4368 S Lake Orlando Pkwy #203 · Orlando, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,970
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 4368 South Lake Orlando Parkway #203 – MOVE-IN READY! Beautifully renovated condo located in the heart of Orlando, just minutes from Winter Park. This inviting residence features a refreshed interior and a modern kitchen equipped with brand-new appliances, offering both style and functionality for everyday living. Situated in a well-maintained community, this condo provides a comfortable and convenient lifestyle with easy access to major roadways, including I-4, making commuting effortless. The property is ideally located just minutes from Downtown Orlando, College Park, and Maitland, and is close to shopping centers, dining, parks, and entertainment options. Residents wil
Key facts
- Modernized kitchen
- Brand-new appliances
- $385 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No lease restrictions reported
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $385; total annual fees $4,620
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA $385 (Manchester Club HOA/Sentry); Association fees required; Community sidewalks; Pets allowed (max 100 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available and connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; Two-story building; Unit on 1st floor; Faces northeast; Condo land included
- Construction: Block construction; Membrane roof; Slab foundation; Built as part of Building 2
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Outdoor lighting; Sliding glass doors
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Sliding doors; Interior lighting
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-348/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (2.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.0% in Orlando — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#12 in FL, #360 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lake Silver Elementary (math 35% / reading 38%, grade F, #1,656 of 2,144 statewide, top 78%, 412 students, 68% FRL); College Park Middle (math 33% / reading 34%, grade F, #428 of 571 statewide, top 76%, 760 students, 74% FRL); Edgewater High (math 14% / reading 46%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 2,059 students, 52% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 251 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,025/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 4039% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.69%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-36,676
- Equity at exit
- $26,834
- IRR
- -30.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.11×
- Total profit
- $-56,163
- Equity at exit
- $15,561
Cash invested: $50,392 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32808
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,025 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,700/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$385
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $-29
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $95 | -5% $33 | +0% $-29 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-189 | -5% $-109 | +0% $-29 | +5% $51 | +10% $131 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $62 | -0.5pp $17 | base $-29 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-123 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,992
- Closing costs
- $5,399
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 34 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3323 N Westmoreland Dr Unit 33237 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3323 N Westmoreland Dr Unit 9318 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3000 Knollwood Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $2,295 | $2.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1600 Roosevelt Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1364 | $2,210 | $1.62 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1028 Canovia Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1163 | $1,925 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3200 Fairway Ln Unit 2 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,340 | $1.91 | 6d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 735 Alton Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1174 | $1,800 | $1.53 | 9d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4418 Eli St Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,600 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1709 Fairview Shores Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,550 | $2.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4713 Thorpe Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2501 N Orange Blossom Trl Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 955 | $2,782 | $2.91 | 0d | 23 | 1.00mi |
| 5003 Adanson St Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,500 | $2.86 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 912 Neuse Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1388 | $2,079 | $1.50 | 9d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1821 Courtland St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $2,299 | $1.61 | 16d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 401 Niblick Way Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,675 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3104 Harrison Ave Unit E32 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3104 Harrison Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2210 N Orange Blossom Trl Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $2,365 | $2.73 | 0d | 25 | 1.19mi |
| 3308 Azolla St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $2,200 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2918 Elizabeth Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $3,100 | $2.57 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2918 Elizabeth Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $3,100 | $2.57 | 9d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 555 W Winter Park St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 958 | $2,395 | $2.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5205 Eggleston Ave Unit 102 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $1,895 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3520 Seneca Club Loop Unit 51-102 Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,295 | $1.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3520 Seneca Club Loop Unit B Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $2,295 | $1.57 | 0d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1051 Lee Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 934 | $1,284 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3219 Oberlin Ave Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,840 | $2.40 | 9d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2305 Edgewater Dr #1704 Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $2,300 | $2.52 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1700 Van Ness St Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,699 | $1.85 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1700 Van Ness St Unit 5 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,899 | $2.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2326 Wellington Blvd Winter Park, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,024 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 29 W Preston St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,999 | $2.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 5315 Davisson Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,350 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 225 W King St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $2,429 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $385 · $4,620/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,970 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,970 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $179,970 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $179,970 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $179,970 Active 161 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,970 Active 159 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $179,970 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,970 Active 155 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $179,970 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,970 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,970 Active 150 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $179,970 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,970 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,970 Active 147 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $179,970 Active 146 DOM
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2026-03-26price $184,990
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2026-03-03price $189,000
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2026-01-05$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,300
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,081
- − Property taxes
- −$2,700
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,944
- − Management
- −$1,944
- − HOA
- −$4,620
- − Depreciation
- −$5,235
- Taxable loss
- −$3,124
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$750
- After-tax cash flow
- $402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Orlando
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #360
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orlando, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 964,969
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,203
- Household income
- $49,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4039.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% White 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 20% Lithuanian 1% Scandinavian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 18% Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.15%
- Current HPI
- 376.3801
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.27%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $184,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $189,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…