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1460 S Dye Rd
C Composite 56.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,999

1460 S Dye Rd · Flint, MI 48532
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,014 sqft · SingleFamily · 363 Days on market
Built 1940 0.68 ac lot $128/sqft · 17% below area Est $157k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Super Cute, roomy country home. Scenic views and close to everything. Carmen-Ainsworth Schools, Randels Elementary. New Stainless steel appliances, Eat-in kitchen, dining room in front as well. Large living room. First floor laundry also hookups in basement. Original Hardwood, Oak trim. New roof and recent windows with shades. Sunny Large Bay window. Very private. Extra parcel is available leading out to Reuben Street, wooded. Together would equal full acre. Updated full bathroom. Double bedrooms with bath in between. Large basement, 2 car block garage. Snug in winter, low utilities, forced air natural gas furnace.

Key facts

  • Original hardwood
  • First floor laundry
  • Large living room

Tags

CARMEN-AINSWORTH SCHOOLSNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESEAT-IN KITCHENLARGE LIVING ROOMFIRST FLOOR LAUNDRYORIGINAL HARDWOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $160 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (2.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools (suburban): math 12% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #468 of 540 in MI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 363 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 13 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $130k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $114,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 363 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.29%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$156,997
List price
$129,999
Delta
-17.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2126 Deerfield Dr 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,065 (+5%) 12mo $170,000 $160 60
5369 Devon Ct 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,051 (+4%) 22mo $165,000 $157 59
2176 Lauderdale St 0.49mi 2/1.0 904 (-11%) 1mo $115,000 $127 58
5425 Westchester Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (+1) 948 (-6%) 2mo $187,000 $197 58
5290 Brobeck St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-11%) 3mo $101,500 $113 54
5200 Dania St 0.41mi 2/2.0 952 (-6%) 19mo $120,000 $126 51
5525 Westchester Dr 0.57mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,080 (+6%) 9mo $180,000 $167 48
5237 Dania St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-10%) 15mo $116,000 $127 46
6121 Corunna Rd 0.72mi 2/1.0 968 (-4%) 16mo $140,000 $145 46
5390 Brobeck St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 904 (-11%) 14mo $159,000 $176 42
6044 Brobeck St 0.72mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+4%) 15mo $165,000 $156 40
2068 Cambrian Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,120 (+10%) 14mo $150,000 $134 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.1%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-10,862
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,639
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48532

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,271 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,293/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$267
Net cashflow
$160

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,068
Max offer price $129,999
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5476 Westchester Dr Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,565 $1.56 13d 1 0.50mi
1415 S Linden Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 13d 1 0.55mi
1171 Ramsgate Rd Flint Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,135 $1.28 13d 8 1.31mi

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,999 Active 363 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,999 Active 362 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,999 Active 361 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,999 Active 360 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,999 Active 358 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,999 Active 357 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,999 Active 355 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,999 Active 354 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,999 Active 353 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,999 Active 352 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,999 Active 349 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,999 Active 347 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,999 Active 346 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,999 Active 345 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $129,999 Active 344 DOM
  16. 2025-11-20
    price $129,999 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Super Cute, roomy country home. Scenic views and close to everything. Carmen-Ainsworth Schools, Randels Elementary. New Stainless steel appliances, Eat-in kitchen, dining room in front as well. Large living room. First floor laundry also hookups in basement. Original Hardwood, Oak trim. New roof and recent windows with shades. Sunny Large Bay window. Very private. Extra parcel is available leading out to Reuben Street, wooded. Together would equal full acre. Updated full bathroom. Double bedrooms with bath in between. Large basement, 2 car block garage. Snug in winter, low utilities, forced air natural gas furnace.

  17. 2025-11-20
    price $129,999 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Super Cute, roomy country home. Scenic views and close to everything. Carmen-Ainsworth Schools, Randels Elementary. New Stainless steel appliances, Eat-in kitchen, dining room in front as well. Large living room. First floor laundry also hookups in basement. Original Hardwood, Oak trim. New roof and recent windows with shades. Sunny Large Bay window. Very private. Extra parcel is available leading out to Reuben Street, wooded. Together would equal full acre. Updated full bathroom. Double bedrooms with bath in between. Large basement, 2 car block garage. Snug in winter, low utilities, forced air natural gas furnace.

