CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4153 Whittier Blvd Multi-family
D Composite 44.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,600,000

4153 Whittier Blvd · East Los Angeles, CA 90023
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1911 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

We are proud to exclusively present 4153 Whittier Blvd, Los Angeles, California rare shovel-ready multifamily development opportunity in a strong infill East Los Angeles location. The property consists of an approximately 15,000 SF lot (0.344 acres) and is approved for a 51-unit, 3-story apartment development totaling approximately 29,130 gross building square feet. With the existing improvements already demolished and substantial predevelopment work completed, the site offers a meaningful advantage for a developer seeking to move efficiently into the next phase of construction. The approved project is situated on approximately 0.3444 net acres and includes a unit mix of 4 studios, 42 one-bedroom units, and 5 two-bedroom units within a 3-story building. The plans provide for 17 affordable units across multiple affordability levels, including units at 30%, 50%, 80%, and 120% AMI, while the balance of the project consists of 34 market-rate apartments. The approval also includes a density bonus structure that supports the 51-unit design, along with a waiver for a reduced front yard setback. Additional project highlights include no parking, 26 long-term bicycle spaces, 6 short-term bicycle spaces, a proposed height of approximately 41 feet, and County clearances from Public Health, Fire, and Public Works Land Development. This is an excellent opportunity for a developer to acquire a site where demolition has already been completed and substantial entitlement and permit work has already been secured, significantly reducing lead time and entitlement risk. Positioned just 0.03 miles from public transportation, 4153 Whittier Blvd offers the attributes today's urban multifamily developers seek: scale, transit accessibility, completed demolition, and meaningful entitlement progress. With site work already advanced and core development parameters established, this is an opportunity to acquire a Los Angeles infill project with reduced lead time, lower entitlement risk, and a clear path toward construction.

Key facts

  • 17 affordable units
  • 0.34 acre lot
  • Listed 65 days

Tags

STRONG INFILL LOCATION17 AFFORDABLE UNITSDENSITY BONUS STRUCTURELONG-TERM BICYCLE SPACESSHORT-TERM BICYCLE SPACESCOUNTY CLEARANCES FROM FIRE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.60M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71k ($853k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($102k rent vs $1.60M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.50M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 59.6% vs local median 3.7% in East Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#594 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, schools B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 57 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $102,077/mo this rent would consume 2074% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 2670% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $48k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $448k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1,504,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.38%
Cap rate
59.60%
Cash-on-cash
190.38%
DSCR
9.47
GRM
1.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,447,504,014
List price
$1,600,000
Delta
-99.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1156 S Alma Ave 0.67mi 2/3.0 (+1) 1,224 (-13%) 9mo $400,000 $327 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.90×
Total profit
$3,989,294
Equity at exit
$238,565
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.36×
Total profit
$8,223,361
Equity at exit
$138,339

Cash invested: $448,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90023

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
40.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$102,077 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,391
Tax from tax record
$510 /mo · $6,119/yr
Insurance
$667
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$21,436
Net cashflow
$71,074

Break-even live

Break-even rent $12,110
Max offer price $1,600,000
Occupancy floor 25%

46-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (46 units) $102,077

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$400,000
Closing costs
$48,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1050 1/2 S Bonnie Beach Pl Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.5 985 $2,562 $2.60 24d 1 0.22mi
3824 Princeton St Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $2,380 $2.43 13d 1 0.48mi
455 Nassau Ave Los Angeles, CA 2.0 2.0 1500 $3,000 $2.00 18d 1 0.54mi
4091 San Carlos St Unit 4089 Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,795 $2.54 7d 1 1.08mi
969 S Lorena St Unit 1/2 Commerce, CA 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,600 $2.36 7d 1 1.24mi
969 S Lorena St Unit 1/2 Commerce, CA 2.0 2.5 1100 $2,600 $2.36 5d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,600,000 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $1,600,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,995,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    listed $1,995,000 Active 2029-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2029 chars)

    We are proud to exclusively present 4153 Whittier Blvd, Los Angeles, California rare shovel-ready multifamily development opportunity in a strong infill East Los Angeles location. The property consists of an approximately 15,000 SF lot (0.344 acres) and is approved for a 51-unit, 3-story apartment development totaling approximately 29,130 gross building square feet. With the existing improvements already demolished and substantial predevelopment work completed, the site offers a meaningful advantage for a developer seeking to move efficiently into the next phase of construction. The approved project is situated on approximately 0.3444 net acres and includes a unit mix of 4 studios, 42 one-bedroom units, and 5 two-bedroom units within a 3-story building. The plans provide for 17 affordable units across multiple affordability levels, including units at 30%, 50%, 80%, and 120% AMI, while the balance of the project consists of 34 market-rate apartments. The approval also includes a density bonus structure that supports the 51-unit design, along with a waiver for a reduced front yard setback. Additional project highlights include no parking, 26 long-term bicycle spaces, 6 short-term bicycle spaces, a proposed height of approximately 41 feet, and County clearances from Public Health, Fire, and Public Works Land Development. This is an excellent opportunity for a developer to acquire a site where demolition has already been completed and substantial entitlement and permit work has already been secured, significantly reducing lead time and entitlement risk. Positioned just 0.03 miles from public transportation, 4153 Whittier Blvd offers the attributes today's urban multifamily developers seek: scale, transit accessibility, completed demolition, and meaningful entitlement progress. With site work already advanced and core development parameters established, this is an opportunity to acquire a Los Angeles infill project with reduced lead time, lower entitlement risk, and a clear path toward construction.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,119 · $510/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,160 · $1,013/mo
Expected delta
+$6,041/yr (+$503/mo · 98.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$1,224,924
− Mortgage interest
−$89,625
− Property taxes
−$6,119
− Insurance
−$8,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$97,994
− Management
−$97,994
− Depreciation
−$46,545
Taxable income
$878,647
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$210,875
After-tax cash flow
$642,009/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — East Los Angeles

Score
60/100
State rank
#594
US rank
#19237

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
108,740
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
43,857
Household income
$59,057
Rent vs Own
74.7% rent · 25.3% own
Severe rent burden
2670.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (96%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 96% Two or more races 17% Native American 2% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 80%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
16% English-only · Spanish 83%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -702.74%
Current HPI
430.9762
Rent YoY
▲ 0.21%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $1,995,000 TheMLS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $6,119 · -14.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…