8665 Florin Rd #67 · Florin, CA 95828

$45,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 460 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market

Built 1973 $445/mo HOA · 23% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• Appreciation +1.3/10.0

Listing remarks

This is an AS IS sale. MOTIVATED SELLER!! Add your Tender Loving Care and make this place your home. Covered deep parking can comfortably accommodate 2 vehicles. Two bedrooms, two baths, two spacious sheds with locks. Sit on the spacious covered patio with an open view of the park's putting green golf course. This 55+ Community Park, has no rent space, offers many amenities: spacious Clubhouse, two pools with spa to relax in on hot days. Come see for yourself and add your own taste to make it just the right home for you!

Key facts

• Covered deep parking
• Spacious clubhouse
• Two pools with spa

Tags

• COVERED DEEP PARKING
• SPACIOUS COVERED PATIO
• OPEN VIEW OF PARK
• SPACIOUS CLUBHOUSE
• TWO POOLS WITH SPA

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Located in a senior community; Property address: 8665 Florin Rd #67, Sacramento, CA 95828
• HOA & community: Mandatory association membership; Monthly association fee; Association amenities include pool, clubhouse, putting green, game room, sauna, RV parking, guest parking, laundry; pet restrictions and park interview required; Association fee includes gas, exterior maintenance, grounds maintenance, trash, and water

Exterior

• Parking: Covered parking; Attached parking; Guest parking available; No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220 volts in kitchen
• Home design: Manufactured home in park (double wide); Built in 1973
• Construction: Metal roof; Aluminum skirting
• Exterior features: Backyard; Private lot; Close to clubhouse

Interior

• Kitchen: Laminate countertops; 220-volt outlet in kitchen
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Tub with shower over
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Covered deck/patio; Great room; Kitchen open to family/dining area; Laminate countertops
• Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $818 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
• Cap rate 28.1% vs local median 3.6% in Florin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#673 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
• Elk Grove Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #165 of 517 in CA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sierra-Enterprise Elementary (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #950 of 1,571 statewide, top 61%, 521 students, 55% FRL); Katherine L. Albiani Middle (math 55% / reading 67%, grade B+, #57 of 498 statewide, top 12%, 1,307 students, 27% FRL); Pleasant Grove High (math 57% / reading 74%, grade B, #157 of 1,170 statewide, top 14%, 2,520 students, 22% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 215 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.92%
• DSCR: 4.47
• GRM: 1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 73.5%
• Equity multiple: 4.13×
• Total profit: $39,408
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: 76.2%
• Equity multiple: 7.39×
• Total profit: $80,565
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95828

• Home prices YoY: -0.8%
• Rents YoY: -0.2%
• Active inventory: 215
• Price-to-rent: 1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,941 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$15 /mo · $183/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$445
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$408
• Net cashflow: $818

Break-even live

Break-even rent $905

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $844	-5% $831	+0% $818	+5% $805	+10% $793
Rent	-10% $665	-5% $742	+0% $818	+5% $895	+10% $971
Rate	-1.0pp $841	-0.5pp $830	base $818	+0.5pp $807	+1.0pp $795

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $445 · $5,340/yr
• Likely covers: pool

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $45,000 Pending 7 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $45,000 Active 4 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $45,000 Active 3 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   remarks 526-char remark
5. 2026-06-07
   listed $45,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $183 · $15/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $342 · $28/mo
• Expected delta: +$159/yr (+$13/mo · 87.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥102°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 28 unhealthy d/yr today · 33 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,288
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$183
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,863
• − Management: −$1,863
• − HOA: −$5,340
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $9,985
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,396
• After-tax cash flow: $7,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Elk Grove Unified
• NCES district ID: 0612330
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $67,860
• Composite: 40.72/100
• National rank: #3658
• State rank: #165 of 517 in CA

Livability — Florin

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #673
• US rank: #20705

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Florin, CA
• County: Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
• City population: 60,532
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• Population (ZIP): 61,686
• Household income: $81,778
• Rent vs Own: 35.9% rent · 64.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1765.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,660,763 people
• By 2030: 1,732,990 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 1,855,755 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 1,941,335 · +16.9%
• By 2075: 2,046,162 · +23.2%
• By 2100: 1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
• Race & ethnicity: Asian 37% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 16% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Pacific Islander 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 22%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Russian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 35% · Vietnam, Canada, China
• Languages at home: 47% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Asian/Pacific 13% Vietnamese 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

• 2024 margin: D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -7.49%
• Current HPI: 962.47
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.24%
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $183 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.