🏗️ New Construction
6901 Wamasquid Ln · Stockton, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 26 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +4.1/30.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$595,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move in Ready newer home with all of the upgrades! Built by local and reputable Caresco Homes located in a desirable already established neighborhood in WestLake! This 4-bedroom, 2.5 bathroom home offers the perfect blend of comfort, style and functionality! The open great room offers plenty of natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere. The custom shutters throughout the home and whole house fan allows for energy efficiency. This beauty has plenty of upgrades: tankless water heater, water purification system, gas stove, Upgraded patio, Security system, upgraded baseboards, and owned solar! The kitchen features granite counter tops, stainless steel appliances, pot filler near c
Key facts
- Custom shutters
- Granite counter tops
- Owned solar
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Mandatory association; Monthly HOA fee of $160; Association amenities include pool, park, and other community features; HOA fees include pool access
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener and garage facing front
- Utilities: Solar; Natural gas connected; 220V electric service; Public sewer; Public water with meter on site; Irrigation meter on site
- Home design: Single-family detached residence; One-story; New construction (original condition); Year built 2022
- Construction: Tile roof; Detached construction
- Exterior features: Low-maintenance lot; Tile roof; No private pool or spa
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast area; Pantry closet; Granite counters; Breakfast nook (dining area)
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with shower stall(s), tub, and walk-in closet; Other baths with shower stall(s) and tub with shower over
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Water heater listed as energy efficient; Back porch; Dual-pane full windows; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $595k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-22k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $339k (43.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $327k (45.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $327k (45.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#734 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Lodi Unified (urban): math 24% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #325 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 213 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,779 units permitted in San Joaquin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $71k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $66k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- San Joaquin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$113k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($577k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 45% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -11.81%
- DSCR
- 0.47
- GRM
- 16.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $659,817
- List price
- $595,000
- Delta
- -9.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5953 Pebblestone Way | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,129 (+1%) | 8mo | $524,500 | $246 | 68 |
| 5969 Silveroak | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 2,149 (+2%) | 5mo | $515,000 | $240 | 66 |
| 6707 Oakum Way | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 | 1,969 (-7%) | 4mo | $535,000 | $272 | 66 |
| 5849 Silveroak Cir | 0.62mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,149 (+2%) | 2mo | $500,000 | $233 | 61 |
| 10055 Luciana Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,179 (+3%) | 2mo | $545,000 | $250 | 59 |
| 10922 Admiral Cove Way | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 1,870 (-11%) | 0mo | $505,000 | $270 | 59 |
| 10599 Rubicon Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 2,140 (+2%) | 8mo | $510,000 | $238 | 58 |
| 10024 Baltisan Ln | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 | 2,205 (+5%) | 2mo | $589,000 | $267 | 56 |
| 5948 Pebblestone Way | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,813 (-14%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $276 | 43 |
| 7261 Robins Cove Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 | 1,870 (-11%) | 7mo | $525,000 | $281 | 42 |
| 6730 Mount Elbrus Way | 0.72mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,381 (+13%) | 4mo | $570,000 | $239 | 36 |
| 10113 Wayfaring Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,826 (-13%) | 1mo | $500,000 | $274 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $247,387
- Equity at exit
- $594,416
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.48×
- Total profit
- $827,700
- Equity at exit
- $1,281,880
Cash invested: $184,749 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95219
- Home prices YoY
- 6.6%
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 213
- Price-to-rent
- 15.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,274 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,460
- Tax from tax record
- −$510 /mo · $6,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$275
- HOA
- −$160
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$688
- Net cashflow
- $-1,818
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,444 | -5% $-1,631 | +0% $-1,818 | +5% $-2,005 | +10% $-2,191 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,077 | -5% $-1,947 | +0% $-1,818 | +5% $-1,689 | +10% $-1,559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,486 | -0.5pp $-1,650 | base $-1,818 | +0.5pp $-1,989 | +1.0pp $-2,163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $164,954
- Closing costs
- $19,795
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7017 Overlook Way Stockton, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2403 | $3,095 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 10831 Larboard Ct Stockton, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2160 | $3,950 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6831 Oakum Way Stockton, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2318 | $3,100 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 10962 Admiral Cove Way Stockton, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2403 | $3,200 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10100 Downy Birch Dr Stockton, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2639 | $3,500 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 10210 Copco Ln Stockton, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2252 | $3,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $160 · $1,920/yr
- Likely covers
- watergassecurity
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $595,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $595,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $595,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $595,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $595,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $595,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $595,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $595,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $595,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $605,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $605,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $605,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $605,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $605,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2020-12-15soldstatus $1,960,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,115 · $510/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,115 · $510/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 26 unhealthy d/yr today · 27 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,960
- − Property taxes
- −$6,115
- − Insurance
- −$3,299
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,143
- − Management
- −$3,143
- − HOA
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$19,195
- Taxable loss
- −$34,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,276
- After-tax cash flow
- $-13,539/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lodi Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622230
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,165
- Composite
- 26.84/100
- National rank
- #7108
- State rank
- #325 of 517 in CA
Livability — Stockton
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #734
- US rank
- #21638
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stockton, CA
- County
- San Joaquin County · 729,570 people
- City population
- 332,006
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,713
- Household income
- $112,268
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 825.0
Population outlook (San Joaquin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 796,965 people
- By 2030
- 828,849 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 885,611 · +11.1%
- By 2050
- 929,798 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 994,578 · +24.8%
- By 2100
- 971,291 · +21.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 33% Hispanic / Latino 30% Asian 21% Two or more races 18% Black 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Joaquin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 48.9% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -0.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+12.9 2012: D+8.9 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 69.26%
- Current HPI
- 1122.61
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.16%
- Metro
- Stockton, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2020-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $1,960,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+98.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,115 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…