705 Mechanic St · Osage, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.3/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,880
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attractive 4 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath on large corner lot with double garage in very convenient location near public daycare, elementary school, grocery store, and shopping and eating venues. Has bedroom, 1-1/2 baths, and laundry on the main floor, nice oak kitchen, formal dining, & attractive covered porches. Both the home and the garage have new roofs and seamless gutters were installed on the home. You can take immediate possession on this one.
Key facts
- Huge walk-in closet
- Formal dining room
- Large corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport (2 spaces); Detached garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential single-family home
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle (asphalt) roof; Basement: crawl space, partially finished with interior entry
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio/porch; Landscaped yard; Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Microwave
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One three-quarter bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Forced-air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Water softener (owned); Electric water heater; No fireplace reported
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $139k (13.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $118k (26.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $118k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#80 in IA, #1,667 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Osage Community School District (town): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #108 of 289 in IA (top 37%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Osage Middle School (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #72 of 246 statewide, top 30%, 268 students, 33% FRL); Osage High School (math 63% / reading 77%, grade B+, #146 of 336 statewide, top 45%, 313 students, 26% FRL).
- Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Mitchell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mitchell County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $132k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1869 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1869 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.15%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $180,587
- List price
- $159,880
- Delta
- -11.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 620 Ash St St | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,106 (-3%) | 9mo | $207,000 | $98 | 75 |
| 421 State St | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 | 2,040 (-6%) | 10mo | $137,000 | $67 | 68 |
| 1027 Sunshine Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 2,238 (+3%) | 4mo | $218,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 809 Mechanic St | 0.10mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,879 (-14%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $40 | 64 |
| 1105 Pleasant St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,064 (-5%) | 1mo | $247,000 | $120 | 63 |
| 220 Pleasant St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,207 (+2%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $93 | 63 |
| 1115 Sunshine Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 2,065 (-5%) | 5mo | $237,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 1033 Mechanic St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,990 (-8%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $85 | 54 |
| 19 Maple Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-15%) | 10mo | $169,000 | $91 | 51 |
| 506 S 3rd St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,972 (-9%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $185 | 50 |
| 914 Poplar St St | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,486 (+14%) | 10mo | $317,500 | $128 | 46 |
| 1208 Oak St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,414 (+11%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $97 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-33,407
- Equity at exit
- $23,839
- IRR
- -15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-38,793
- Equity at exit
- $13,824
Cash invested: $44,766 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50461
- Home prices YoY
- -22.9%
- Active inventory
- 43
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$838
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,736/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-27 | -5% $-72 | +0% $-118 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-211 | -5% $-164 | +0% $-118 | +5% $-71 | +10% $-24 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-37 | -0.5pp $-77 | base $-118 | +0.5pp $-159 | +1.0pp $-201 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,970
- Closing costs
- $4,796
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 1160-char remark
-
2026-05-01$159,880 Active 1160-char remark
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $132,000 Closed 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Attractive 4 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath on large corner lot with double garage in very convenient location near public daycare, elementary school, grocery store, and shopping and eating venues. Has bedroom, 1-1/2 baths, and laundry on the main floor, nice oak kitchen, formal dining, & attractive covered porches. Both the home and the garage have new roofs and seamless gutters were installed on the home. You can take immediate possession on this one.
-
2023-01-20soldstatus $132,000
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Attractive 4 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath on large corner lot with double garage in very convenient location near public daycare, elementary school, grocery store, and shopping and eating venues. Has bedroom, 1-1/2 baths, and laundry on the main floor, nice oak kitchen, formal dining, & attractive covered porches. Both the home and the garage have new roofs and seamless gutters were installed on the home. You can take immediate possession on this one.
-
2022-12-06status Pending 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Attractive 4 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath on large corner lot with double garage in very convenient location near public daycare, elementary school, grocery store, and shopping and eating venues. Has bedroom, 1-1/2 baths, and laundry on the main floor, nice oak kitchen, formal dining, & attractive covered porches. Both the home and the garage have new roofs and seamless gutters were installed on the home. You can take immediate possession on this one.
-
2022-12-01$136,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
Attractive 4 bedroom, 2-1/2 bath on large corner lot with double garage in very convenient location near public daycare, elementary school, grocery store, and shopping and eating venues. Has bedroom, 1-1/2 baths, and laundry on the main floor, nice oak kitchen, formal dining, & attractive covered porches. Both the home and the garage have new roofs and seamless gutters were installed on the home. You can take immediate possession on this one.
-
2014-11-03soldstatus $83,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,736 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,123 · $177/mo
- Expected delta
- +$387/yr (+$32/mo · 22.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,956
- − Property taxes
- −$1,736
- − Insurance
- −$799
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$4,651
- Taxable loss
- −$4,248
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,019
- After-tax cash flow
- $-391/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Osage Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1921840
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,488
- Composite
- 61.14/100
- National rank
- #784
- State rank
- #108 of 289 in IA
Livability — Osage
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #80
- US rank
- #1667
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Osage, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,094
Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,729 people
- By 2030
- 10,702 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 10,632 · -0.9%
- By 2050
- 10,346 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 9,770 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 8,351 · -22.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 16% Lithuanian 2% Scandinavian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 33.8% · R 64.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+24.3 2012: D+3.4 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.47%
- Current HPI
- 233.9644
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+92.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2026-05-01 Listed $159,880 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2023-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) $132,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2022-12-06 Pending — NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2022-12-01 Listed $136,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2014-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,736 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…