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100 Smith St
C- Composite 52.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$111,200

100 Smith St · Naples, TX 75568
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,934 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1942 0.81 ac lot $57/sqft · 55% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 1943 Tudor-style home in Naples is full of character and opportunity, making it a perfect investment or future bed-and-breakfast. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, the home sits on a large lot shaded by mature trees and includes a three-car carport with an attached storage building. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living room with a fireplace, plus a sunroom that looks out over the peaceful backyard. With 1,934 square feet of living space and vinyl flooring throughout, there’s room for everyone to feel at home. The private patio offers a wonderful place to relax or host guests. Come see the possibilities for yourself.

Key facts

  • Three-car carport
  • Tudor-style home
  • Large lot

Tags

TUDOR-STYLE HOMELARGE LOTMATURE TREESTHREE-CAR CARPORTATTACHED STORAGE BUILDINGSPACIOUS LIVING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $111k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($445/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $111k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#986 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pewitt CISD (rural): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #583 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Morris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($769 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Morris County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $111k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,856 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.43%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$249,857
List price
$111,200
Delta
-55.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$20,445
Equity at exit
$54,768
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$64,404
Equity at exit
$88,316

Cash invested: $31,136 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75568

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,402 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$583
Tax from tax record
$441 /mo · $5,294/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$37

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,355
Max offer price $111,200
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $416 -5% $378 +0% $37 +5% $6 +10% $-26
Rent -10% $-74 -5% $-18 +0% $37 +5% $92 +10% $148
Rate -1.0pp $93 -0.5pp $65 base $37 +0.5pp $8 +1.0pp $-21

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,800
Closing costs
$3,336
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $111,200 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $111,200 Active 150 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $111,200 Active 149 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $111,200 Active 148 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $111,200 Active 147 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $111,200 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $111,200 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $111,200 Active 141 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $111,200 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $111,200 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $111,200 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $111,200 Active 135 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $111,200 Active 134 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $111,200 Active 133 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $111,200 Active 132 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $111,200 Active 131 DOM
  17. 2026-04-15
    price $111,200 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    This 1943 Tudor-style home in Naples is full of character and opportunity, making it a perfect investment or future bed-and-breakfast. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, the home sits on a large lot shaded by mature trees and includes a three-car carport with an attached storage building. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living room with a fireplace, plus a sunroom that looks out over the peaceful backyard. With 1,934 square feet of living space and vinyl flooring throughout, there’s room for everyone to feel at home. The private patio offers a wonderful place to relax or host guests. Come see the possibilities for yourself.

  18. 2026-01-19
    listed $139,000 Active 646-char remark
    Show marketing remark (646 chars)

    This 1943 Tudor-style home in Naples is full of character and opportunity, making it a perfect investment or future bed-and-breakfast. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3 full baths, the home sits on a large lot shaded by mature trees and includes a three-car carport with an attached storage building. Inside, you’ll find a spacious living room with a fireplace, plus a sunroom that looks out over the peaceful backyard. With 1,934 square feet of living space and vinyl flooring throughout, there’s room for everyone to feel at home. The private patio offers a wonderful place to relax or host guests. Come see the possibilities for yourself.

  19. 2021-04-29
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-04-27
    soldstatus Sold 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    This 1943 Tudar style home is a great home for a laarge family and or has great business potential to be a wonderful bed and breakfast. Large yard with mature trees. Solid carport with a storage building attached. The front windows were put in 2019. Vinyl floor thru out, exterior of the house has new paint, 2019 a new deck was added to the side of the home that can be accessed from the 2nd master bedroom and the sunroom. 2020 a small sitting porch was added to the street side door. The roof is waiting for inspection due to bead weather and will be repaired or replaced asap. The small office was a large pantry at one time. The attic has a partial floor laid down for storage. There is more. Come see.

  21. 2021-02-18
    historical 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    This 1943 Tudar style home is a great home for a laarge family and or has great business potential to be a wonderful bed and breakfast. Large yard with mature trees. Solid carport with a storage building attached. The front windows were put in 2019. Vinyl floor thru out, exterior of the house has new paint, 2019 a new deck was added to the side of the home that can be accessed from the 2nd master bedroom and the sunroom. 2020 a small sitting porch was added to the street side door. The roof is waiting for inspection due to bead weather and will be repaired or replaced asap. The small office was a large pantry at one time. The attic has a partial floor laid down for storage. There is more. Come see.

  22. 2021-01-13
    listed $139,000 707-char remark
    Show marketing remark (707 chars)

    This 1943 Tudar style home is a great home for a laarge family and or has great business potential to be a wonderful bed and breakfast. Large yard with mature trees. Solid carport with a storage building attached. The front windows were put in 2019. Vinyl floor thru out, exterior of the house has new paint, 2019 a new deck was added to the side of the home that can be accessed from the 2nd master bedroom and the sunroom. 2020 a small sitting porch was added to the street side door. The roof is waiting for inspection due to bead weather and will be repaired or replaced asap. The small office was a large pantry at one time. The attic has a partial floor laid down for storage. There is more. Come see.

  23. 2021-01-01
    historical
  24. 2020-09-02
    historical
  25. 2020-09-01
    listed $139,000
  26. 2020-05-28
    listed $139,000
  27. 2017-09-07
    soldstatus
  28. 2002-01-04
    soldstatus $68,425
  29. 2000-02-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,294 · $441/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,294 · $441/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,826
− Mortgage interest
−$6,229
− Property taxes
−$5,294
− Insurance
−$556
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,346
− Management
−$1,346
− Depreciation
−$3,235
Taxable loss
−$1,180
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$283
After-tax cash flow
$728/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pewitt CISD
NCES district ID
4834800
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,909
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7005
State rank
#583 of 826 in TX

Livability — Naples

Score
61/100
State rank
#986
US rank
#17571

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Naples, TX
Population (ZIP)
2,271

Population outlook (Morris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,628 people
By 2030
11,126 · -4.3%
By 2040
10,181 · -12.4%
By 2050
9,408 · -19.1%
By 2075
8,268 · -28.9%
By 2100
7,463 · -35.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Morris

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 24.1% · R 75.3%
2008→2024 swing
-30.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+26.7 2008: R+21.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.75%
Current HPI
151.7508
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.5% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $111,200 NTREIS
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-04-27 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-02-18 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2021-01-13 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-01-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2020-09-02 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2020-09-01 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-05-28 Listed $139,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-09-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $68,425 Public Records
  • 2000-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,294 · +159.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…