35 Rockaway Dr · Sound Beach, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming cottage-style home located in the desirable Miller Place School District, set on a spacious ~10,000 sq ft lot in Sound Beach. This property offers a unique opportunity for buyers looking to renovate, expand, or create a custom year-round or seasonal retreat. The home is currently configured as a 1-bedroom and was originally a 2-bedroom layout. Interior features open living space, and abundant natural light. The property needs some TLC and is being sold as-is, making it ideal for investors, contractors, or buyers seeking a project with upside potential. Conveniently located near local beaches, Great opportunity to restore or reimagine this home to your vision. Won't Last!
Key facts
- Spacious lot
- Cottage-style home
- Open living space
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no carport)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Other utilities (see remarks)
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 4 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Other heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: See remarks for utility details
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $289k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $176 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (6.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (6.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Sound Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#458 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Miller Place Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #116 of 590 in NY (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Andrew Muller Primary School (468 students, 14% FRL); North Country Road School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade B, #192 of 729 statewide, top 28%, 534 students, 15% FRL); Miller Place High School (math 96% / reading 72%, grade A, #404 of 1,100 statewide, top 37%, 820 students, 16% FRL).
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.60%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $431,961
- List price
- $289,000
- Delta
- -33.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-35,631
- Equity at exit
- $43,091
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-16,547
- Equity at exit
- $24,987
Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11789
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,709 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,516
- Tax from tax record
- −$329 /mo · $3,945/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$569
- Net cashflow
- $176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $339 | -5% $257 | +0% $176 | +5% $94 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-39 | -5% $69 | +0% $176 | +5% $283 | +10% $390 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $249 | base $176 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,250
- Closing costs
- $8,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $289,000 Pending 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $289,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $289,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-28$289,000 Active 691-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,945 · $329/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,414 · $368/mo
- Expected delta
- +$470/yr (+$39/mo · 11.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,509
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,188
- − Property taxes
- −$3,945
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,601
- − Management
- −$2,601
- − Depreciation
- −$8,407
- Taxable loss
- −$2,678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$643
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,749/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miller Place Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619410
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,693
- Composite
- 62.5/100
- National rank
- #685
- State rank
- #116 of 590 in NY
Livability — Sound Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #458
- US rank
- #7991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sound Beach, NY
- City population
- 7,447
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,447
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 6% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.99%
- Current HPI
- 366.6474
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Listed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,945 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…