Multi-family
3202 Shattuck Ave · Berkeley, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 84°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Transparently priced fixer! This SF-style Berkeley property is a large Victorian with upstairs and downstairs units, each with its own entrance from a charming, gated garden. No tenants yet. Both units are vacant, opening up many possibilities. Bring your vision to these high, coved ceiling rooms with beautiful hardwood floors in most rooms. Finish your favorite pad as the owner’s unit. So many original features. Enter the gate - the first door takes you up a flight of stairs to big windows, high ceilings, and a three-bedroom “apartment” above it all. There are magnificent dining and living rooms, with built-in cabinetry original to the property, replete with mirrors and g
Key facts
- Large victorian
- Built-in cabinetry
- Gated garden
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two total units
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking
- Security: Fenced yard (wood, full, front yard); Security gate
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Individual electric meter; Individual gas meter
- Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Built in 1904
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Front porch; Porch and balcony/patio; Back yard; Front yard; Side yard; Garden / play area; Entry gate; Low maintenance yard space; Shed(s)
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Space heater (heating); No air conditioning; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Storage areas; Tub with shower over; Bay windows
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $776k (2.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $655k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $655k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.0% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#74 in CA, #2,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Berkeley Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #175 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,552/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($168k/yr) (locally 473% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($787k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $235k; list at $799k implies a 240% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.71%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,342,800
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6528 Dover St | 0.16mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,236 (-0%) | 9mo | $1,700,000 | $760 | 72 |
| 3038 Shattuck Ave | 0.10mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,057 (-8%) | 7mo | $1,000,000 | $486 | 67 |
| 2914 Lorina St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,118 (-5%) | 12mo | $1,000,000 | $472 | 62 |
| 556-558 Alcatraz Ave | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,499 (+12%) | 3mo | $622,000 | $249 | 61 |
| 3110 California St | 0.57mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,244 (+0%) | 1mo | $1,200,000 | $535 | 59 |
| 740 59th St | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,159 (-4%) | 6mo | $1,295,000 | $600 | 59 |
| 1817 Woolsey St | 0.32mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,265 (+1%) | 21mo | $1,040,000 | $459 | 57 |
| 2937 Regent St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,192 (-2%) | 15mo | $1,499,000 | $684 | 55 |
| 1916 Woolsey St | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,571 (+15%) | 9mo | $1,705,000 | $663 | 52 |
| 2006 Parker St | 0.68mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,204 (-2%) | 9mo | $1,350,000 | $613 | 49 |
| 523 61st St | 0.44mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 2,280 (+2%) | 18mo | $1,395,000 | $612 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-112,793
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $2,136
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Berkeley
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+78
ZIP-level market 94705
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 18.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,552 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$786 /mo · $9,428/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,376
- Net cashflow
- $-133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $320 | -5% $94 | +0% $-133 | +5% $-359 | +10% $-585 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-650 | -5% $-391 | +0% $-133 | +5% $126 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $270 | -0.5pp $71 | base $-133 | +0.5pp $-340 | +1.0pp $-550 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $3,564 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $2,988 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,552 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2113 Ashby Ave Berkeley, CA | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1605 | $5,300 | $3.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2154 Ashby Ave Berkeley, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1628 | $6,000 | $3.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 6022 Telegraph Ave Oakland, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1900 | $5,199 | $2.74 | 6d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 396 62nd St Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2126 | $8,950 | $4.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2803 Telegraph Ave Berkeley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $6,999 | $4.86 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2038 Parker St Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1118 | $6,921 | $6.19 | 0d | 17 | 0.70mi |
| 2821 Hillegass Ave Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,995 | $2.66 | 16d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2185 Dwight Way Unit 04 Berkeley, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1449 | $6,750 | $4.66 | 19d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2175 Dwight Way Unit 01 Berkeley, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $6,750 | $4.50 | 19d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2436 Ellsworth St Unit D Berkeley, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1461 | $6,250 | $4.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1316 Russell St Berkeley, CA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $8,500 | $3.86 | 0d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5263 Locksley Ave Oakland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2165 | $5,500 | $2.54 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2525 Benvenue Ave Unit 16 Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,995 | $3.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2525 Benvenue Ave Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,995 | $3.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 976 55th St Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2200 | $5,495 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2726 Wallace St Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1856 | $6,300 | $3.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1251 63rd St Emeryville, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,750 | $3.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1034 Grayson St Unit 1 Berkeley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1498 | $6,475 | $4.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 564 44th St Unit 1 Oakland, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,250 | $2.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2108 Berkeley Way Berkeley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $8,100 | $8.39 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $799,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $799,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $799,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $799,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $699,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $699,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $699,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $699,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $699,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $699,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $699,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $699,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$699,000 Active
-
1999-10-19soldstatus $235,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,428 · $786/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,428 · $786/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥84°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$9,428
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,290
- − Management
- −$6,290
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$15,379
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,691
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,100/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0604740
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,202
- Composite
- 57.37/100
- National rank
- #2288
- State rank
- #175 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Berkeley
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #2860
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berkeley, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 121,632
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,991
- Household income
- $167,970
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 473.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Asian 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -708.07%
- Current HPI
- 300.2322
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.68%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+197.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $699,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 1999-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $9,428 · +15.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…