  18. 2025-06-21
    listed $149,999 Active 623-char remark
    Show marketing remark (623 chars)

    Super Cute, roomy country home. Scenic views and close to everything. Carmen-Ainsworth Schools, Randels Elementary. New Stainless steel appliances, Eat-in kitchen, dining room in front as well. Large living room. First floor laundry also hookups in basement. Original Hardwood, Oak trim. New roof and recent windows with shades. Sunny Large Bay window. Very private. Extra parcel is available leading out to Reuben Street, wooded. Together would equal full acre. Updated full bathroom. Double bedrooms with bath in between. Large basement, 2 car block garage. Snug in winter, low utilities, forced air natural gas furnace.

  19. 2025-06-20
    listed $149,999 Active 622-char remark
    Show marketing remark (622 chars)

    Super Cute, roomy country home. Scenic views and close to everything. Carmen-Ainsworth Schools, Randels Elementary. New Stainless steel appliances, Eat-in kitchen, dining room in front as well. Large living room. First floor laundry also hookups in basement. Original Hardwood, Oak trim. New roof and recent windows with shades. Sunny Large Bay window. Very private. Extra parcel is available leading out to Reuben Street, wooded. Together would equal full acre. Updated full bathroom. Double bedrooms with bath in between. Large basement, 2 car block garage. Snug in winter, low utilities, forced air natural gas furnace.

  20. 2025-06-11
    historical
  21. 2025-06-11
    historical
  22. 2024-08-29
    listed $159,000 Active
  23. 2024-08-28
    listed $159,000 Active
  24. 2024-08-22
    historical
  25. 2024-08-22
    historical
  26. 2023-08-25
    listed $169,500 Active
  27. 2023-08-25
    listed $169,500 Active
  28. 2023-08-24
    historical
  29. 2023-08-24
    historical
  30. 2022-07-29
    soldstatus $75,400
  31. 2022-07-18
    soldstatus $75,400 Sold
  32. 2022-07-18
    soldstatus $75,400 Closed
  33. 2022-07-08
    status Pending
  34. 2022-07-08
    status Pending
  35. 2022-06-27
    listed $74,900 Active
  36. 2022-06-27
    listed $74,900 Active
  37. 2015-12-23
    soldstatus $36,500
  38. 2015-12-15
    historical
  39. 2015-12-15
    historical
  40. 2015-12-08
    listed $44,900
  41. 2015-12-08
    listed $44,900
  42. 2008-11-10
    historical
  43. 2008-06-19
    historical
  44. 2008-06-19
    historical
  45. 2008-03-15
    listed $59,900
  46. 2008-03-15
    listed $59,900
  47. 2008-03-12
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,293 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,647 · $137/mo
Expected delta
+$355/yr (+$30/mo · 27.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,252
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,293
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,220
− Management
−$1,220
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$195
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$47
After-tax cash flow
$1,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carman-Ainsworth Community Schools
NCES district ID
2607890
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$39,394
Composite
16.84/100
National rank
#9149
State rank
#468 of 540 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
19,750

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 38% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Arabic 3% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.08%
Current HPI
202.407
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+117.0% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $129,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $129,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-21 Listed $149,999 REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-20 Listed $149,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-11 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-08-28 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-08-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-25 Listed $169,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-25 Listed $169,500 REALCOMP
  • 2023-08-24 Coming Soon MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-08-24 Coming Soon REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $75,400 Public Records
  • 2022-07-18 Sold (MLS) $75,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-07-18 Sold (MLS) $75,400 REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-08 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-07-08 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-27 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-06-27 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-23 Sold (MLS) $36,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-12-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-12-08 Listed $44,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-12-08 Listed $44,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-11-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-06-19 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-06-19 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-15 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-03-15 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2008-03-12 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,293 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…