26232 Idlewild Way · Malibu, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 83°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.0/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
$1,795,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Set among the mountains just minutes from the beach, this peaceful retreat offers a rare balance of privacy, nature, and tranquility, with sweeping views of Malibu Bowl. This 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home is set across a rare double lot creating a sense of space and separation that's hard to find. High ceilings, hardwood floors, and an abundance of natural light define the open layout, complemented by travertine stone and a wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen and bathrooms feature a timeless design focused on function and clean modern aesthetics. The kitchen includes a built-in, full-height Thermador Professional 24-inch stainless steel wine refrigerator with approximately 98-bottle capacity. Outdoor living is exceptional, creating a natural extension of the interior spaces. A large, expansive deck takes full advantage of the mountain and canyon backdrop, with ample room for al fresco dining, lounging, and entertaining, complete with a built-in BBQ. Tucked away at the rear of the property, a private, thoughtfully designed area features an Endless Pool, ideal for swim-in-place exercise, fitness, and relaxation. Additional features include a 2-car garage with Tesla charger, roof sprinkler system, and Starlink connectivity. Freshly painted and move-in ready, the home is located within the Santa Monica-Malibu Unified School District, including its newer school facilities.
Key facts
- Sweeping views
- Double lot
- Natural light
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $1.79M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.62M (9.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.62M (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 0.7% in Malibu — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#979 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment A+, schools B; Watch: housing C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Santa Monica-Malibu Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #123 of 1,400 in CA (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 627 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $16,187/mo this rent would consume 99% of the median local household income ($197k/yr) (locally 420% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $24k of equity ($12k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$115k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.74M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $1.20M; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.91%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,865,139
- List price
- $1,795,000
- Delta
- -3.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26343 Lockwood Rd | 0.24mi | 3/3.0 | 1,950 (+0%) | 10mo | $1,205,000 | $618 | 81 |
| 26237 Fairside Rd | 0.06mi | 4/4.0 (+1) | 2,082 (+7%) | 17mo | $2,700,000 | $1,297 | 63 |
| 26335 Lockwood Rd | 0.22mi | 3/3.0 | 2,230 (+14%) | 5mo | $2,126,000 | $953 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.62% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $30,067
- Equity at exit
- $577,359
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $238,300
- Equity at exit
- $740,571
Cash invested: $502,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90265
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 627
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $16,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$9,413
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,409 /mo · $16,913/yr
- Insurance
- −$748
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,399
- Net cashflow
- $1,217
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,233 | -5% $1,725 | +0% $1,217 | +5% $709 | +10% $201 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-62 | -5% $578 | +0% $1,217 | +5% $1,856 | +10% $2,496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,121 | -0.5pp $1,673 | base $1,217 | +0.5pp $752 | +1.0pp $279 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $448,750
- Closing costs
- $53,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26237 Fairside Rd Malibu, CA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2082 | $13,000 | $6.24 | 17d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 26349 Fairside Rd Malibu, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1876 | $7,500 | $4.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.20mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,795,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,795,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,795,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,795,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,795,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,795,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,795,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,795,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,795,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,795,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,795,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,795,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,795,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,795,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$1,795,000 Active 1387-char remark
Show marketing remark (1387 chars)
Set among the mountains just minutes from the beach, this peaceful retreat offers a rare balance of privacy, nature, and tranquility, with sweeping views of Malibu Bowl. This 3-bedroom, 3-bathroom home is set across a rare double lot creating a sense of space and separation that's hard to find. High ceilings, hardwood floors, and an abundance of natural light define the open layout, complemented by travertine stone and a wood-burning fireplace. The kitchen and bathrooms feature a timeless design focused on function and clean modern aesthetics. The kitchen includes a built-in, full-height Thermador Professional 24-inch stainless steel wine refrigerator with approximately 98-bottle capacity. Outdoor living is exceptional, creating a natural extension of the interior spaces. A large, expansive deck takes full advantage of the mountain and canyon backdrop, with ample room for al fresco dining, lounging, and entertaining, complete with a built-in BBQ. Tucked away at the rear of the property, a private, thoughtfully designed area features an Endless Pool, ideal for swim-in-place exercise, fitness, and relaxation. Additional features include a 2-car garage with Tesla charger, roof sprinkler system, and Starlink connectivity. Freshly painted and move-in ready, the home is located within the Santa Monica-Malibu Unified School District, including its newer school facilities.
-
2023-08-22Active
-
2023-06-22price
-
2023-03-08Active
-
2022-09-28Active
-
2015-11-03soldstatus $1,200,000
-
2015-10-03soldstatus $1,200,000 Closed
-
2015-09-08status Backup Offers Accepted
-
2015-09-07status Active
-
2015-09-05historical Expired
-
2015-05-05$1,295,000 Active
-
1994-09-02soldstatus $405,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $16,913 · $1,409/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $16,913 · $1,409/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥83°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $194,239
- − Mortgage interest
- −$100,548
- − Property taxes
- −$16,913
- − Insurance
- −$8,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$15,539
- − Management
- −$15,539
- − Depreciation
- −$52,218
- Taxable loss
- −$15,494
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,718
- After-tax cash flow
- $18,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Monica-Malibu Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0635700
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,489
- Composite
- 61.58/100
- National rank
- #1535
- State rank
- #123 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Malibu
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #979
- US rank
- #24630
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 15,918
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,918
- Household income
- $196,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Current HPI
- 498.5117
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.39%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
+343.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $1,795,000 TheMLS
- 2023-08-22 Listed — TheMLS
- 2023-06-22 Price Changed — TheMLS
- 2023-03-08 Listed — TheMLS
- 2022-09-28 Listed — TheMLS
- 2015-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-03 Sold (MLS) $1,200,000 TheMLS
- 2015-09-08 Pending — TheMLS
- 2015-09-07 Relisted — TheMLS
- 2015-09-05 Delisted — TheMLS
- 2015-05-05 Listed $1,295,000 TheMLS
- 1994-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $405,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $16,913 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…