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1176 W Buttonbush Dr
F Composite 34.72
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.8/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

1176 W Buttonbush Dr · Pine Ridge, FL 34465
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 992 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1986 9,385 sqft lot Est $170k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to your slice of sunny Florida living at 1176 W Buttonbush in Beverly Hills! This charming 2-bedroom, 1-1/2 bath home features an additional bonus room that can easily be used as a third bedroom, home office, or flex space to fit your needs. Nestled in a growing and desirable area, you’ll enjoy convenient access to new restaurants, shopping, and medical facilities, along with nearby interstates for an easy commute. Step outside and fall in love with the spacious, fully fenced backyard—perfect for entertaining, pets, or family fun. Take a dip in the above-ground pool or relax in your private outdoor oasis with no rear neighbors. The property backs up to protected land, en

Key facts

  • Above-ground pool
  • 9,385 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

FULLY FENCED BACKYARDABOVE-GROUND POOLPRIVATE OUTDOOR OASIS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; Lot about 0.21 acre

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Solar energy
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces west
  • Construction: Built with block, concrete, stone and stucco; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Private mailbox; Above-ground private pool; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup in garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-712/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $169k (5.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (24.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (24.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Pine Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#565 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Ridge Elementary School (math 55% / reading 59%, grade C+, #781 of 2,144 statewide, top 38%, 708 students, 67% FRL); Lecanto High School (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,630 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 396 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $180k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,703 (24.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
5.90%
Cash-on-cash
-1.41%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$169,632
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
99 S Lucille St 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,016 (+2%) 7mo $205,000 $202 81
206 S Desoto St 0.35mi 2/1.5 1,064 (+7%) 8mo $204,000 $192 65
95 S Fillmore St 0.56mi 2/1.0 1,040 (+5%) 4mo $142,500 $137 61
58 S Columbus St 0.53mi 2/1.0 950 (-4%) 8mo $130,000 $137 60
204 S Davis St 0.40mi 2/1.5 1,134 (+14%) 1mo $189,000 $167 57
303 S Fillmore St 0.61mi 2/1.5 1,064 (+7%) 8mo $205,000 $193 53
49 S Osceola St 0.54mi 2/1.0 1,112 (+12%) 1mo $153,600 $138 52
36 S Lucille St 0.61mi 2/1.0 908 (-8%) 4mo $190,000 $209 52
73 S Lincoln Ave 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,108 (+12%) 6mo $190,000 $171 47
75 Rose Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 864 (-13%) 2mo $170,000 $197 44
3621 N Lucille Dr 0.71mi 2/2.0 1,080 (+9%) 9mo $159,900 $148 43
41 S Lincoln Ave 0.73mi 2/2.0 874 (-12%) 6mo $130,000 $149 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-32,972
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-33,751
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34465

Home prices YoY
-33.1%
Active inventory
396
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,367 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,451/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$287
Net cashflow
$-59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,442
Max offer price $169,424
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $43 -5% $-8 +0% $-59 +5% $-110 +10% $-161
Rent -10% $-167 -5% $-113 +0% $-59 +5% $-5 +10% $49
Rate -1.0pp $31 -0.5pp $-14 base $-59 +0.5pp $-106 +1.0pp $-153

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
95 S Fillmore St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1056 $1,300 $1.23 22d 1 0.60mi
45 S Jackson St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,275 $1.15 22d 1 0.92mi
41 S Monroe St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 932 $1,300 $1.39 22d 1 0.98mi
5 New North Ct Beverly Hills, FL 1.0 1.0 864 $1,100 $1.27 22d 1 1.02mi
17 N Davis St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,000 $0.90 22d 1 1.09mi
7 Donna Ct Beverly Hills, FL 1.0 1.0 675 $1,225 $1.81 22d 1 1.15mi
31 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1027 $1,525 $1.48 22d 1 1.16mi
12 Montana St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,700 $1.56 22d 1 1.21mi
11 S Barbour St Beverly Hills, FL 2.0 1.0 808 $1,349 $1.67 22d 1 1.25mi
13 S Washington St Beverly Hills, FL 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,350 $1.27 22d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $179,900 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $179,900 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $179,900 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $179,900 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $179,900 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $179,900 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $179,900 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $185,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-05-25
    status Pending
  12. 2026-04-24
    price $197,500
  13. 2026-04-06
    price $205,000
  14. 2026-03-19
    listed $215,000 Active
  15. 2020-10-21
    soldstatus $80,200
  16. 1986-06-01
    soldstatus $44,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,451 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,493 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$43/yr (+$4/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,404
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$1,451
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,312
− Management
−$1,312
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable loss
−$3,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$931
After-tax cash flow
$220/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Citrus
NCES district ID
1200270
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,618
Composite
41.28/100
National rank
#3519
State rank
#44 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pine Ridge

Score
67/100
State rank
#565
US rank
#10798

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pine Ridge, FL
County
Citrus County · 111,314 people
City population
18,514
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
Population (ZIP)
18,879
Household income
$54,869
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
334.0

Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,622 people
By 2030
136,886 · -1.3%
By 2040
132,009 · -4.8%
By 2050
125,196 · -9.7%
By 2075
108,570 · -21.7%
By 2100
84,454 · -39.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, Vietnam, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Citrus

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
2008→2024 swing
-29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.62%
Current HPI
279.7183
Rent YoY
Metro
Homosassa Springs, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+339.9% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $197,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $80,200 Public Records
  • 1986-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $44,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+15.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,451 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…