600 S Idaho Rd #252 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming 416 square foot ]home, built in 2026 by Cavco, offers a cozy and efficient living space perfect for comfortable Arizona living. Featuring one bedroom and one bathroom, the home includes a spacious living room, a well-appointed kitchen equipped with modern appliances such as an oven, fridge, dishwasher, and microwave, and convenient washer/dryer hook-ups. Central A/C ensures year-round comfort, while the interior's thoughtful layout maximizes every inch of space. The exterior boasts durable Hardi siding, an observation deck, a carport for protected parking, a shed for extra storage, and a patio ideal for your very own garden. Located in the welcoming Rock Shadows community in A
Key facts
- Built 2026
- Listed 85 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $129,900
Exterior
- Home design: Single-level residence; Spec inventory plan: 600 S. Idaho Rd. #252; Active listing
- Construction: Living area approximately 416
- Exterior features: Located at 600 S Idaho Rd #252, Apache Junction, AZ
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Studio-style layout (1 bedroom listed with open living area)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-152/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (1.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $112k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $112k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 357 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $140,192
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1206 W Klamath Dr | 0.38mi | 1/1.0 | 409 (-2%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $337 | 77 |
| 1185 W Klamath Ave | 0.38mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-4%) | 5mo | $113,000 | $283 | 72 |
| 1367 W Chesapeake Ave | 0.46mi | 1/1.5 | 400 (-4%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $325 | 69 |
| 1311 W Chesapeake Dr | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-4%) | 9mo | $118,500 | $296 | 66 |
| 2072 W Klamath Ave | 0.34mi | 1/2.0 | 446 (+7%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $381 | 65 |
| 2269 S Seminole Dr | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-4%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $525 | 65 |
| 1084 S Shoshone Dr | 0.36mi | 1/1.0 | 400 (-4%) | 15mo | $93,000 | $233 | 65 |
| 1004 S Kiowa Cir | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 | 445 (+7%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $191 | 62 |
| 1344 W Inuit Ave | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 | 397 (-5%) | 14mo | $173,500 | $437 | 61 |
| 2309 S Seminole Dr | 0.47mi | 1/2.0 | 386 (-7%) | 3mo | $200,000 | $518 | 60 |
| 2058 S Walla Walla Cir | 0.35mi | 1/1.0 | 450 (+8%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $289 | 59 |
| 2274 S Seminole Dr | 0.58mi | 1/1.0 | 386 (-7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $402 | 58 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-23,428
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-27,707
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85119
- Home prices YoY
- -33.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 357
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,120 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$235
- Net cashflow
- $-13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $77 | -5% $32 | +0% $-13 | +5% $-58 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-101 | -5% $-57 | +0% $-13 | +5% $32 | +10% $76 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $53 | -0.5pp $20 | base $-13 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-81 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432 E 9th Ave Unit 6 Apache Junction, AZ | — | 1.0 | 370 | $975 | $2.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 64 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥111°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,948
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,076
- − Management
- −$1,076
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$2,361
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$567
- After-tax cash flow
- $415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and has the potential to be further enhanced with some cosmetic updates to boost its resale and rental value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and property value.
- Both Adding a small front porch — A small front porch can enhance curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Adding a small front porch — A small front porch can enhance curb appeal and provide a welcoming entrance. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apache Junction, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,420
- Household income
- $71,585
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 305.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.19%
- Current HPI
- 274.3808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.57%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…