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3833 1st Ave SW
C Composite 59.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

3833 1st Ave SW · Long View, NC 28602
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,301 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1932 0.32 ac lot Est $239k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 1932 home situated on a desirable corner lot! The main home features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, offering classic character with plenty of space. A standout feature is the detached garage with an upstairs living area, complete with 1 bedroom and 1 bath—perfect for guests, rental income, or a private workspace. The property also boasts a new roof installed in 2025, adding peace of mind for future owners. A unique opportunity with versatility and potential—don’t miss it!

Key facts

  • Upstairs living area
  • New roof
  • Detached garage

Tags

DETACHED GARAGEUPSTAIRS LIVING AREANEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Detached garage (1 garage space); Main level garage present
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential; Site-built construction; One and one-half levels; Second living quarters present
  • Construction: Built with aluminum, partial brick, vinyl, and wood materials; Metal roof; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Publicly maintained road access; Road surfaces include asphalt, dirt, concrete, paved, and other

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Four total bedrooms (2 upper, 1 main, 1 in second living quarters)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Other heating (see remarks); Central air conditioning; Window unit(s); Other cooling (see remarks)
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; One room count listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (5.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Burke County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #89 of 178 in NC (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hildebran Elementary (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 320 students, 77% FRL); East Burke Middle (math 43% / reading 54%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 645 students, 71% FRL); East Burke High (math 67% / reading 52%, grade C+, #216 of 535 statewide, top 43%, 879 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 211 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 422 units permitted in Burke County in 2024 (94 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Burke County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $81k; list at $190k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,824 (5.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.91%
Cash-on-cash
5.77%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$239,384
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 11th St NE 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,330 (+2%) 3mo $195,000 $147 72
515 37th St SW 0.34mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,313 (+1%) 12mo $221,000 $168 68
330 33rd St SW 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,370 (+5%) 11mo $129,000 $94 65
400 37th St SW 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,392 (+7%) 11mo $120,000 $86 58
1013 37th St SW 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,300 (-0%) 9mo $274,500 $211 55
925 37th St SW 0.56mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,250 (-4%) 10mo $200,000 $160 52
1225 39th Street Cir SW 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (-3%) 2mo $259,000 $206 52
103 Pine Meadows Cir 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,290 (-1%) 11mo $265,000 $205 51
202 Pine Meadows St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,264 (-3%) 10mo $260,000 $206 46
3119 6th Ave SW 0.54mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,179 (-9%) 11mo $225,000 $191 44
408 29th Street Pl SW 0.58mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,471 (+13%) 8mo $270,000 $184 33
937 37th St SW 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,475 (+13%) 10mo $269,000 $182 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.16% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-12,448
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$18,737
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28602

Home prices YoY
-13.6%
Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
211
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$256

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,464
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $310 +0% $256 +5% $202 +10% $148
Rent -10% $115 -5% $185 +0% $256 +5% $327 +10% $397
Rate -1.0pp $352 -0.5pp $304 base $256 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $157

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
823 31st St SW Hickory, NC 3.0 2.5 1335 $1,775 $1.33 22d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $190,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 44 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2026-04-24
    listed $190,000 Active
  20. 2007-08-09
    soldstatus $81,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$975 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,558 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$583/yr (+$49/mo · 59.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,459
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,717
− Management
−$1,717
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$70
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$17
After-tax cash flow
$3,088/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burke County Schools
NCES district ID
3700480
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,342
Composite
37.51/100
National rank
#4400
State rank
#89 of 178 in NC

Livability — Long View

Score
63/100
State rank
#416
US rank
#15606

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Long View, NC
County
Catawba County · 105,763 people
City population
84,442
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Population (ZIP)
31,113
Household income
$62,048
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
642.0

Population outlook (Burke County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,552 people
By 2030
84,123 · -2.8%
By 2040
78,165 · -9.7%
By 2050
71,099 · -17.9%
By 2075
56,264 · -35.0%
By 2100
44,742 · -48.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Burke

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.2) · D 29.0% · R 70.3%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: -19.2pp · 2024: -41.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.2 2020: R+40.1 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.01%
Current HPI
259.947
Rent YoY
▲ 4.16%
Metro
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-11 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $190,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $975 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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