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12 Church St
C+ Composite 63.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$305,000

12 Church St · Vincentown, NJ 08060
6 bd · None ba · 2,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1885 2,613 sqft lot Est $471k · 35% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Tenant occupied
  • Cash flow

Tags

TENANT OCCUPIEDCASH FLOWSTRONG RENTSSEPARATE UTILITIESWELL MAINTAINEDLOW MAINTENANCE LOT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Above-grade finished area reported as 2,152 (per assessor); Unfinished basement
  • Financial info: Two-unit property (2 total units)

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: End of row / townhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 100; No tidal water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 single-room unit (studio/efficiency); 1 three-bedroom unit
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat; Natural gas heating fuel; Natural gas hot water
  • Interior features: Carpet flooring in some areas; Open floor plan; Combined kitchen/dining area; Combined dining/living area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $305k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $503 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $305k).
  • Recommended offer: $296k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.5% in Vincentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Rancocas Valley Regional High School District (suburban): math 29% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #236 of 472 in NJ (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 134 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($109k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $125k; list at $305k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,850 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
8.00%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$471,288
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
45 Broad St 0.46mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,056 (-4%) 4mo $450,000 $219 62
336 Washington St 0.74mi 5/1.5 (-1) 2,062 (-4%) 12mo $240,000 $116 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-22,593
Equity at exit
$45,476
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$900
Equity at exit
$26,371

Cash invested: $85,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08060

Home prices YoY
-34.5%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,380 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,599
Tax from tax record
$374 /mo · $4,492/yr
Insurance
$127
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$710
Net cashflow
$503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,743
Max offer price $305,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$76,250
Closing costs
$9,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
901 Russo Dr Westampton, NJ 5.0 3.0 1666 $5,000 $3.00 1d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-05-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-15
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-09
    historical
  4. 2026-03-30
    listed $305,000 Active
  5. 2018-06-26
    soldstatus $125,000
  6. 2018-06-15
    soldstatus $125,000 Closed 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  7. 2018-06-15
    soldstatus $125,000 Sold 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  8. 2018-05-29
    status Pending 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  9. 2018-05-29
    status Under Contract 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  10. 2018-05-23
    historical 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  11. 2018-05-15
    listed $134,900 Active 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  12. 2018-05-15
    listed $134,900 Active 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    Attention investors!!! Looking for a turn key multi-unit investment property in the Historic District of Mount Holly? Look no further! This rare find features 2 units, both well maintained and located in a highly rentable area. Book your appointment today before it's too late!

  13. 2018-03-06
    historical
  14. 2017-11-01
    listed $125,000 Active
  15. 2017-04-21
    listed $127,000 Active
  16. 2017-03-15
    historical
  17. 2016-03-15
    listed $127,999
  18. 2006-05-15
    soldstatus $147,500
  19. 2006-04-28
    soldstatus $147,500
  20. 2006-03-06
    historical
  21. 2006-02-14
    listed $147,500
  22. 2003-06-11
    soldstatus $115,000
  23. 2003-05-23
    soldstatus $120,000
  24. 2003-04-30
    historical
  25. 2003-02-03
    listed $120,000
  26. 2001-06-13
    soldstatus $72,000
  27. 2000-02-02
    soldstatus $60,000
  28. 2000-01-08
    soldstatus $60,000
  29. 1999-12-21
    historical
  30. 1999-03-01
    listed $60,000
  31. 1985-09-01
    soldstatus $36,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,492 · $374/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,043 · $504/mo
Expected delta
+$1,551/yr (+$129/mo · 34.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,561
− Mortgage interest
−$17,085
− Property taxes
−$4,492
− Insurance
−$2,322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,245
− Management
−$3,245
− Depreciation
−$8,873
Taxable income
$1,299
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$312
After-tax cash flow
$5,723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rancocas Valley Regional High School District
NCES district ID
3413620
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$58,992
Composite
34.45/100
National rank
#5195
State rank
#236 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Vincentown

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Burlington County · 323,710 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
25,835
Household income
$109,292
Rent vs Own
26.0% rent · 74.0% own
Severe rent burden
562.0

Population outlook (Burlington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
453,425 people
By 2030
452,359 · -0.2%
By 2040
445,033 · -1.9%
By 2050
431,760 · -4.8%
By 2075
406,277 · -10.4%
By 2100
364,732 · -19.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 25% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Burlington

2024 margin
D (+16.6) · D 57.6% · R 41.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-2.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 16.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.6 2020: D+19.5 2016: D+14.8 2012: D+18.7 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.50%
Current HPI
296.564
Rent YoY
▲ 1.42%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+742.5% since first listed
31 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $305,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-06-26 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2018-06-15 Sold (MLS) $125,000 TREND
  • 2018-06-15 Sold (MLS) $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-05-29 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-05-29 Pending TREND
  • 2018-05-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-05-15 Listed $134,900 TREND
  • 2018-05-15 Listed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-11-01 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-04-21 Listed $127,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-03-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-03-15 Listed $127,999 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $147,500 Public Records
  • 2006-04-28 Sold (MLS) $147,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-03-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-02-14 Listed $147,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2003-05-23 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2003-02-03 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2001-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2000-01-08 Sold (MLS) $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-12-21 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-03-01 Listed $60,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,200 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,492 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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