1804 Glenthorne Rd · East Highland Park, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Custom built 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick rancher with an open floor plan offering a 1 car attached garage. Living room, family room area with brick wood burning fireplace, kitchen with bar and nook. Large paved driveway. Finished enclosed porch used as a Florida room. Fenced back yard with tool shed. Great to downsize, become a first time homebuyer and/or perfect for roommates! Central air. Refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer. Home warranty
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1987
- Listed 2 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (unfinished); Oversized garage with garage door opener; Driveway parking; Paved parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
- Home design: Single-story home; Resale property
- Construction: Brick and block construction with drywall interior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Paved driveway; Front porch; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooking; Stove; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Second bedroom on the first level (LVP flooring, ceiling fan)
- Flooring: Vinyl / LVP flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Forced air; Electric heating available; Natural gas heating available; Cooling via heat pump
- Interior features: Main-level primary bedroom; Bedroom on main level; Ceiling fan(s); Dining area; Fireplace (decorative); Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-423/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $264k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (20.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $214k (20.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.2% in East Highland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#197 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Henrico County Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #68 of 131 in VA (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Harvie Elementary (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,069 of 1,108 statewide, top 97%, 495 students, 90% FRL); L. Douglas Wilder Middle (math 47% / reading 51%, grade C-, #238 of 342 statewide, top 71%, 761 students, 89% FRL); Henrico High (math 44% / reading 74%, grade C+, #256 of 319 statewide, top 81%, 1,348 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 34% district-wide (54 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 56% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Henrico County Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,826 units permitted in Henrico County in 2024 (785 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henrico County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 54% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $170k; list at $270k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.56%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $343,143
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1413 Young St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,595 (-1%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $188 | 72 |
| 3016 Barrington Rd | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 | 1,440 (-11%) | 7mo | $329,000 | $228 | 67 |
| 2126 Rhudy St | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,513 (-6%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $245 | 63 |
| 3802 Martin Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (+1%) | 8mo | $340,450 | $209 | 62 |
| 3910 Genacre Ln | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,586 (-2%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 3123 4th Ave | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (-9%) | 2mo | $357,000 | $244 | 58 |
| 3402 2nd Ave | 0.51mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (-7%) | 6mo | $308,000 | $205 | 55 |
| 2814 4th Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 | 1,672 (+4%) | 4mo | $385,000 | $230 | 52 |
| 3522 Enslow Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,700 (+6%) | 8mo | $376,000 | $221 | 50 |
| 3220 Carolina Ave | 0.75mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,592 (-1%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $201 | 50 |
| 2902 4th Ave | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (-7%) | 8mo | $320,000 | $213 | 45 |
| 1507 Young St | 0.42mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,834 (+14%) | 8mo | $390,000 | $213 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-36,104
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $10,191
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23222
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,137 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,342/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$449
- Net cashflow
- $-35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $41 | +0% $-35 | +5% $-112 | +10% $-188 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-204 | -5% $-120 | +0% $-35 | +5% $49 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $101 | -0.5pp $33 | base $-35 | +0.5pp $-105 | +1.0pp $-176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 Divine Dr Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1525 | $2,700 | $1.77 | 5d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3317 Waverly Blvd Unit B Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1519 Byron St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1384 | $1,700 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 3103 Dill Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $2,050 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3511 1st Ave Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3017 Dill Ave Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,895 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3007 3rd Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2036 | $2,295 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3202 1st Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,062 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3621 Enslow Ave Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $2,850 | $2.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 3425 Carolina Ave Unit B Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3425 Carolina Ave Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3615 Ammons Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,595 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3211 Maryland Ave Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,871 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4019 Grand Reserve Ln Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $3,000 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2810 2nd Ave Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,950 | $1.74 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3411 Oxnard Rd Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $1,795 | $1.66 | 19d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4121 Concord Creek PL Richmond, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,570 | $2.88 | 3d | 26 | 0.82mi |
| 4100 Concord Creek Pl Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,395 | $2.62 | 3d | 30 | 0.87mi |
| 4184 Park Trail Dr Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1606 | $2,525 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 622 Pollock St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1122 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3615 Missouri Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $2,150 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3324 Meadowbridge Rd Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1667 | $2,175 | $1.30 | 19d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3501 Meadowbridge Rd Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,495 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3501 Meadowbridge Rd Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,495 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3909 Patrick Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,650 | $2.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2213 Capp Rd Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,200 | $1.40 | 19d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3217 Hunters Mill Dr Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,975 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3221 Hunters Mill Dr Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4100 Montclair Rd Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1942 | $2,450 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3231 Hunters Mill Dr Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $1,550 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2153 Cool Ln Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1148 | $1,080 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3311 Cliff Ave Richmond, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1567 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3204 North Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1626 | $2,395 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $270,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $270,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 9 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $270,000 Coming Soon 7 DOM
-
2026-05-24historical $260,000
-
2020-03-05soldstatus $170,000
-
2020-03-04soldstatus $170,000 Closed 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Custom built 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick rancher with an open floor plan offering a 1 car attached garage. Living room, family room area with brick wood burning fireplace, kitchen with bar and nook. Large paved driveway. Finished enclosed porch used as a Florida room. Fenced back yard with tool shed. Great to downsize, become a first time homebuyer and/or perfect for roommates! Central air. Refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer. Home warranty
-
2020-02-02status Pending 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Custom built 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick rancher with an open floor plan offering a 1 car attached garage. Living room, family room area with brick wood burning fireplace, kitchen with bar and nook. Large paved driveway. Finished enclosed porch used as a Florida room. Fenced back yard with tool shed. Great to downsize, become a first time homebuyer and/or perfect for roommates! Central air. Refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer. Home warranty
-
2020-01-21$175,000 Active 444-char remark
Show marketing remark (444 chars)
Custom built 2 bedroom, 1.5 bath brick rancher with an open floor plan offering a 1 car attached garage. Living room, family room area with brick wood burning fireplace, kitchen with bar and nook. Large paved driveway. Finished enclosed porch used as a Florida room. Fenced back yard with tool shed. Great to downsize, become a first time homebuyer and/or perfect for roommates! Central air. Refrigerator, stove, washer and dryer. Home warranty
-
2012-12-30historical
-
2011-12-29$154,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,342 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,342 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,645
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$2,342
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,052
- − Management
- −$2,052
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$5,129
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $808/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Henrico County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101890
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,854
- Composite
- 49.25/100
- National rank
- #2031
- State rank
- #68 of 131 in VA
Livability — East Highland Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #197
- US rank
- #6099
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Highland Park, VA
- County
- Richmond City · 178,280 people
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,322
- Household income
- $61,345
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1325.0
Population outlook (Henrico County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,885 people
- By 2030
- 384,255 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 416,688 · +13.9%
- By 2050
- 442,376 · +20.9%
- By 2075
- 488,037 · +33.4%
- By 2100
- 487,430 · +33.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 70% White 21% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henrico
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.9) · D 63.7% · R 34.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +16.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.9 2020: D+29.0 2016: D+21.0 2012: D+11.7 2008: D+12.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -288.72%
- Current HPI
- 428.4029
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.43%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+67.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Coming Soon $260,000 CVRMLS
- 2020-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-04 Sold (MLS) $170,000 CVRMLS
- 2020-02-02 Pending — CVRMLS
- 2020-01-21 Listed $175,000 CVRMLS
- 2012-12-30 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2011-12-29 Listed $154,950 CVRMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,342 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…