1472 Philomene Blvd · Lincoln Park, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.1/30.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- DSCR +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1944
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1944
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Living area approximately 1574
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.15 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (8 x 12); Bedroom 2 (8 x 11); Bedroom 3 (14 x 23)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one 6 x 8, one 7 x 12)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Full basement; Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Utility room (11 x 17)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $156k (13.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (24.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (24.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#82 in MI, #1,720 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Lincoln Park School District (suburban): math 15% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #440 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 151 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $180k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.27%
- DSCR
- 0.85
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $138,824
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1370 Garfield Ave | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 3mo | $72,500 | $84 | 73 |
| 1766 White Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-4%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $183 | 73 |
| 1588 Garfield Ave | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 864 (-8%) | 2mo | $128,000 | $148 | 72 |
| 1765 Garfield Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 886 (-6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $186 | 71 |
| 1563 Russell Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (+5%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 1865 Euclid St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+2%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $113 | 55 |
| 1120 Mayflower Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $116 | 55 |
| 1215 Mill St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+12%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 1383 Cicotte Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-9%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $159 | 51 |
| 1473 Austin Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-8%) | 6mo | $126,150 | $146 | 51 |
| 1622 Wilson Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 991 (+6%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $166 | 49 |
| 1512 Marion Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+13%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $185 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-35,614
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-32,597
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48146
- Home prices YoY
- -32.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,352 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $-137
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1552 Hanover St Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1532 Euclid St #1 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,450 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1537 Chandler Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,100 | $1.52 | 17d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1524 Cicotte Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1581 Empire Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1774 College Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1343 Pagel Ave Unit 2-Upper Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1774 Council Ave Lincoln Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 1d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2235 Moore Rd Unit 1 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 875 Raupp Pl Unit 2 Lincoln Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $970 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3575 S Ethel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,350 | $1.51 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-05-11status Pending 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-05-11status Pending
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-30status Active 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-30status Active 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-30status Active
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-27status Pending 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-27status Pending 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-25price $179,900 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-24price $179,900 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-24price $179,900
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-04-24price $179,000
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-24price $190,000 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-23price $190,000 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-23price $190,000
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-02$200,000 Active 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-02$200,000 Active 150-char remark
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2026-03-02$200,000 Active
Show marketing remark (150 chars)
3-bedroom, 2 full bath bungalow with full basement and 2-car detached garage. 2021 furnace. Seller to provide C of O. Move in ready. House sold as is!
-
2020-07-30soldstatus $110,000
-
2020-07-22soldstatus $110,000 Sold
-
2020-07-22soldstatus $110,000 Closed
-
2020-06-16status Pending
-
2020-06-16status Pending
-
2020-06-05$110,000 Active
-
2020-06-05$110,000 Active
-
1991-03-25soldstatus $46,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,242 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,506 · $209/mo
- Expected delta
- +$264/yr (+$22/mo · 11.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,242
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$4,825
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $-489/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lincoln Park School District
- NCES district ID
- 2621600
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,486
- Composite
- 19.93/100
- National rank
- #8678
- State rank
- #440 of 540 in MI
Livability — Lincoln Park
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #82
- US rank
- #1720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lincoln Park, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 39,257
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,257
- Household income
- $58,616
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1142.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 17% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.25%
- Current HPI
- 222.8545
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+291.1% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-11 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-11 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $179,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $190,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $200,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $200,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-02 Listed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-22 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-07-22 Sold (MLS) $110,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-06-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-06-05 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-06-05 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
- 1991-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,242 · -18.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…