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1121 Tarkiln Rd SE #109
B+ Composite 79.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,900

1121 Tarkiln Rd SE #109 · Lancaster, OH 43130
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 179 Days on market
Built 2023 Good condition $70/sqft · 46% below area Est $158k · 46% under $430/mo HOA · 27% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Open floor plan
  • Front deck

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANNEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFRONT DECKSTORAGE SHEDMOVE-IN READYDESIRABLE COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#41 in OH, #423 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
  • Berne Union Local (rural): math 63% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #321 of 802 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Recommended offer $74,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
9.76%
Cash-on-cash
12.37%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,706
List price
$84,900
Delta
-46.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Tarkiln Rd SE #109 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 0mo $72,000 $59 100
1014 Tarkiln Rd SE 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,136 (-7%) 22mo $217,000 $191 64
404 Ross Rd SE 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+10%) 9mo $220,000 $164 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$5,783
Equity at exit
$12,659
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$41,960
Equity at exit
$7,341

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43130

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
204
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax est. 1.5%
$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$430
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,287
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$430 · $5,160/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

  2. 2026-04-09
    status Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

  3. 2026-04-09
    price $84,900 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

  4. 2026-01-17
    historical 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

  5. 2025-09-08
    price $89,900 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

  6. 2025-08-18
    listed $94,900 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,166
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,274
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,533
− Management
−$1,533
− HOA
−$5,160
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$484
After-tax cash flow
$2,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2023 single-wide manufactured home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berne Union Local
NCES district ID
3904685
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$52,595
Composite
59.22/100
National rank
#1932
State rank
#321 of 802 in OH

Livability — Lancaster

Score
86/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#423

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Fairfield County · 109,896 people
City population
62,933
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
62,933
Household income
$72,153
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
1400.0

Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,442 people
By 2030
166,796 · +2.7%
By 2040
172,835 · +6.4%
By 2050
174,822 · +7.6%
By 2075
174,938 · +7.7%
By 2100
160,988 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.1pp · 2024: -24.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+27.0 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -298.81%
Current HPI
239.6352
Rent YoY
▲ 5.22%
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $84,900 CBRMLS
  • 2026-01-17 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $89,900 CBRMLS
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $94,900 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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