1110 N 8th St · Lakeside, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
INVESTOR SPECIAL! Don’t miss this 3-bedroom, 2-bath 2005 manufactured home on a quarter-acre lot. The property includes a detached 2 car 24x30 Pole Barn/Shop with full loft for storage, full size air compressor, room for projects, and an additional 67-foot 1 car garage with spacious storage building with potential for a workshop & hobby area. Ideal for a fix-and-flip or short-term rental. Conveniently located near the Oregon Dunes and Tenmile Lake, offering easy access to fishing, boating, swimming, and hunting. Lakeside’s ATV-friendly roads provide direct access to the dunes.
Key facts
- Additional garage
- Detached pole barn
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.25 acre (10,000–14,999 sq ft range); Listing status: Active; No land lease
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and off-street parking for 3 vehicles; Detached, extra-deep, oversized 3-car garage; RV parking and RV/boat storage
- Utilities: Electricity; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Residential property; Fixer condition; Single-story (main level entry)
- Construction: Built in 2005
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding; Porch; Outbuilding; Tool shed; Workshop; RV parking / RV & boat storage; Concrete road access; Ocean/beach nearby (within 1/4 mile); City and trees/woods views
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Microwave; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom; Third bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; No central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Jetted tub; Skylights; Main-floor laundry; Accessible approach with ramp; Main floor bedroom with bath; Minimal steps; Accessible parking
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (10.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (29.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (29.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.7% in Lakeside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#215 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Bay Elementary School (math 34% / reading 42%, grade F, #197 of 412 statewide, top 48%, 443 students, 69% FRL); North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $280k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.43%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,000
- List price
- $280,000
- Delta
- -12.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590 Kings Ave | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $173 | 81 |
| 400 Robinhood Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (0%) | 20mo | $325,000 | $231 | 76 |
| 555 N 8th St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 6mo | $399,500 | $308 | 58 |
| 660 Royal Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (0%) | 22mo | $258,000 | $184 | 57 |
| 740 Sherwood St | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (-10%) | 24mo | $260,000 | $205 | 45 |
| 480 Rugh Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (+4%) | 21mo | $272,500 | $186 | 43 |
| 1060 Cedar Loop | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,566 (+12%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $278 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.92% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-6,030
- Equity at exit
- $94,462
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $32,607
- Equity at exit
- $124,666
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97449
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,980 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,658/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$416
- Net cashflow
- $-159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $0 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-159 | +5% $-238 | +10% $-317 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-315 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-159 | +5% $-80 | +10% $-2 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-18 | -0.5pp $-87 | base $-159 | +0.5pp $-231 | +1.0pp $-305 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24$280,000 Active 599-char remark
-
1996-10-15soldstatus $30,000
-
1987-02-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,658 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,716 · $226/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,058/yr (+$88/mo · 63.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,764
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$1,658
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,901
- − Management
- −$1,901
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$6,926
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,662
- After-tax cash flow
- $-242/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bend SD 13
- NCES district ID
- 4108820
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,614
- Composite
- 32.57/100
- National rank
- #5681
- State rank
- #21 of 58 in OR
Livability — Lakeside
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #215
- US rank
- #14610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeside, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,200
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.92%
- Current HPI
- 190.1581
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+1020.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $280,000 RMLS
- 1996-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,658 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…