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1 Perkins St
D+ Composite 45.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,000

1 Perkins St · McGregor, ND 58755
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily · 44 Days on market
Built 1920 0.40 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Laundry space
  • Oversized bathroom
  • 0.4 acre lot

Tags

UPDATED VINYL PLANK FLOORINGBRIGHT FUNCTIONAL KITCHENABUNDANT CABINETRY AND STORAGEDEDICATED DINING ROOMOVERSIZED BATHROOMLAUNDRY SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is paved frontage on a highway; Lot dimensions: 72 x 140 & 50 x 150 (approximately 0.4 acres)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space; Garage door opener; Lighted garage; Inside entrance; Garage faces front
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Propane available; Electricity connected; Water available; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Metal siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built on two levels
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; No additional exterior features listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($255/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (10.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Tioga 15 (rural): math 28% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #44 of 53 in ND (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 308 students, 11% FRL); Tioga High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #105 of 144 statewide, top 73%, 215 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Williams County population projected at +158% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $106,790 (10.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.77%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$15,705
Equity at exit
$53,508
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$54,053
Equity at exit
$82,462

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Dakota
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 58755

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax est. 1.5%
$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$224
Net cashflow
$21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,041
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $103 -5% $62 +0% $21 +5% $-20 +10% $-61
Rent -10% $-63 -5% $-21 +0% $21 +5% $63 +10% $106
Rate -1.0pp $81 -0.5pp $52 base $21 +0.5pp $-10 +1.0pp $-41

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    historical Active Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-16
    listed $119,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,815
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$1,785
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,025
− Management
−$1,025
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable loss
−$1,743
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$418
After-tax cash flow
$673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tioga 15
NCES district ID
3800039
Math proficiency
28% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$63,853
Composite
24.65/100
National rank
#7626
State rank
#44 of 53 in ND

Livability — McGregor

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
McGregor, ND
Population (ZIP)
208

Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,696 people
By 2030
84,935 · +27.3%
By 2040
125,867 · +88.7%
By 2050
171,987 · +157.9%
By 2075
303,258 · +354.7%
By 2100
433,528 · +550.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 35%

Political lean MEDSL · Williams

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.1) · D 15.2% · R 83.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-32.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -68.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.1 2020: R+66.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.0 2008: R+36.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.09%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent GNMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $119,000 GNMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…