1 Perkins St · McGregor, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Laundry space
- Oversized bathroom
- 0.4 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot is paved frontage on a highway; Lot dimensions: 72 x 140 & 50 x 150 (approximately 0.4 acres)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 parking space; Garage door opener; Lighted garage; Inside entrance; Garage faces front
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank; Propane available; Electricity connected; Water available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Metal siding; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built on two levels
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; No additional exterior features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (propane); Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Wall/window unit(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($255/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Tioga 15 (rural): math 28% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #44 of 53 in ND (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Central Elementary School (math 27% / reading 22%, grade F, #204 of 236 statewide, top 91%, 308 students, 11% FRL); Tioga High School (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #105 of 144 statewide, top 73%, 215 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 12% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Williams County population projected at +158% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($115k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.77%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,705
- Equity at exit
- $53,508
- IRR
- 10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.62×
- Total profit
- $54,053
- Equity at exit
- $82,462
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58755
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $21
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $103 | -5% $62 | +0% $21 | +5% $-20 | +10% $-61 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-63 | -5% $-21 | +0% $21 | +5% $63 | +10% $106 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $81 | -0.5pp $52 | base $21 | +0.5pp $-10 | +1.0pp $-41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-29historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-16$119,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,815
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$1,743
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tioga 15
- NCES district ID
- 3800039
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,853
- Composite
- 24.65/100
- National rank
- #7626
- State rank
- #44 of 53 in ND
Livability — McGregor
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McGregor, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 208
Population outlook (Williams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,696 people
- By 2030
- 84,935 · +27.3%
- By 2040
- 125,867 · +88.7%
- By 2050
- 171,987 · +157.9%
- By 2075
- 303,258 · +354.7%
- By 2100
- 433,528 · +550.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 35%
Political lean MEDSL · Williams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.1) · D 15.2% · R 83.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -68.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.1 2020: R+66.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.0 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
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- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Contingent — GNMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $119,000 GNMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…