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24 Surf St
F Composite 21.04
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Cash flow +0.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,999,000

24 Surf St · Sea Bright, NJ 07760
4 bd · 3.5 ba · 850 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 89 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptional new construction in Sea Bright offering panoramic Manhattan skyline views, private elevator access, and sophisticated open-concept living just steps from the beach. Stunning new-construction 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with additional office, perfectly positioned on a Jersey Shore but in close proximity to NY! Designed to impress, this residence offers an airy open-concept layout, seamless indoor-outdoor living, and high-end finishes throughout. Multiple balconies extend from the main living areas and bedrooms, filling the home with natural light and ocean breezes offer ocean and river views. At the top, a spectacular rooftop deck delivers breathtaking panoramic views, including a direct line of sight to the NYC skyline- the ultimate spot for entertaining or relaxing at sunset Thoughtfully built for comfort and convenience, the home features a private 4 stops elevator, spacious garage and ample storage space. Versatile on-suite den/loft space perfect for an office, media room, or extra guest space. Gas fireplace on the main level. Master Suite takes up a whole level and features 2 balconies and 3 closets. All of this is located just moments from Sea Bright's vibrant beachfront community, renowned dining, marinas, and the exciting upcoming Netflix Studio development, adding even more appeal to this exceptional coastal escape. Sea Bright beach has been voted #1 beach in Monmouth County and #3 in a whole state of NJ. New redevelopment zone along Shrewsbury River offers enhanced flood protection with new bulkhead , a public waterfront boardwalk, kayak station and updated residential housing. Do not miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home with unmatched ocean and river views in one of the Shore's most coveted towns. LIST OF FEATURES: - ONE OF THE TALLEST HOMES IN SEA BRIGHT - DIRECT NYC SKYLINE VIEW, OCEAN VIEW, RIVER VIEW - 3 BALCONIES PLUS FULL HOUSE ROOF TOP DECK - 4 STOPS ELEVATOR ON EACH LEVEL - OPEN KITCHEN WITH QUARTZ COUNTERTOP AND VIKING APPLIANCES, EAT-IN ISLAND - GAS FIREPLACE - RECESSED LIGHTS THROUGHOUT - HARDWOOD FLOORS - DEDICATED FLOOR TO THE MASTER SUITE WITH 2 BALCONIES - 4 BEDROOMS WITH ADDITIONAL FLEXIBLE ON-SUITE DEN - 3 ZONE HVAC (ON EACH LEVEL) - TANKLESS HWH - SLATELINE ROOF - 2 CAR OVERSIZED GARAGE WITH AMPLE STORAGE - COVERED PAVER PATIO

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025
  • Listed 89 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $2.00M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9k ($-109k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $394k (80.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $411k (79.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $394k (80.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#492 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $14k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $60k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.88M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $151k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $615k; list at $2.00M implies a 225% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $393,927 (80.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 80% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.21%
Cap rate
1.12%
Cash-on-cash
-18.49%
DSCR
0.18
GRM
40.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-56.5%
Equity multiple
-0.61×
Total profit
$-903,461
Equity at exit
$298,057
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
-1.74×
Total profit
$-1,535,317
Equity at exit
$172,837

Cash invested: $559,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 07760

Active inventory
80
Price-to-rent
40.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,112 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$10,483
Tax from tax record
$558 /mo · $6,696/yr
Insurance
$833
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$863
Net cashflow
$-9,086

Break-even live

Break-even rent $15,613
Max offer price $393,927
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$499,750
Closing costs
$59,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 88 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 87 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 86 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,999,000 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $1,999,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 79 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 78 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 75 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 74 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,049,000 Active 71 DOM
  16. 2026-05-09
    price $2,134,900 2318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2318 chars)

