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600 S Idaho Rd #252
D Composite 43.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

600 S Idaho Rd #252 · Apache Junction, AZ 85119
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 416 sqft · Manufactured · 85 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition Est $140k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This charming 416 square foot ]home, built in 2026 by Cavco, offers a cozy and efficient living space perfect for comfortable Arizona living. Featuring one bedroom and one bathroom, the home includes a spacious living room, a well-appointed kitchen equipped with modern appliances such as an oven, fridge, dishwasher, and microwave, and convenient washer/dryer hook-ups. Central A/C ensures year-round comfort, while the interior's thoughtful layout maximizes every inch of space. The exterior boasts durable Hardi siding, an observation deck, a carport for protected parking, a shed for extra storage, and a patio ideal for your very own garden. Located in the welcoming Rock Shadows community in A

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 85 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $129,900

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-level residence; Spec inventory plan: 600 S. Idaho Rd. #252; Active listing
  • Construction: Living area approximately 416
  • Exterior features: Located at 600 S Idaho Rd #252, Apache Junction, AZ

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Studio-style layout (1 bedroom listed with open living area)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-152/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (1.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $112k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $112,032 (13.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$140,192
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1206 W Klamath Dr 0.38mi 1/1.0 409 (-2%) 3mo $138,000 $337 77
1185 W Klamath Ave 0.38mi 1/1.0 400 (-4%) 5mo $113,000 $283 72
1367 W Chesapeake Ave 0.46mi 1/1.5 400 (-4%) 1mo $130,000 $325 69
1311 W Chesapeake Dr 0.45mi 1/1.0 400 (-4%) 9mo $118,500 $296 66
2072 W Klamath Ave 0.34mi 1/2.0 446 (+7%) 3mo $170,000 $381 65
2269 S Seminole Dr 0.57mi 1/1.0 400 (-4%) 3mo $210,000 $525 65
1084 S Shoshone Dr 0.36mi 1/1.0 400 (-4%) 15mo $93,000 $233 65
1004 S Kiowa Cir 0.42mi 1/1.0 445 (+7%) 8mo $85,000 $191 62
1344 W Inuit Ave 0.42mi 1/1.0 397 (-5%) 14mo $173,500 $437 61
2309 S Seminole Dr 0.47mi 1/2.0 386 (-7%) 3mo $200,000 $518 60
2058 S Walla Walla Cir 0.35mi 1/1.0 450 (+8%) 13mo $130,000 $289 59
2274 S Seminole Dr 0.58mi 1/1.0 386 (-7%) 3mo $155,000 $402 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-23,428
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-27,707
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85119

Home prices YoY
-33.5%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
357
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax est. 1.5%
$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $128,069
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $77 -5% $32 +0% $-13 +5% $-58 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-101 -5% $-57 +0% $-13 +5% $32 +10% $76
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $20 base $-13 +0.5pp $-46 +1.0pp $-81

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
432 E 9th Ave Unit 6 Apache Junction, AZ 1.0 370 $975 $2.64 25d 1 0.41mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $129,900 Active 85 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥111°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,444
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$1,948
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$2,361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$567
After-tax cash flow
$415/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and has the potential to be further enhanced with some cosmetic updates to boost its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Adding a small front porch — A small front porch can enhance curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Adding a small front porch — A small front porch can enhance curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
NCES district ID
0400790
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$44,930
Composite
15.34/100
National rank
#9325
State rank
#195 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Apache Junction

Score
66/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#11242

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Apache Junction, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
56,611
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
25,420
Household income
$71,585
Rent vs Own
20.1% rent · 79.9% own
Severe rent burden
305.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.19%
Current HPI
274.3808
Rent YoY
▲ 1.57%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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