9%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,406 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $863/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$426
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,489
Max offer price $108,280
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2 -5% $-32 +0% $-66 +5% $-100 +10% $-134
Rent -10% $-177 -5% $-121 +0% $-66 +5% $-10 +10% $45
Rate -1.0pp $-5 -0.5pp $-35 base $-66 +0.5pp $-97 +1.0pp $-128

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25 Maiden Ln #7 Torrington, CT 1.0 1.0 700 $1,300 $1.86 45d 1 1.07mi
68 Main St Unit Front Torrington, CT 1.0 1.0 750 $1,600 $2.13 45d 1 1.11mi
11 Main St Unit 301 Torrington, CT 1.0 1.0 710 $1,900 $2.68 45d 1 1.16mi
120 E Main St Unit 2 Torrington, CT 1.0 1.0 547 $1,400 $2.56 45d 1 1.19mi
23 Farnham Ave Fl Rear Torrington, CT 1.0 1.0 600 $1,100 $1.83 45d 1 1.25mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$426 · $5,112/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $119,900 Under Contract 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    remarks 505-char remark
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-04-28
    listed $119,900 Active 508-char remark
  10. 2000-08-16
    soldstatus $30,000 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    First floor unit. Storage in basement

  11. 2000-08-14
    soldstatus $30,000
  12. 2000-07-29
    listed $32,000 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    First floor unit. Storage in basement

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$863 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$851/yr (+$71/mo · 98.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,874
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$863
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,350
− Management
−$1,350
− HOA
−$5,112
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable loss
−$2,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$625
After-tax cash flow
$-164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Torrington School District
NCES district ID
0904590
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,647
Composite
26.9/100
National rank
#7087
State rank
#125 of 153 in CT

Livability — Torrington

Score
76/100
State rank
#53
US rank
#3449

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Torrington, CT
County
Litchfield County · 81,203 people
City population
35,566
Metro
Torrington, CT
Population (ZIP)
35,566
Household income
$70,912
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1401.0

Population outlook (Northwest Hills County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
118,998

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northwest Hills

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 49.9% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: R+1.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.78%
Current HPI
208.4818
Rent YoY
▲ 5.89%
Metro
Torrington, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $119,900 Smart MLS
  • 2000-08-16 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-29 Listed $32,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $863 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…