494 E Van Haven Rd · Paulden, AZ 86334

$159,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 868 sqft · Manufactured public records · 240 Days on market

Built 1978 0.38 ac lot $183/sqft · 29% below area Est $223k · 29% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +13.5/30.0
• DSCR +4.1/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Appreciation +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

Key facts

• Move-in ready
• Laminate flooring
• Upgraded throughout

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT
• MOVE-IN READY
• UPGRADED THROUGHOUT
• LAMINATE FLOORING
• DOUBLE-PANE WINDOWS
• NEW LIGHT FIXTURES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($86/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (11.9% below list).
• Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Paulden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#202 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Chino Valley Unified District (4474) (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #112 of 249 in AZ (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Territorial Early Childhood Center (634 students, 54% FRL); Heritage Middle School (math 22% / reading 33%, grade F, #96 of 218 statewide, top 44%, 536 students, 54% FRL); Chino Valley High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 789 students, 43% FRL).
• Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,062 units permitted in Yavapai County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Yavapai County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 240 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $36k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 5→12/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 240 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.35%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.19%
• DSCR: 1.01
• GRM: 9.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $223,255
• List price: $159,000
• Delta: -28.78%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 9 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
25406 N Juniper Rd	0.38mi	2/2.0 (-1)	840 (-3%)	2mo	$187,000	$223	66
360 E Alder Ln	0.40mi	3/2.0	849 (-2%)	20mo	$219,000	$258	57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.43×
• Total profit: $-25,286
• Equity at exit: $23,707

10-year hold

• IRR: -7.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.52×
• Total profit: $-21,343
• Equity at exit: $13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 86334

• Home prices YoY: -1.2%
• Active inventory: 194
• Price-to-rent: 9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,400 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$834
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$199 /mo · $2,385/yr
• Insurance: −$66
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$294
• Net cashflow: $7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,391

Max offer price $159,000

Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $117	-5% $62	+0% $7	+5% $-48	+10% $-103
Rent	-10% $-103	-5% $-48	+0% $7	+5% $62	+10% $118
Rate	-1.0pp $87	-0.5pp $48	base $7	+0.5pp $-34	+1.0pp $-76

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $39,750
• Closing costs: $4,770
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
25415 N Cedar Dr Paulden, AZ	3.0	2.0	896	$1,400	$1.56	45d	1	0.39mi

Listing history 47 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $159,000 Active 240 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   price $159,000 Active 237 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $169,000 Active 237 DOM
4. 2026-06-17
   days on market $169,000 Active 236 DOM
5. 2026-06-16
   days on market $169,000 Active 235 DOM
6. 2026-06-15
   days on market $169,000 Active 234 DOM
7. 2026-06-14
   days on market $169,000 Active 232 DOM
8. 2026-06-13
   days on market $169,000 Active 231 DOM
9. 2026-06-10
   days on market $169,000 Active 229 DOM
10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 228 DOM
11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 227 DOM
12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 226 DOM
13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 223 DOM
14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 222 DOM
15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 221 DOM
16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 220 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 219 DOM
18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,000 Active 218 DOM
19. 2026-05-12
    historical Active Under Contract 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

20. 2026-04-01
    price $169,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

21. 2026-03-16
    price $150,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

22. 2026-01-09
    price $160,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

23. 2025-12-10
    price $169,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

24. 2025-11-21
    price $172,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

25. 2025-11-06
    price $179,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

26. 2025-11-01
    price $189,000 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

27. 2025-10-24
    listed $195,000 Active 822-char remark

    Show marketing remark (822 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd -- a cozy and fully furnished 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 869 sq. ft. of comfortable living space.Situated on a spacious .38-acre lot, this turnkey property is move-in ready and thoughtfully upgraded throughout. Enjoy alluring laminate flooring, double-pane windows, all-new light fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. An additional office/den provides flexible space that could easily serve as a third bedroom. Recent upgrades include a $6,000 2-ton Mitsubishi mini split, new exterior paint, a GE French-door refrigerator with lower freezer drawer, GE glass-top range, and an LG washer and dryer. All furnishings convey -- including a 55'' LG OLED TV -- making this home ready for you to move right in and start living. The fully fenced yard offers privacy and plenty of RV parking.

28. 2023-09-15
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

29. 2023-09-15
    soldstatus $185,000

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

30. 2023-08-29
    status Pending 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

31. 2023-07-21
    price $181,000 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

32. 2023-06-22
    status Active 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

33. 2023-06-19
    historical Active with Contingency 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

34. 2023-05-23
    price $184,000 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

35. 2023-05-20
    status Active 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

36. 2023-04-27
    historical Active with Contingency 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

37. 2023-02-15
    listed $185,000 Active
38. 2023-02-15
    historical
39. 2023-02-14
    listed $185,000 Active 454-char remark

    Show marketing remark (454 chars)

    Welcome to 494 E Van Haven Rd a cozy 2 bedroom 1 bath home offering 869 SQFT. This home sits on .38 acres of land. Fully remodeled in 2021 which includes alluring laminate flooring throughout, double pane windows, a stunning tile shower, all new light fixtures and more! An additional Office/ Den that could potentially be a 3rd bedroom! Full fenced yard with plenty of RV parking available. This is a must see to appreciate, schedule your showing today!

40. 2022-09-02
    historical
41. 2022-07-28
    price $235,000
42. 2022-06-23
    listed $252,000 Active
43. 2021-04-21
    soldstatus $140,000
44. 2021-04-21
    soldstatus $140,000
45. 2019-03-07
    soldstatus $40,500
46. 2001-03-26
    soldstatus $54,000
47. 2001-03-26
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 5 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,800
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,906
• − Property taxes: −$2,385
• − Insurance: −$795
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,344
• − Management: −$1,344
• − Depreciation: −$4,625
• Taxable loss: −$2,600
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$624
• After-tax cash flow: $710/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Chino Valley Unified District (4474)
• NCES district ID: 0400003
• Math proficiency: 24% ▼ -19.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $44,429
• Composite: 25.22/100
• National rank: #7505
• State rank: #112 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Paulden

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #202
• US rank: #20477

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Paulden, AZ
• City population: 4,309
• Population (ZIP): 4,309

Population outlook (Yavapai County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 241,389 people
• By 2030: 249,523 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 259,966 · +7.7%
• By 2050: 264,736 · +9.7%
• By 2075: 269,334 · +11.6%
• By 2100: 256,505 · +6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 5% Italian 5% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Yavapai

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.6% · R 66.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -9.5pp toward R · 2008: -24.4pp · 2024: -33.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+29.3 2016: R+31.4 2012: R+30.7 2008: R+24.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -5.07%
• Current HPI: 433.9478
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

+213.0% since first listed

29 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-12 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-01 Price Changed $169,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-16 Price Changed $150,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-09 Price Changed $160,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-12-10 Price Changed $169,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-21 Price Changed $172,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-06 Price Changed $179,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-11-01 Price Changed $189,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-24 Listed $195,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-09-15 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
• 2023-09-15 Sold (MLS) $185,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-08-29 Pending — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-07-21 Price Changed $181,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-06-22 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-06-19 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-23 Price Changed $184,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-05-20 Relisted — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-04-27 Contingent — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-02-15 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-02-15 Listed $185,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-02-14 Listed $185,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-09-02 Listing Removed — PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-07-28 Price Changed $235,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2022-06-23 Listed $252,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2021-04-21 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
• 2021-04-21 Sold (MLS) $140,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2019-03-07 Sold (MLS) $40,500 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2001-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
• 2001-03-26 Sold (MLS) $54,000 PAARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $263 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.