1121 Tarkiln Rd SE #109 · Lancaster, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Open floor plan
- Front deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#41 in OH, #423 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- Berne Union Local (rural): math 63% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #321 of 802 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.37%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,706
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -46.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1121 Tarkiln Rd SE #109 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 0mo | $72,000 | $59 | 100 |
| 1014 Tarkiln Rd SE | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,136 (-7%) | 22mo | $217,000 | $191 | 64 |
| 404 Ross Rd SE | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $164 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $5,783
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.77×
- Total profit
- $41,960
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43130
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$430
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $430 · $5,160/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
-
2026-04-09status Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
-
2026-04-09price $84,900 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
-
2026-01-17historical 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
-
2025-09-08price $89,900 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
-
2025-08-18$94,900 Active 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Welcome to Rustic Ridge! This 2023 single-wide manufactured home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 full baths, and an open floor plan designed for modern living. The home measures 16x76 and features new stainless steel appliances, a front deck, and a storage shed for added convenience. This home may be purchased to remain in the park or relocated off-site. A well-kept property in a desirable community, it's move-in ready and waiting for its next owner
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,166
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − HOA
- −$5,160
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$484
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 2023 single-wide manufactured home is move-in ready with good condition and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps property in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berne Union Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904685
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,595
- Composite
- 59.22/100
- National rank
- #1932
- State rank
- #321 of 802 in OH
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Fairfield County · 109,896 people
- City population
- 62,933
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,933
- Household income
- $72,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1400.0
Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,442 people
- By 2030
- 166,796 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 172,835 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 174,822 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 174,938 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 160,988 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.1pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+27.0 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.81%
- Current HPI
- 239.6352
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $84,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-01-17 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $89,900 CBRMLS
- 2025-08-18 Listed $94,900 CBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…