    Exceptional new construction in Sea Bright offering panoramic Manhattan skyline views, private elevator access, and sophisticated open-concept living just steps from the beach. Stunning new-construction 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with additional office, perfectly positioned on a Jersey Shore but in close proximity to NY! Designed to impress, this residence offers an airy open-concept layout, seamless indoor-outdoor living, and high-end finishes throughout. Multiple balconies extend from the main living areas and bedrooms, filling the home with natural light and ocean breezes offer ocean and river views. At the top, a spectacular rooftop deck delivers breathtaking panoramic views, including a direct line of sight to the NYC skyline- the ultimate spot for entertaining or relaxing at sunset Thoughtfully built for comfort and convenience, the home features a private 4 stops elevator, spacious garage and ample storage space. Versatile on-suite den/loft space perfect for an office, media room, or extra guest space. Gas fireplace on the main level. Master Suite takes up a whole level and features 2 balconies and 3 closets. All of this is located just moments from Sea Bright's vibrant beachfront community, renowned dining, marinas, and the exciting upcoming Netflix Studio development, adding even more appeal to this exceptional coastal escape. Sea Bright beach has been voted #1 beach in Monmouth County and #3 in a whole state of NJ. New redevelopment zone along Shrewsbury River offers enhanced flood protection with new bulkhead , a public waterfront boardwalk, kayak station and updated residential housing. Do not miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home with unmatched ocean and river views in one of the Shore's most coveted towns. LIST OF FEATURES: - ONE OF THE TALLEST HOMES IN SEA BRIGHT - DIRECT NYC SKYLINE VIEW, OCEAN VIEW, RIVER VIEW - 3 BALCONIES PLUS FULL HOUSE ROOF TOP DECK - 4 STOPS ELEVATOR ON EACH LEVEL - OPEN KITCHEN WITH QUARTZ COUNTERTOP AND VIKING APPLIANCES, EAT-IN ISLAND - GAS FIREPLACE - RECESSED LIGHTS THROUGHOUT - HARDWOOD FLOORS - DEDICATED FLOOR TO THE MASTER SUITE WITH 2 BALCONIES - 4 BEDROOMS WITH ADDITIONAL FLEXIBLE ON-SUITE DEN - 3 ZONE HVAC (ON EACH LEVEL) - TANKLESS HWH - SLATELINE ROOF - 2 CAR OVERSIZED GARAGE WITH AMPLE STORAGE - COVERED PAVER PATIO

  17. 2026-03-21
    listed $2,150,000 Active 2318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2318 chars)

    Exceptional new construction in Sea Bright offering panoramic Manhattan skyline views, private elevator access, and sophisticated open-concept living just steps from the beach. Stunning new-construction 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with additional office, perfectly positioned on a Jersey Shore but in close proximity to NY! Designed to impress, this residence offers an airy open-concept layout, seamless indoor-outdoor living, and high-end finishes throughout. Multiple balconies extend from the main living areas and bedrooms, filling the home with natural light and ocean breezes offer ocean and river views. At the top, a spectacular rooftop deck delivers breathtaking panoramic views, including a direct line of sight to the NYC skyline- the ultimate spot for entertaining or relaxing at sunset Thoughtfully built for comfort and convenience, the home features a private 4 stops elevator, spacious garage and ample storage space. Versatile on-suite den/loft space perfect for an office, media room, or extra guest space. Gas fireplace on the main level. Master Suite takes up a whole level and features 2 balconies and 3 closets. All of this is located just moments from Sea Bright's vibrant beachfront community, renowned dining, marinas, and the exciting upcoming Netflix Studio development, adding even more appeal to this exceptional coastal escape. Sea Bright beach has been voted #1 beach in Monmouth County and #3 in a whole state of NJ. New redevelopment zone along Shrewsbury River offers enhanced flood protection with new bulkhead , a public waterfront boardwalk, kayak station and updated residential housing. Do not miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home with unmatched ocean and river views in one of the Shore's most coveted towns. LIST OF FEATURES: - ONE OF THE TALLEST HOMES IN SEA BRIGHT - DIRECT NYC SKYLINE VIEW, OCEAN VIEW, RIVER VIEW - 3 BALCONIES PLUS FULL HOUSE ROOF TOP DECK - 4 STOPS ELEVATOR ON EACH LEVEL - OPEN KITCHEN WITH QUARTZ COUNTERTOP AND VIKING APPLIANCES, EAT-IN ISLAND - GAS FIREPLACE - RECESSED LIGHTS THROUGHOUT - HARDWOOD FLOORS - DEDICATED FLOOR TO THE MASTER SUITE WITH 2 BALCONIES - 4 BEDROOMS WITH ADDITIONAL FLEXIBLE ON-SUITE DEN - 3 ZONE HVAC (ON EACH LEVEL) - TANKLESS HWH - SLATELINE ROOF - 2 CAR OVERSIZED GARAGE WITH AMPLE STORAGE - COVERED PAVER PATIO

  18. 2026-03-14
    historical $2,150,000 2318-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2318 chars)

    Exceptional new construction in Sea Bright offering panoramic Manhattan skyline views, private elevator access, and sophisticated open-concept living just steps from the beach. Stunning new-construction 4-bedroom, 3.5-bath home with additional office, perfectly positioned on a Jersey Shore but in close proximity to NY! Designed to impress, this residence offers an airy open-concept layout, seamless indoor-outdoor living, and high-end finishes throughout. Multiple balconies extend from the main living areas and bedrooms, filling the home with natural light and ocean breezes offer ocean and river views. At the top, a spectacular rooftop deck delivers breathtaking panoramic views, including a direct line of sight to the NYC skyline- the ultimate spot for entertaining or relaxing at sunset Thoughtfully built for comfort and convenience, the home features a private 4 stops elevator, spacious garage and ample storage space. Versatile on-suite den/loft space perfect for an office, media room, or extra guest space. Gas fireplace on the main level. Master Suite takes up a whole level and features 2 balconies and 3 closets. All of this is located just moments from Sea Bright's vibrant beachfront community, renowned dining, marinas, and the exciting upcoming Netflix Studio development, adding even more appeal to this exceptional coastal escape. Sea Bright beach has been voted #1 beach in Monmouth County and #3 in a whole state of NJ. New redevelopment zone along Shrewsbury River offers enhanced flood protection with new bulkhead , a public waterfront boardwalk, kayak station and updated residential housing. Do not miss the rare opportunity to own a brand-new home with unmatched ocean and river views in one of the Shore's most coveted towns. LIST OF FEATURES: - ONE OF THE TALLEST HOMES IN SEA BRIGHT - DIRECT NYC SKYLINE VIEW, OCEAN VIEW, RIVER VIEW - 3 BALCONIES PLUS FULL HOUSE ROOF TOP DECK - 4 STOPS ELEVATOR ON EACH LEVEL - OPEN KITCHEN WITH QUARTZ COUNTERTOP AND VIKING APPLIANCES, EAT-IN ISLAND - GAS FIREPLACE - RECESSED LIGHTS THROUGHOUT - HARDWOOD FLOORS - DEDICATED FLOOR TO THE MASTER SUITE WITH 2 BALCONIES - 4 BEDROOMS WITH ADDITIONAL FLEXIBLE ON-SUITE DEN - 3 ZONE HVAC (ON EACH LEVEL) - TANKLESS HWH - SLATELINE ROOF - 2 CAR OVERSIZED GARAGE WITH AMPLE STORAGE - COVERED PAVER PATIO

  19. 2025-12-12
    price $2,149,000
  20. 2025-02-25
    soldstatus $615,000
  21. 2025-02-10
    soldstatus $615,000 Closed
  22. 2024-12-21
    status Pending
  23. 2024-11-11
    listed $699,000 Active
  24. 2024-11-08
    historical $699,000
  25. 2012-04-25
    listed $374,900
  26. 2011-10-24
    listed $374,900
  27. 2006-08-11
    soldstatus $338,000
  28. 2003-07-01
    soldstatus $140,000
  29. 2000-05-23
    soldstatus $110,000
  30. 2000-05-16
    soldstatus $110,000
  31. 2000-04-10
    historical
  32. 1999-12-29
    listed $119,900
  33. 1999-10-06
    soldstatus $62,500
  34. 1999-09-29
    soldstatus $62,500
  35. 1999-09-27
    historical
  36. 1999-01-25
    listed $79,900
  37. 1980-11-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,696 · $558/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$28,236 · $2,353/mo
Expected delta
+$21,539/yr (+$1,795/mo · 321.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,342
− Mortgage interest
−$111,975
− Property taxes
−$6,696
− Insurance
−$15,520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,947
− Management
−$3,947
− Depreciation
−$58,153
Taxable loss
−$150,897
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$36,215
After-tax cash flow
$-72,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Sea Bright

Score
59/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#20030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sea Bright, NJ
Population (ZIP)
9,557

Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
620,308 people
By 2030
612,309 · -1.3%
By 2040
587,297 · -5.3%
By 2050
551,342 · -11.1%
By 2075
472,934 · -23.8%
By 2100
381,534 · -38.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -567.27%
Current HPI
369.2564
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5999.7% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $2,134,900 MOMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Listed $2,150,000 MOMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Coming Soon $2,150,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $2,149,000 MOMLS
  • 2025-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $615,000 Public Records
  • 2025-02-10 Sold (MLS) $615,000 MOMLS
  • 2024-12-21 Pending MOMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Listed $699,000 MOMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Coming Soon $699,000 MOMLS
  • 2012-04-25 Listed $374,900 MOMLS
  • 2011-10-24 Listed $374,900 MOMLS
  • 2006-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $338,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2000-05-16 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MOMLS
  • 2000-04-10 Delisted MOMLS
  • 1999-12-29 Listed $119,900 MOMLS
  • 1999-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1999-09-29 Sold (MLS) $62,500 MOMLS
  • 1999-09-27 Delisted MOMLS
  • 1999-01-25 Listed $79,900 MOMLS
  • 1980-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,696 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…